NASDAQ$PYPL

PayPal Holdings · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

PayPal demonstrated margin expansion and EPS growth through operating discipline.

PayPal's Q4 2022 results showed a return to margin expansion and EPS growth, driven by operating discipline. Net revenues reached $7.4 billion, growing 7% (9% FXN), and GAAP EPS was $0.81, compared to $0.68 in Q4 2021. Total Payment Volume (TPV) reached $357.4 billion, up 5% (9% FXN).

  • Net revenues reached $7.4 billion, growing 7% (9% FXN).
  • GAAP EPS was $0.81, compared to $0.68 in Q4'21; non-GAAP EPS was $1.24, compared to $1.11 in Q4'21.
  • Total Payment Volume (TPV) reached $357.4 billion, up 5% (9% FXN).
  • Added 2.9 million net new active accounts, bringing the total to 435 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$7.38B

Previous: $6.92B+6.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.24

Previous: $1.11+11.7%
Total payment volume

$357B

Previous: $340B+5.3%
Active accounts

435.0M

Previous: 426.0M+2.1%
Payment transactions

6.0B

Previous: 5.3B+13.8%
Transactions per account

51.4

Previous: 45.4+13.2%
Capital Expenditures

$158M

Previous: $213M-25.8%
Free Cash Flow

$1.43B

Previous: $1.55B-7.5%
Net Income

$921M

Previous: $801M+15.0%
Operating Income

$1.2B

Previous: $1.05B+14.3%
Gross Profit

$3.67B

Previous: $3.62B+1.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$7.78B

Previous: $5.2B+49.6%
Total Assets

$78.7B

Previous: $75.8B+3.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$294M

Previous: $318M-7.5%

Revenue & EPS history

PayPal · Revenue · Quarterly

$7.38B

Q4 2022+6.7%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

PayPal · $7.42B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Transaction revenue
    $6.65B
  • Other value-added
    $764M

Forward guidance

PayPal provided financial guidance for Q1 2023 and full year 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Q1'23 net revenues expected to grow ~7.5% on a spot basis and ~9% FXN
  • Q1'23 GAAP EPS expected to be $0.62-$0.64
  • Q1'23 non-GAAP EPS expected to grow 23%-25% to $1.08-$1.10
  • FY'23 GAAP EPS expected to be ~$3.27
  • FY'23 non-GAAP EPS expected to grow ~18% to ~$4.87

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

28 / 50 earnings

Positive

+16.6%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-22.9%

Q4 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.3%-10.0%-15.2%
Q4 2025-20.1%-22.8%-9.0%
Q3 2025+4.7%-1.4%-12.0%
Q2 2025-8.7%-14.2%-10.4%
Q1 2025+2.1%+3.6%+9.2%
Q4 2024-13.2%-13.6%-23.9%
Q3 2024-6.4%-7.6%+3.6%
Q2 2024+11.6%+5.2%+24.1%
Q1 2024-1.3%-1.9%-6.7%
Q4 2023-11.9%-5.7%-7.4%
Q3 2023+6.3%+5.4%+15.2%
Q2 2023-15.0%-14.7%-15.8%
Q1 2023-12.1%-17.7%-14.6%
Q4 2022+1.4%-3.1%-7.9%
Q3 2022-5.4%+2.1%-6.0%
Q2 2022+10.6%+7.6%+4.6%
Q1 2022+10.0%+9.4%+1.8%
Q4 2021-22.9%-26.7%-41.1%
Q3 2021-9.0%-7.7%-12.6%
Q2 2021-5.8%-9.8%-7.4%
Q1 2021+0.7%-2.6%+5.1%
Q4 2020+8.6%+13.3%-4.0%
Q3 2020-3.4%+8.9%+14.2%
Q2 2020+9.2%+11.8%+16.0%
Q1 2020+16.6%+14.8%+24.4%
Q4 2019+0.5%-0.0%-7.3%
Q3 2019+7.8%+9.5%+4.5%
Q2 2019-4.2%-7.3%-11.8%
Q1 2019+3.1%+5.2%+2.8%
Q4 2018-2.6%+0.6%+8.4%
Q3 2018+5.9%+9.3%+6.2%
Q2 2018-2.5%-9.9%-1.4%
Q1 2018+1.0%-0.9%+7.5%
Q4 2017-6.4%-10.8%-5.9%
Q3 2017+5.5%+4.4%+13.6%
Q2 2017+3.2%+0.5%+2.9%
Q1 2017+5.5%+6.3%+14.5%
Q4 2016-3.5%-4.6%+3.3%
Q3 2016+9.7%+7.6%-0.4%
Q2 2016-6.6%-5.9%-4.9%
Q1 2015-2.1%
Q1 2016+0.9%
Q4 2014+4.3%
Q4 2015+7.1%
Q3 2014-1.4%
Q3 2015-0.1%
Q2 2015+2.3%
Q4 2013+2.3%
Q2 2014+2.3%
Q1 2014+2.3%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro