NASDAQ$RGEN

Repligen Corp · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Repligen's Q4 2022 financial results were released, highlighting a slight increase in revenue and a strong base business performance.

Repligen Corporation reported fourth-quarter revenue of $186.8 million, representing a 4% year-over-year organic growth (5% at constant currency). The base business demonstrated strong growth, with a 35% increase during the quarter. GAAP earnings per share increased to $0.85, while adjusted earnings per share were $0.68.

  • Q4 revenue reached $186.8 million, reflecting 4% year-over-year organic growth.
  • Base business organic growth was 35% in Q4.
  • GAAP gross margin was 51.4%, impacted by declining COVID-related product revenues and transition to lower margin product lines.
  • GAAP earnings per share increased to $0.85, while adjusted earnings per share were $0.68.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$187M

Previous: $187M+0.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.68

Previous: $0.81-16.0%
Gross Margin

51.4%

Previous: 56.0%-8.2%
Capital Expenditures

$20.4M

Previous: $32.1M-36.4%
Free Cash Flow

$41.4M

Previous: $17.5M+136.8%
Net Income

$48.7M

Previous: $29.1M+67.5%
Operating Income

$48.8M

Previous: $37.4M+30.6%
Gross Profit

$96.1M

Previous: $105M-8.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$624M

Previous: $604M+3.3%
Total Assets

$2.53B

Previous: $2.36B+7.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.26M

Previous: $7.02M-10.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Repligen · Revenue · Quarterly

$187M

Q4 2022+0.1%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Repligen · $141M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Product Revenue
    $141M
  • Royalty and Other
    $36

Forward guidance

Repligen provided financial guidance for the fiscal year 2023, expecting total reported revenue in the range of $760-$800 million and gross margin between 52.5%-53.5%.

Tailwinds

  • Total reported revenue is expected to be in the range of $760-$800 million.
  • Base organic revenue growth of 12%-16%, or 11%-15% as reported is expected.
  • Manufacturing expenses have been optimized.
  • Margins are expected to improve with higher volumes in the second half of 2023.
  • Further gross margin expansion is expected in 2024.

Headwinds

  • COVID-related revenue is expected to decrease by $100-$110 million year-over-year.
  • Gross margin is expected to be 52.5%-53.5%, down 400 basis points at the midpoint versus 2022.
  • Facilities and depreciation costs are major headwinds on margins in 2023, at approximately 250 basis points.
  • Operating margin is expected to be 22.5%-23.5% with the impact of product mix, material cost inflation and facilities and depreciation driving the approximately 600 basis points decline versus 2022.
  • Facilities and depreciation costs are expected to contribute approximately 300 basis points to the overall decline.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+2.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.4%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

36 / 61 earnings

Positive

+22.1%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-23.0%

Q3 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.1%-7.8%-2.7%
Q4 2025+1.4%-4.9%-15.5%
Q3 2025-5.9%-7.5%+6.3%
Q1 2025-2.9%-1.5%-14.8%
Q4 2024+7.9%+7.1%-7.1%
Q3 2024+7.9%-10.6%+11.8%
Q2 2024+21.3%+17.2%+9.2%
Q1 2024+1.3%+2.3%-9.2%
Q4 2023-3.2%-4.0%-0.9%
Q3 2023+15.1%+31.7%+37.7%
Q2 2023+1.1%+2.5%+5.2%
Q1 2023+6.4%+4.3%+8.8%
Q4 2022+3.2%-2.7%-10.0%
Q3 2022-6.0%-4.5%+3.1%
Q2 2022+13.1%+15.9%+0.6%
Q1 2022+7.8%+11.4%+19.3%
Q4 2021-1.8%-1.4%+4.0%
Q3 2021+7.2%+11.7%+5.5%
Q2 2021+14.2%+19.3%+32.4%
Q1 2021-6.4%-9.8%-15.6%
Q4 2020+0.3%+7.4%-11.1%
Q3 2020+8.1%+0.0%+0.8%
Q2 2020+8.7%+12.8%+8.2%
Q1 2020+6.7%+11.9%+5.0%
Q4 2019-10.1%-22.2%-18.7%
Q3 2019+9.9%+6.1%+15.1%
Q2 2019-4.0%-3.2%-1.7%
Q1 2019+2.5%-0.2%+11.5%
Q4 2018-0.2%+1.0%-0.2%
Q3 2018+22.1%+25.2%+19.3%
Q2 2018-1.0%+2.0%+14.2%
Q1 2018+5.1%+10.2%+14.9%
Q4 2017+9.2%+9.5%+6.2%
Q3 2017-7.1%-13.0%-4.9%
Q2 2017+1.3%+4.4%+6.1%
Q1 2017+5.2%+6.3%+11.7%
Q4 2016+6.3%+6.4%+13.6%
Q3 2016-4.1%-1.1%+10.0%
Q2 2016-0.6%-1.1%+3.9%
Q1 2016+2.1%
Q4 2015+2.4%
Q3 2015-23.0%
Q2 2015-0.2%
Q1 2015+16.9%
Q4 2014+14.9%
Q3 2014-6.6%
Q2 2014-3.6%
Q1 2014+5.0%
Q4 2013-8.8%
Q3 2013+8.8%
Q2 2013-0.1%
Q1 2013+2.9%
Q3 2010-5.0%
Q4 2012+5.8%
Q3 2012+10.2%
Q2 2012-0.4%
Q4 2010-1.5%
Q1 2012+0.9%
Q2 2011-0.1%
Q1 2011-0.9%
Q4 2011-0.9%

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