NASDAQ$RRGB

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial results indicating a mixed performance with revenue increase but overall performance below expectations due to jurisdictional restrictions and labor availability.

Red Robin reported a revenue increase of 71.9% compared to the same period in 2020, but the overall performance was below expectations due to ongoing jurisdictional restrictions and challenging labor availability. The company is optimistic about recovery and focusing on staffing initiatives and growth drivers like Donatos pizza.

  • Restaurant revenue reached $272.2 million with a Restaurant Level Operating Profit of 15.7%.
  • Comparable restaurant revenue increased 66.3% compared to 2020 but decreased 2.4% compared to 2019.
  • Off-premises sales accounted for 32.8% of total food and beverage sales.
  • Restaurants with Donatos® pizza outperformed the rest of the system by 550 basis points compared to 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$277M

Previous: $161M+71.9%
EPS (adj)

-$0.22

Previous: -$3.31+93.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$5M

Previous: -$56.3M+91.1%
Net Income

-$5M

Previous: -$56.3M+91.1%
Operating Income

-$2.56M

Previous: -$50.6M+94.9%
Gross Profit

-$161M

Previous: -$102M-58.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$25.6M

Previous: $26.1M-2.2%
Total Assets

$942M

Previous: $1.03B-8.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.58M

Previous: $1.07M+48.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Red Robin · Revenue · Quarterly

$277M

Q2 2021+71.9%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Red Robin · $378M total across 2 segments · Q1 2026

  • Restaurant revenue
    $371M
  • Franchise and other revenue
    $7.16M

Forward guidance

Due to the uncertainty caused by the on-going COVID-19 pandemic, limited guidance is being provided for fiscal year 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Capital expenditures of $45 million to $55 million.
  • Continued investment in maintaining our restaurants and infrastructure with maintenance and systems capital.
  • Donatos® expansion to approximately 120 restaurants, including approximately 80 restaurants in the second half of the fiscal year.
  • Investment in digital guest and operational technology solutions.
  • Off-premises execution enhancements.

Headwinds

  • Uncertainty caused by the on-going COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Limited guidance is being provided for fiscal year 2021.
  • Effective tax benefit between 1% to 5%.
  • Selling, general and administrative costs between $125 and $135 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

+2.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

39 / 66 earnings

Positive

+62.3%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-31.3%

Q1 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+17.7%+18.4%+62.1%
Q4 2025+32.6%+22.3%-27.0%
Q3 2025-6.2%-10.9%-14.0%
Q2 2025+1.7%+11.0%+12.3%
Q1 2025+62.3%+107.7%+75.7%
Q4 2024+34.5%+7.1%-19.2%
Q3 2024-14.5%-17.3%-8.1%
Q2 2024-14.1%-23.4%-21.6%
Q1 2024+13.0%+21.3%+10.7%
Q4 2023-15.0%-15.9%-13.0%
Q3 2023+14.8%+15.5%+15.2%
Q2 2023-5.4%-9.1%-13.0%
Q1 2023+4.9%-2.4%-8.0%
Q4 2022+27.6%+35.6%+67.8%
Q3 2022-15.1%-12.0%+4.3%
Q2 2022-10.7%-9.6%-18.3%
Q1 2022+34.6%+23.0%+6.6%
Q4 2021+14.5%+28.6%+1.4%
Q3 2021-4.3%-6.6%-21.0%
Q2 2021-16.4%-10.3%-7.6%
Q1 2021+0.5%-0.9%-7.2%
Q4 2020+8.6%+21.2%+21.1%
Q3 2020+11.9%+43.3%+71.7%
Q2 2020-4.0%-2.7%+21.3%
Q1 2020-31.3%-24.4%-49.6%
Q4 2019-24.9%-21.8%-66.2%
Q3 2019-12.9%-17.0%-15.4%
Q2 2019+4.3%+2.3%+3.4%
Q1 2019-15.9%-12.8%+0.5%
Q4 2018-3.7%+2.3%-3.8%
Q3 2018+7.3%+6.4%+0.9%
Q2 2018+2.4%+2.6%+0.1%
Q1 2018-21.9%-20.9%-13.9%
Q4 2017+6.2%+1.6%+11.3%
Q3 2017-28.8%-29.9%-24.4%
Q2 2017+3.1%+6.6%+0.4%
Q1 2017+20.5%+23.1%+8.4%
Q4 2016+4.4%-1.7%+13.0%
Q3 2016+5.6%+7.5%+13.6%
Q2 2016+6.1%+7.4%+2.1%
Q1 2016-22.3%
Q4 2015+7.1%
Q3 2015-13.9%
Q2 2015-6.7%
Q1 2015+19.3%
Q4 2014+3.9%
Q3 2014+20.4%
Q2 2014-14.9%
Q1 2014+12.5%
Q4 2013-0.7%
Q3 2013+7.9%
Q2 2013+9.3%
Q1 2013+4.5%
Q4 2012+11.2%
Q3 2012+21.5%
Q2 2012+9.0%
Q1 2011-14.8%
Q1 2012-1.9%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q4 2009-1.2%
Q3 2011+7.5%
Q3 2010+7.5%
Q2 2011+3.5%
Q2 2010+3.5%
Q4 2010+3.5%
Q1 2010-14.6%

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