NASDAQ$METC

Ramaco Resources Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial results for Q3 2023, highlighting increased shipments and net income.

Ramaco Resources reported a strong third quarter with increased shipments and net income. The company shipped 996,000 tons of coal, achieving its guidance. Net income was $19.5 million, and Adjusted EBITDA was $45.4 million. The company also increased its full-year 2023 coal shipment guidance.

  • Net income reached $19.5 million with Adjusted EPS at $0.45.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $45.4 million, including benefits from insurance claim proceeds.
  • Shipped 996,000 tons of coal, meeting the company's sales guidance.
  • The company repaid $10 million of debt related to the 2022 Ramaco Coal acquisition.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$187M

Previous: $137M+36.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.45

Previous: $0.60-25.0%
Total Tons Sold

996.0K

Previous: 608+163715.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$64.9M

Previous: -$91.4M+29.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$45.5M

Previous: -$64.5M+29.5%
Net Income

$19.5M

Previous: $26.9M-27.7%
Operating Income

$16.1M

Previous: $36.7M-56.2%
Gross Profit

$42.3M

Previous: $57.3M-26.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$42.9M

Previous: $46.6M-7.9%
Total Assets

$647M

Previous: $562M+15.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.2M

Previous: $2.02M+58.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Ramaco · Revenue · Quarterly

$187M

Q3 2023+36.5%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 3 of 13 quarters(23%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Ramaco Resources increased its full-year 2023 coal shipment guidance and expects cash mine costs to be at the high end of the previous guidance range.

Tailwinds

  • Increased midpoint of full-year 2023 coal shipment guidance to 3.25 – 3.5 million tons.
  • Anticipates an ongoing working capital benefit into 2024.
  • Berwind mine produced at a half million ton per annum run-rate in September and October.
  • Committed 1.3 million tons of coal to North American customers for 2024 at an average price of $167 per ton.
  • Mine development commenced at the Brook Mine with an initial goal of obtaining additional quantities of rare earth material.

Headwinds

  • Expects cash mine costs to be at the high end of the previous $102 –108 per ton guidance range for both full-year 2023 and the fourth quarter of 2023.
  • Anticipates costs coming in at $108 - $112 per ton due to continued inflationary pressure.
  • Overall coal inventory levels declined almost 40% from 1.4 million tons to approximately 0.9 million tons.
  • Realized price of $157 per ton during the third quarter was down from $163 per ton in the second quarter 2023.
  • Cash margins on Company produced coal were $43 per ton during the third quarter, down from $54 per ton in the second quarter of 2023.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

15 / 37 earnings

Positive

+19.9%

Q2 2021

Best reaction

-18.4%

Q3 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.6%-2.2%-3.6%
Q4 2025-15.4%-12.4%-11.9%
Q3 2025-16.9%-10.6%-53.9%
Q1 2025-0.4%+3.8%+12.1%
Q4 2024-3.9%+13.8%-8.2%
Q3 2024+10.2%+17.5%+39.4%
Q2 2024+10.9%+12.7%-19.9%
Q1 2024-15.4%-17.7%-16.7%
Q4 2023+7.7%-9.0%-17.3%
Q3 2023-1.8%+46.6%+43.5%
Q2 2023-11.9%-11.6%-15.4%
Q1 2023+9.7%+33.5%+3.2%
Q4 2022-3.9%-4.5%-13.2%
Q3 2022-7.7%-12.1%-9.8%
Q2 2022-17.1%-4.7%-9.7%
Q1 2022+2.6%+11.0%+22.8%
Q4 2021-10.7%+0.4%-1.4%
Q3 2021-10.9%-13.9%-30.8%
Q2 2021+19.9%+25.0%+34.6%
Q1 2021+8.9%+17.4%+32.4%
Q4 2020+8.4%+14.9%+1.8%
Q3 2020-1.3%-2.7%+5.6%
Q2 2020+7.5%+13.3%+20.8%
Q1 2020-8.8%-4.2%+8.8%
Q4 2019-3.9%-9.9%-16.1%
Q3 2019-6.5%-3.1%-11.5%
Q2 2019-9.7%+7.2%+30.5%
Q1 2019-4.3%-5.0%-19.2%
Q4 2018+8.8%+12.0%+2.7%
Q3 2018-17.8%-19.5%-29.9%
Q2 2018+5.9%+24.3%+20.9%
Q1 2018-0.3%+3.2%+13.1%
Q4 2017+1.1%+6.7%-9.2%
Q3 2017-18.4%-26.2%-15.4%
Q2 2017-8.5%-2.5%-1.3%
Q1 2017+2.9%+8.1%-9.1%
Q4 2016+16.2%+9.4%-11.2%
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015

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