NASDAQ$PYPL

PayPal Holdings · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

PayPal experienced strong growth in total payment volume and revenue.

PayPal's Q3 2020 results showed strong growth, with revenue increasing by 25% and a significant rise in GAAP EPS of 121%. The company also added 15.2 million Net New Active Accounts, reaching a total of 361 million.

  • Total Payment Volume (TPV) reached $247 billion, a 38% increase.
  • Revenue grew by 25% to $5.46 billion.
  • GAAP EPS increased by 121% to $0.86, and non-GAAP EPS grew by 41% to $1.07.
  • Net New Active Accounts (NNAs) increased by 15.2 million, bringing the total to 361 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.46B

Previous: $4.38B+24.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.07

Previous: $0.61+75.4%
Total payment volume

$247B

Previous: $179B+38.1%
Active accounts

361.0M

Previous: 295.0M+22.4%
Payment transactions

4.0B

Previous: 3.1B+29.9%
Transactions per account

40.1

Previous: 39.8+0.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$640M

Previous: -$530M-20.8%
Free Cash Flow

$381M

Previous: -$68M+660.3%
Net Income

$1.02B

Previous: $462M+121.0%
Operating Income

$977M

Previous: $697M+40.2%
Gross Profit

$5.46B

Previous: $5M+109080.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$6.11B

Previous: $6.88B-11.1%
Total Assets

$65.6B

Previous: $50.2B+30.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$364M

Previous: $266M+36.8%

Revenue & EPS history

PayPal · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.46B

Q3 2020+24.7%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

PayPal · $7.42B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Transaction revenue
    $6.65B
  • Other value-added
    $764M

Forward guidance

PayPal provided revenue and earnings guidance for the fourth quarter of 2020, expecting TPV growth in the low to mid 30% range and revenue growth between 20%-25%.

Tailwinds

  • TPV growth on a percentage basis to be in the range of low to mid 30%.
  • Revenue to grow in the range of 20%–25% at current spot rates and 20%–25% on an FXN basis.
  • GAAP earnings per diluted share to grow in the range of 45%–47%.
  • Non-GAAP earnings per diluted share to grow in the range of 17%–18%.
  • Excludes the impact of net realized and unrealized gains and losses on PayPal’s strategic investment portfolio.

Headwinds

  • GAAP and non-GAAP earnings per diluted share exclude the impact of incremental credit loss reserves due to macroeconomic projections.
  • Includes estimated stock-based compensation expense and related payroll taxes of approximately $385 million.
  • The dilutive impact of acquisitions is estimated to be approximately $0.10 on GAAP earnings per diluted share.
  • The dilutive impact of acquisitions is estimated to be approximately $0.03 on non-GAAP earnings per diluted share.
  • In the fourth quarter of 2019, GAAP earnings per diluted share included approximately $0.03 of net unrealized gains from PayPal’s strategic investment portfolio.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

28 / 50 earnings

Positive

+16.6%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-22.9%

Q4 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.3%-10.0%-15.2%
Q4 2025-20.1%-22.8%-9.0%
Q3 2025+4.7%-1.4%-12.0%
Q2 2025-8.7%-14.2%-10.4%
Q1 2025+2.1%+3.6%+9.2%
Q4 2024-13.2%-13.6%-23.9%
Q3 2024-6.4%-7.6%+3.6%
Q2 2024+11.6%+5.2%+24.1%
Q1 2024-1.3%-1.9%-6.7%
Q4 2023-11.9%-5.7%-7.4%
Q3 2023+6.3%+5.4%+15.2%
Q2 2023-15.0%-14.7%-15.8%
Q1 2023-12.1%-17.7%-14.6%
Q4 2022+1.4%-3.1%-7.9%
Q3 2022-5.4%+2.1%-6.0%
Q2 2022+10.6%+7.6%+4.6%
Q1 2022+10.0%+9.4%+1.8%
Q4 2021-22.9%-26.7%-41.1%
Q3 2021-9.0%-7.7%-12.6%
Q2 2021-5.8%-9.8%-7.4%
Q1 2021+0.7%-2.6%+5.1%
Q4 2020+8.6%+13.3%-4.0%
Q3 2020-3.4%+8.9%+14.2%
Q2 2020+9.2%+11.8%+16.0%
Q1 2020+16.6%+14.8%+24.4%
Q4 2019+0.5%-0.0%-7.3%
Q3 2019+7.8%+9.5%+4.5%
Q2 2019-4.2%-7.3%-11.8%
Q1 2019+3.1%+5.2%+2.8%
Q4 2018-2.6%+0.6%+8.4%
Q3 2018+5.9%+9.3%+6.2%
Q2 2018-2.5%-9.9%-1.4%
Q1 2018+1.0%-0.9%+7.5%
Q4 2017-6.4%-10.8%-5.9%
Q3 2017+5.5%+4.4%+13.6%
Q2 2017+3.2%+0.5%+2.9%
Q1 2017+5.5%+6.3%+14.5%
Q4 2016-3.5%-4.6%+3.3%
Q3 2016+9.7%+7.6%-0.4%
Q2 2016-6.6%-5.9%-4.9%
Q1 2015-2.1%
Q1 2016+0.9%
Q4 2014+4.3%
Q4 2015+7.1%
Q3 2014-1.4%
Q3 2015-0.1%
Q2 2015+2.3%
Q4 2013+2.3%
Q2 2014+2.3%
Q1 2014+2.3%

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