NASDAQ$RRGB

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Red Robin reported financial results for the fiscal fourth quarter and year ended December 25, 2022.

Red Robin's total revenues for Q4 2022 were $290.1 million, a 2.4% increase compared to 2021. Comparable restaurant revenue increased by 2.5%. The net loss was $44.2 million, including a non-cash impairment charge of $25.0 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $8.9 million, consistent with the previous year.

  • Total revenues increased by 2.4% to $290.1 million compared to the previous year.
  • Comparable restaurant revenue grew by 2.5%, marking the eighth consecutive quarter of positive growth.
  • Net loss increased to $44.2 million, which includes a non-cash impairment charge of $25.0 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA remained consistent at $8.9 million compared to the same period in 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$290M

Previous: $283M+2.4%
EPS (adj)

-$1.35

Previous: -$1.03-31.1%
Restaurant level operating margin

11.4%

No prior period
Comparable restaurant revenue

2.5%

No prior period
Net Income

-$44.2M

Previous: -$21.3M-107.4%
Operating Income

-$39.4M

Previous: -$17.7M-123.1%
Gross Profit

$95.1M

Previous: $94.4M+0.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$48.8M

Previous: $22.8M+114.6%
Total Assets

$832M

Previous: $929M-10.4%
Stock-Based Comp

-$1.94M

Previous: $2.12M-191.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Red Robin · Revenue · Quarterly

$290M

Q4 2022+2.4%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 14 quarters(57%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Red Robin · $378M total across 2 segments · Q1 2026

  • Restaurant revenue
    $371M
  • Franchise and other revenue
    $7.16M

Forward guidance

The Company expects for full year 2023: Total Revenue of approximately $1.3 billion; Restaurant Level Operating Profit of at least 13.0%, inclusive of investments in the Guest experience, primarily in labor; Selling, general and administrative costs of $120 million to $125 million; Capital expenditures of $35 million to $40 million; and Adjusted EBITDA of $62.5 million to $72.5 million.

Tailwinds

  • Total Revenue of approximately $1.3 billion
  • Restaurant Level Operating Profit of at least 13.0%
  • Investments in the Guest experience, primarily in labor
  • Capital expenditures of $35 million to $40 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $62.5 million to $72.5 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+2.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

39 / 66 earnings

Positive

+62.3%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-31.3%

Q1 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+17.7%+18.4%+62.1%
Q4 2025+32.6%+22.3%-27.0%
Q3 2025-6.2%-10.9%-14.0%
Q2 2025+1.7%+11.0%+12.3%
Q1 2025+62.3%+107.7%+75.7%
Q4 2024+34.5%+7.1%-19.2%
Q3 2024-14.5%-17.3%-8.1%
Q2 2024-14.1%-23.4%-21.6%
Q1 2024+13.0%+21.3%+10.7%
Q4 2023-15.0%-15.9%-13.0%
Q3 2023+14.8%+15.5%+15.2%
Q2 2023-5.4%-9.1%-13.0%
Q1 2023+4.9%-2.4%-8.0%
Q4 2022+27.6%+35.6%+67.8%
Q3 2022-15.1%-12.0%+4.3%
Q2 2022-10.7%-9.6%-18.3%
Q1 2022+34.6%+23.0%+6.6%
Q4 2021+14.5%+28.6%+1.4%
Q3 2021-4.3%-6.6%-21.0%
Q2 2021-16.4%-10.3%-7.6%
Q1 2021+0.5%-0.9%-7.2%
Q4 2020+8.6%+21.2%+21.1%
Q3 2020+11.9%+43.3%+71.7%
Q2 2020-4.0%-2.7%+21.3%
Q1 2020-31.3%-24.4%-49.6%
Q4 2019-24.9%-21.8%-66.2%
Q3 2019-12.9%-17.0%-15.4%
Q2 2019+4.3%+2.3%+3.4%
Q1 2019-15.9%-12.8%+0.5%
Q4 2018-3.7%+2.3%-3.8%
Q3 2018+7.3%+6.4%+0.9%
Q2 2018+2.4%+2.6%+0.1%
Q1 2018-21.9%-20.9%-13.9%
Q4 2017+6.2%+1.6%+11.3%
Q3 2017-28.8%-29.9%-24.4%
Q2 2017+3.1%+6.6%+0.4%
Q1 2017+20.5%+23.1%+8.4%
Q4 2016+4.4%-1.7%+13.0%
Q3 2016+5.6%+7.5%+13.6%
Q2 2016+6.1%+7.4%+2.1%
Q1 2016-22.3%
Q4 2015+7.1%
Q3 2015-13.9%
Q2 2015-6.7%
Q1 2015+19.3%
Q4 2014+3.9%
Q3 2014+20.4%
Q2 2014-14.9%
Q1 2014+12.5%
Q4 2013-0.7%
Q3 2013+7.9%
Q2 2013+9.3%
Q1 2013+4.5%
Q4 2012+11.2%
Q3 2012+21.5%
Q2 2012+9.0%
Q1 2011-14.8%
Q1 2012-1.9%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q4 2009-1.2%
Q3 2011+7.5%
Q3 2010+7.5%
Q2 2011+3.5%
Q2 2010+3.5%
Q4 2010+3.5%
Q1 2010-14.6%

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