NASDAQ$PYPL

PayPal Holdings · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Record performance across key operating and financial metrics was achieved.

PayPal reported a record performance in Q2 2020, driven by the increasing importance of digital payments amidst the COVID-19 pandemic. The company saw strong growth in revenue, EPS, and free cash flow, as well as a significant increase in net new active accounts.

  • Total Payment Volume (TPV) reached $222 billion, up 29% (30% FXN).
  • Revenue was $5.26 billion, reflecting a 22% increase (25% FXN).
  • GAAP EPS grew by 86% to $1.29, and non-GAAP EPS increased by 49% to $1.07.
  • Net New Active Accounts (NNAs) increased by 21.3 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.26B

Previous: $4.31B+22.2%
EPS (adj)

$1.07

Previous: $0.86+24.4%
Total payment volume

$222B

Previous: $172B+28.8%
Active accounts

346.0M

Previous: 286.0M+21.0%
Payment transactions

3.7B

Previous: 3.0B+25.9%
Transactions per account

39.2

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$399M

Previous: -$357M-11.8%
Free Cash Flow

$1.13B

Previous: $466M+142.7%
Net Income

$1.53B

Previous: $823M+85.9%
Operating Income

$951M

Previous: $705M+34.9%
Gross Profit

$5.26B

Previous: $2M+262950.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$6.35B

Previous: $4.91B+29.4%
Total Assets

$63.2B

Previous: $48.4B+30.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$352M

Previous: $223M+57.8%

Revenue & EPS history

PayPal · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.26B

Q2 2020+22.2%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

PayPal · $7.42B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Transaction revenue
    $6.65B
  • Other value-added
    $764M

Forward guidance

PayPal provided guidance for Q3 2020 and full year 2020, expecting continued growth in revenue, TPV, and EPS. However, the guidance excludes the impact of incremental credit loss reserves due to macroeconomic projections.

Tailwinds

  • PayPal expects TPV growth of ~30%.
  • PayPal expects revenue to grow ~23% at current spot rates and ~25% on an FXN basis.
  • PayPal expects GAAP earnings per diluted share to grow ~45% and non-GAAP earnings per diluted share to grow ~25%.
  • PayPal expects TPV growth on a percentage basis to be in high 20s.
  • PayPal expects revenue to grow ~20% at current spot rates and ~22% on an FXN basis.

Headwinds

  • GAAP and non-GAAP earnings per diluted share exclude the impact of incremental credit loss reserves due to macroeconomic projections.
  • In the third quarter of 2020, GAAP earnings per diluted share excludes the impact of net realized and unrealized gains and losses on PayPal’s strategic investment portfolio.
  • In the third quarter of 2019, GAAP earnings per diluted share included approximately $0.15 of net unrealized losses from PayPal’s strategic investment portfolio.
  • GAAP earnings per diluted share guidance includes $0.51 of net unrealized gains recognized in the first and second quarters of 2020 related to PayPal’s strategic investment portfolio.
  • In 2019, GAAP earnings per diluted share included approximately $0.14 of net unrealized gains related to PayPal’s strategic investment portfolio.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

28 / 50 earnings

Positive

+16.6%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-22.9%

Q4 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.3%-10.0%-15.2%
Q4 2025-20.1%-22.8%-9.0%
Q3 2025+4.7%-1.4%-12.0%
Q2 2025-8.7%-14.2%-10.4%
Q1 2025+2.1%+3.6%+9.2%
Q4 2024-13.2%-13.6%-23.9%
Q3 2024-6.4%-7.6%+3.6%
Q2 2024+11.6%+5.2%+24.1%
Q1 2024-1.3%-1.9%-6.7%
Q4 2023-11.9%-5.7%-7.4%
Q3 2023+6.3%+5.4%+15.2%
Q2 2023-15.0%-14.7%-15.8%
Q1 2023-12.1%-17.7%-14.6%
Q4 2022+1.4%-3.1%-7.9%
Q3 2022-5.4%+2.1%-6.0%
Q2 2022+10.6%+7.6%+4.6%
Q1 2022+10.0%+9.4%+1.8%
Q4 2021-22.9%-26.7%-41.1%
Q3 2021-9.0%-7.7%-12.6%
Q2 2021-5.8%-9.8%-7.4%
Q1 2021+0.7%-2.6%+5.1%
Q4 2020+8.6%+13.3%-4.0%
Q3 2020-3.4%+8.9%+14.2%
Q2 2020+9.2%+11.8%+16.0%
Q1 2020+16.6%+14.8%+24.4%
Q4 2019+0.5%-0.0%-7.3%
Q3 2019+7.8%+9.5%+4.5%
Q2 2019-4.2%-7.3%-11.8%
Q1 2019+3.1%+5.2%+2.8%
Q4 2018-2.6%+0.6%+8.4%
Q3 2018+5.9%+9.3%+6.2%
Q2 2018-2.5%-9.9%-1.4%
Q1 2018+1.0%-0.9%+7.5%
Q4 2017-6.4%-10.8%-5.9%
Q3 2017+5.5%+4.4%+13.6%
Q2 2017+3.2%+0.5%+2.9%
Q1 2017+5.5%+6.3%+14.5%
Q4 2016-3.5%-4.6%+3.3%
Q3 2016+9.7%+7.6%-0.4%
Q2 2016-6.6%-5.9%-4.9%
Q1 2015-2.1%
Q1 2016+0.9%
Q4 2014+4.3%
Q4 2015+7.1%
Q3 2014-1.4%
Q3 2015-0.1%
Q2 2015+2.3%
Q4 2013+2.3%
Q2 2014+2.3%
Q1 2014+2.3%

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