NASDAQ$METC

Ramaco Resources Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported highest third quarter Adjusted EBITDA on record and net income increased significantly.

Ramaco Resources reported a strong third quarter in 2021, with net income of $7.0 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $17.8 million, marking the highest third quarter Adjusted EBITDA on record for the Company. The company also strategically concluded 2022 North American sales, booking 1.7 million tons at $196 per short ton, translating to over $325 million in revenue and roughly $190 million in Adjusted EBITDA.

  • Net income was $7.0 million (EPS of $0.16) for Q3 2021.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $17.8 million for Q3 2021, the highest third quarter on record.
  • The Company has largely concluded 2022 North American sales, with 1.7 million tons booked at $196 per short ton FOB mine.
  • Board of Directors authorized the initiation of a regular quarterly dividend to be paid beginning in the first quarter of 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$76.4M

Previous: $39.5M+93.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.16

Previous: -$0.11+245.5%
Realized Pricing

$105.00

Previous: $78.00+34.6%
Total Tons Sold

644.0K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$17.6M

Previous: -$20.5M+14.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$10.6M

Previous: -$25.3M+58.1%
Net Income

$7.04M

Previous: -$4.78M+247.3%
Operating Income

$8.77M

Previous: -$7.58M+215.6%
Gross Profit

$21.6M

Previous: $3.77M+472.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$46.7M

Previous: $6.36M+633.8%
Total Assets

$299M

Previous: $241M+23.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.34M

Previous: $1.09M+23.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Ramaco · Revenue · Quarterly

$76.4M

Q3 2021+93.6%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 6 of 16 quarters(38%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Ramaco Resources anticipates a period of significant free cash flow generation and commitment to continue a regular return of capital to shareholders.

Tailwinds

  • Doubling of low-cost/high-quality production capacity to meet near and medium-term demand growth
  • Continuing period of strong index-based pricing
  • Formidable balance sheet
  • Impending roll-off of much lower priced 2021 domestic met coal contracts
  • Maintaining over 100,000 tons of high-quality met coal production to sell at today’s elevated pricing into the balance of 2021

Headwinds

  • Potential appeals and post-trial motions regarding the $32.7 million jury verdict in its lawsuit related to the November 2018 silo failure against Chubb INA Holdings, Inc.
  • Risks related to the impact of the COVID-19 global pandemic
  • Unexpected delays in current mine development activities
  • Failure of sales commitment counterparties to perform
  • Increased government regulation of coal in the United States or internationally

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

15 / 37 earnings

Positive

+19.9%

Q2 2021

Best reaction

-18.4%

Q3 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.6%-2.2%-3.6%
Q4 2025-15.4%-12.4%-11.9%
Q3 2025-16.9%-10.6%-53.9%
Q1 2025-0.4%+3.8%+12.1%
Q4 2024-3.9%+13.8%-8.2%
Q3 2024+10.2%+17.5%+39.4%
Q2 2024+10.9%+12.7%-19.9%
Q1 2024-15.4%-17.7%-16.7%
Q4 2023+7.7%-9.0%-17.3%
Q3 2023-1.8%+46.6%+43.5%
Q2 2023-11.9%-11.6%-15.4%
Q1 2023+9.7%+33.5%+3.2%
Q4 2022-3.9%-4.5%-13.2%
Q3 2022-7.7%-12.1%-9.8%
Q2 2022-17.1%-4.7%-9.7%
Q1 2022+2.6%+11.0%+22.8%
Q4 2021-10.7%+0.4%-1.4%
Q3 2021-10.9%-13.9%-30.8%
Q2 2021+19.9%+25.0%+34.6%
Q1 2021+8.9%+17.4%+32.4%
Q4 2020+8.4%+14.9%+1.8%
Q3 2020-1.3%-2.7%+5.6%
Q2 2020+7.5%+13.3%+20.8%
Q1 2020-8.8%-4.2%+8.8%
Q4 2019-3.9%-9.9%-16.1%
Q3 2019-6.5%-3.1%-11.5%
Q2 2019-9.7%+7.2%+30.5%
Q1 2019-4.3%-5.0%-19.2%
Q4 2018+8.8%+12.0%+2.7%
Q3 2018-17.8%-19.5%-29.9%
Q2 2018+5.9%+24.3%+20.9%
Q1 2018-0.3%+3.2%+13.1%
Q4 2017+1.1%+6.7%-9.2%
Q3 2017-18.4%-26.2%-15.4%
Q2 2017-8.5%-2.5%-1.3%
Q1 2017+2.9%+8.1%-9.1%
Q4 2016+16.2%+9.4%-11.2%
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015

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