NASDAQ$METC

Ramaco Resources Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported quarterly net income and adjusted EBITDA increase compared to the previous quarter.

Ramaco Resources, Inc. reported a strong fourth quarter and full year 2021, marked by record quarterly net income and Adjusted EBITDA. The company's net income and Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter were significantly higher than the previous year. Looking forward, Ramaco is focused on increasing met coal production and returning capital to shareholders.

  • Quarterly net income was $18.6 million (EPS of $0.42) for Q4 2021.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $31.6 million for the fourth quarter of 2021.
  • Company has booked 1.7 million tons of metallurgical coal for 2022 domestic delivery at $196 per short ton FOB mine.
  • Company sold an additional 0.5 million tons of metallurgical coal primarily to export customers at an average FOB mine price of roughly $270 per short ton.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$87.5M

Previous: $51.1M+71.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.42

Previous: -$0.11+481.8%
Realized Pricing

$143.00

Previous: $80.00+78.8%
Cash Cost per Ton

$77.00

Previous: $76.00+1.3%
Cash Margin per Ton

$66.00

Previous: $4.00+1550.0%
Total Tons Sold

535.0K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$11.8M

Previous: $4.24M+179.0%
Free Cash Flow

$3.76M

Previous: $8.13M-53.7%
Net Income

$18.6M

Previous: -$4.75M+492.7%
Operating Income

$22.5M

Previous: -$8.35M+369.3%
Gross Profit

$35.9M

Previous: $2.4M+1394.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$21.9M

Previous: $5.3M+313.0%
Total Assets

$329M

Previous: $229M+43.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.34M

Previous: $1.02M+31.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Ramaco · Revenue · Quarterly

$87.5M

Q4 2021+71.1%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 6 of 16 quarters(38%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Ramaco Resources anticipates a strong year in 2022, with increased production, record earnings, and substantial free cash flow. The company plans to allocate capital to shareholders through dividends and potential share buybacks.

Tailwinds

  • Guiding to 3.2 million tons of production at the midpoint of guidance for full-year 2022.
  • Locked in roughly 2.3 million tons of total sales for 2022 delivery at an average of $206 per short ton FOB mine.
  • Expects to recognize immediate accretion from both avoided royalty payments and further cost reduction.
  • Expects the strongest year of financial and operational performance since the company started.
  • Plans to deploy free cash flow by giving increasing amounts of capital back to shareholders.

Headwinds

  • Mine costs are projected to increase roughly $15 per ton above the $70 per ton level in 2021, primarily due to higher sales related costs.
  • Forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside of Ramaco Resources’ control.
  • Unexpected delays in current mine development activities could impact future production.
  • Failure of sales commitment counterparties to perform could affect revenue.
  • Increased government regulation of coal in the United States or internationally could impact operations.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

15 / 37 earnings

Positive

+19.9%

Q2 2021

Best reaction

-18.4%

Q3 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.6%-2.2%-3.6%
Q4 2025-15.4%-12.4%-11.9%
Q3 2025-16.9%-10.6%-53.9%
Q1 2025-0.4%+3.8%+12.1%
Q4 2024-3.9%+13.8%-8.2%
Q3 2024+10.2%+17.5%+39.4%
Q2 2024+10.9%+12.7%-19.9%
Q1 2024-15.4%-17.7%-16.7%
Q4 2023+7.7%-9.0%-17.3%
Q3 2023-1.8%+46.6%+43.5%
Q2 2023-11.9%-11.6%-15.4%
Q1 2023+9.7%+33.5%+3.2%
Q4 2022-3.9%-4.5%-13.2%
Q3 2022-7.7%-12.1%-9.8%
Q2 2022-17.1%-4.7%-9.7%
Q1 2022+2.6%+11.0%+22.8%
Q4 2021-10.7%+0.4%-1.4%
Q3 2021-10.9%-13.9%-30.8%
Q2 2021+19.9%+25.0%+34.6%
Q1 2021+8.9%+17.4%+32.4%
Q4 2020+8.4%+14.9%+1.8%
Q3 2020-1.3%-2.7%+5.6%
Q2 2020+7.5%+13.3%+20.8%
Q1 2020-8.8%-4.2%+8.8%
Q4 2019-3.9%-9.9%-16.1%
Q3 2019-6.5%-3.1%-11.5%
Q2 2019-9.7%+7.2%+30.5%
Q1 2019-4.3%-5.0%-19.2%
Q4 2018+8.8%+12.0%+2.7%
Q3 2018-17.8%-19.5%-29.9%
Q2 2018+5.9%+24.3%+20.9%
Q1 2018-0.3%+3.2%+13.1%
Q4 2017+1.1%+6.7%-9.2%
Q3 2017-18.4%-26.2%-15.4%
Q2 2017-8.5%-2.5%-1.3%
Q1 2017+2.9%+8.1%-9.1%
Q4 2016+16.2%+9.4%-11.2%
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015

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