NASDAQ$PYPL

PayPal Holdings · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

PayPal had a solid performance in Q2 2023, with revenue at the high end of guidance and continued investment in key initiatives.

PayPal's Q2 2023 results demonstrated continued momentum, with revenue at the high end of guidance. The company's investments are paying off, and they are well-positioned to grow their leadership in digital payments. Total Payment Volume grew by 11% and Net Revenues increased by 7%.

  • Total payment volume (TPV) of $376.5 billion, growing 11% on a spot and FX-neutral (FXN) basis
  • Net revenues of $7.3 billion, growing 7% and 8% FXN
  • GAAP EPS of $0.92 compared to ($0.29) in Q2'22; non-GAAP EPS of $1.16 compared to $0.93 in Q2'22, growing 24%
  • In Q2'23, repurchased approximately 22 million shares of common stock, returning $1.5 billion to stockholders

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$7.29B

Previous: $6.81B+7.1%
EPS (adj)

$1.16

Previous: $0.93+24.7%
Total payment volume

$377B

Previous: $340B+10.8%
Active accounts

431.0M

Previous: 429.0M+0.5%
Payment transactions

6.1B

Previous: 5.5B+10.2%
Transactions per account

54.7

Previous: 48.7+12.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$320M

Previous: -$366M+12.6%
Free Cash Flow

$709M

Previous: -$707M+200.3%
Net Income

$1.03B

Previous: -$341M+401.8%
Operating Income

$1.13B

Previous: $764M+48.3%
Gross Profit

$7.29B

Previous: $6.81B+7.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$5.5B

Previous: $4.58B+20.1%
Total Assets

$74.6B

Previous: $77.8B-4.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$363M

Previous: $312M+16.3%

Revenue & EPS history

PayPal · Revenue · Quarterly

$7.29B

Q2 2023+7.1%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

PayPal · $7.29B total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • Transaction revenue
    $6.56B
  • Other value-added
    $731M

Forward guidance

PayPal anticipates net revenues to reach approximately $7.4 billion in Q3 2023, reflecting an approximate 8% growth on a spot and FXN basis. GAAP earnings per diluted share are projected to be between $0.85 and $0.87. Non-GAAP earnings per diluted share are expected to grow by 13%-14% to $1.22-$1.24.

Tailwinds

  • Net revenues expected to reach ~$7.4 billion, growing ~8% on a spot and FXN basis
  • GAAP earnings per diluted share expected to be $0.85-$0.87
  • Non-GAAP earnings per diluted share expected to grow 13%-14% to $1.22-$1.24
  • Reiterating non-GAAP earnings per diluted share, expected to grow ~20% to ~$4.95
  • FY'23 share repurchases now expected to reach ~$5 billion

Headwinds

  • GAAP earnings per diluted share expected to be $0.85-$0.87, compared to $1.15 in the prior year period
  • Q2'23 operating cash flow of ($0.2) billion
  • Q2'23 free cash flow of ($0.4) billion, which include a ~$1.2 billion negative impact from European buy now, pay later (BNPL) loans originated as held for sale (HFS), expected to be sold in H2'23
  • Cash flow from operations and free cash flow include the $1.2 billion negative impact from European buy now, pay later loans originated as HFS, expected to be sold in H2'23
  • Effective tax rate 21 %

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

28 / 50 earnings

Positive

+16.6%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-22.9%

Q4 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.3%-10.0%-15.2%
Q4 2025-20.1%-22.8%-9.0%
Q3 2025+4.7%-1.4%-12.0%
Q2 2025-8.7%-14.2%-10.4%
Q1 2025+2.1%+3.6%+9.2%
Q4 2024-13.2%-13.6%-23.9%
Q3 2024-6.4%-7.6%+3.6%
Q2 2024+11.6%+5.2%+24.1%
Q1 2024-1.3%-1.9%-6.7%
Q4 2023-11.9%-5.7%-7.4%
Q3 2023+6.3%+5.4%+15.2%
Q2 2023-15.0%-14.7%-15.8%
Q1 2023-12.1%-17.7%-14.6%
Q4 2022+1.4%-3.1%-7.9%
Q3 2022-5.4%+2.1%-6.0%
Q2 2022+10.6%+7.6%+4.6%
Q1 2022+10.0%+9.4%+1.8%
Q4 2021-22.9%-26.7%-41.1%
Q3 2021-9.0%-7.7%-12.6%
Q2 2021-5.8%-9.8%-7.4%
Q1 2021+0.7%-2.6%+5.1%
Q4 2020+8.6%+13.3%-4.0%
Q3 2020-3.4%+8.9%+14.2%
Q2 2020+9.2%+11.8%+16.0%
Q1 2020+16.6%+14.8%+24.4%
Q4 2019+0.5%-0.0%-7.3%
Q3 2019+7.8%+9.5%+4.5%
Q2 2019-4.2%-7.3%-11.8%
Q1 2019+3.1%+5.2%+2.8%
Q4 2018-2.6%+0.6%+8.4%
Q3 2018+5.9%+9.3%+6.2%
Q2 2018-2.5%-9.9%-1.4%
Q1 2018+1.0%-0.9%+7.5%
Q4 2017-6.4%-10.8%-5.9%
Q3 2017+5.5%+4.4%+13.6%
Q2 2017+3.2%+0.5%+2.9%
Q1 2017+5.5%+6.3%+14.5%
Q4 2016-3.5%-4.6%+3.3%
Q3 2016+9.7%+7.6%-0.4%
Q2 2016-6.6%-5.9%-4.9%
Q1 2015-2.1%
Q1 2016+0.9%
Q4 2014+4.3%
Q4 2015+7.1%
Q3 2014-1.4%
Q3 2015-0.1%
Q2 2015+2.3%
Q4 2013+2.3%
Q2 2014+2.3%
Q1 2014+2.3%

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