NASDAQ$PYPL

PayPal Holdings · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

PayPal's Q4 2024 results exceeded expectations, demonstrating progress in focus, execution, and business repositioning, setting a strong foundation for profitable growth in 2025.

PayPal reported a 4% increase in revenue to $8.4 billion and a 7% increase in total payment volume (TPV) to $437.8 billion. GAAP EPS decreased by 15% to $1.11, while non-GAAP EPS increased by 5% to $1.19. The company also announced a new $15 billion share repurchase authorization.

  • Net revenues increased 4% to $8.4 billion.
  • Total Payment Volume (TPV) increased 7% to $437.8 billion.
  • GAAP EPS decreased 15% to $1.11; non-GAAP EPS increased 5% to $1.19.
  • PayPal's Board of Directors has authorized a new $15 billion stock repurchase program.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$8.37B

Previous: $8.03B+4.2%
EPS (adj)

$1.19

Previous: $1.48-19.6%
Total payment volume

$438B

Previous: $410B+6.8%
Active accounts

434.0M

Previous: 426.0M+1.9%
Payment transactions

6.6B

Previous: 6.8B-2.9%
Transactions per account

60.6

Previous: 58.7+3.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$203M

Previous: -$145M-40.0%
Net Income

$1.12B

Previous: $1.4B-20.0%
Operating Income

$1.44B

Previous: $1.73B-16.6%
Gross Profit

$3.94B

Previous: $3.67B+7.2%
R&D Expense

$773M

Previous: $770M+0.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$283M

Previous: $388M-27.1%

Revenue & EPS history

PayPal · Revenue · Quarterly

$8.37B

Q4 2024+4.2%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

PayPal · $7.42B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Transaction revenue
    $6.65B
  • Other value-added
    $764M

Forward guidance

PayPal provided financial guidance for Q1 2025 and full year 2025.

Tailwinds

  • Q1 2025 GAAP EPS is expected to be $1.11 - $1.13.
  • Q1 2025 Non-GAAP EPS is expected to be $1.15 - $1.17.
  • FY 2025 GAAP EPS is expected to be $4.80 - $4.95.
  • FY 2025 Non-GAAP EPS is expected to be $4.95 - $5.10.
  • Estimated non-GAAP amounts for the full year ending December 31, 2025 reflect adjustments of approximately $200 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

28 / 50 earnings

Positive

+16.6%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-22.9%

Q4 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.3%-10.0%-15.2%
Q4 2025-20.1%-22.8%-9.0%
Q3 2025+4.7%-1.4%-12.0%
Q2 2025-8.7%-14.2%-10.4%
Q1 2025+2.1%+3.6%+9.2%
Q4 2024-13.2%-13.6%-23.9%
Q3 2024-6.4%-7.6%+3.6%
Q2 2024+11.6%+5.2%+24.1%
Q1 2024-1.3%-1.9%-6.7%
Q4 2023-11.9%-5.7%-7.4%
Q3 2023+6.3%+5.4%+15.2%
Q2 2023-15.0%-14.7%-15.8%
Q1 2023-12.1%-17.7%-14.6%
Q4 2022+1.4%-3.1%-7.9%
Q3 2022-5.4%+2.1%-6.0%
Q2 2022+10.6%+7.6%+4.6%
Q1 2022+10.0%+9.4%+1.8%
Q4 2021-22.9%-26.7%-41.1%
Q3 2021-9.0%-7.7%-12.6%
Q2 2021-5.8%-9.8%-7.4%
Q1 2021+0.7%-2.6%+5.1%
Q4 2020+8.6%+13.3%-4.0%
Q3 2020-3.4%+8.9%+14.2%
Q2 2020+9.2%+11.8%+16.0%
Q1 2020+16.6%+14.8%+24.4%
Q4 2019+0.5%-0.0%-7.3%
Q3 2019+7.8%+9.5%+4.5%
Q2 2019-4.2%-7.3%-11.8%
Q1 2019+3.1%+5.2%+2.8%
Q4 2018-2.6%+0.6%+8.4%
Q3 2018+5.9%+9.3%+6.2%
Q2 2018-2.5%-9.9%-1.4%
Q1 2018+1.0%-0.9%+7.5%
Q4 2017-6.4%-10.8%-5.9%
Q3 2017+5.5%+4.4%+13.6%
Q2 2017+3.2%+0.5%+2.9%
Q1 2017+5.5%+6.3%+14.5%
Q4 2016-3.5%-4.6%+3.3%
Q3 2016+9.7%+7.6%-0.4%
Q2 2016-6.6%-5.9%-4.9%
Q1 2015-2.1%
Q1 2016+0.9%
Q4 2014+4.3%
Q4 2015+7.1%
Q3 2014-1.4%
Q3 2015-0.1%
Q2 2015+2.3%
Q4 2013+2.3%
Q2 2014+2.3%
Q1 2014+2.3%

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