NASDAQ$METC

Ramaco Resources Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ramaco Resources experienced a net loss and a decrease in adjusted EBITDA compared to the same quarter last year, but achieved record quarterly sales and export coal sales.

Ramaco Resources reported a net loss of $4.7 million for Q4 2020, a significant decline from the net income of $1.9 million in Q4 2019. Adjusted EBITDA also decreased to ($1.4) million from $9.0 million in the prior year quarter. Despite these losses, the company achieved record quarterly sales of 515,000 tons and record export coal sales of over 300,000 tons.

  • Q4 2020 saw a net loss of $4.7 million, or $0.11 per diluted share, compared to a net income of $1.9 million, or $0.05 per diluted share in Q4 2019.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was ($1.4) million for Q4 2020, down from $9.0 million in Q4 2019.
  • Total company produced sales of 515,000 tons for Q4 2020 were a quarterly record, including record export coal sales of over 300,000 tons.
  • The company ended 2020 with $22.0 million in liquidity, similar to the level at the end of 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$51.1M

Previous: $45.6M+12.1%
EPS (adj)

-$0.11

Previous: $0.05-320.0%
Realized Pricing

$80.00

Previous: $104.00-23.1%
Cash Cost per Ton

$76.00

Previous: $74.00+2.7%
Cash Margin per Ton

$4.00

Previous: $30.00-86.7%
Capital Expenditures

$4.24M

Previous: $11.7M-63.7%
Free Cash Flow

$8.13M

Previous: $5.08M+60.1%
Net Income

-$4.75M

Previous: $1.89M-351.4%
Operating Income

-$8.35M

Previous: $1.94M-530.4%
Gross Profit

$2.4M

Previous: $12.4M-80.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$5.3M

Previous: $5.53M-4.2%
Total Assets

$229M

Previous: $227M+0.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.02M

Previous: $1M+1.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Ramaco · Revenue · Quarterly

$51.1M

Q4 2020+12.1%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 7 of 16 quarters(44%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Ramaco Resources anticipates increased production and sales in 2021, with a focus on metallurgical coal. The company plans to resume growth capital spending, which is expected to positively impact future earning capacity.

Tailwinds

  • U.S. metallurgical coal indices are up well over 50% above their 2020 COVID-induced lows.
  • Steel prices are near all-time highs.
  • Governments around the world are increasing money supply at the fastest rates ever seen.
  • Massive proposed global fiscal stimulus packages aimed at consumption and infrastructure.
  • Strengthening demand landscape is dramatically contrasted against very negative supply-constraining conditions.

Headwinds

  • Challenges in securing coal-related financing.
  • ESG issues.
  • Regulatory and permitting challenges.
  • The thermal coal overhang in ARO and related legacy liabilities which impact many of our peers.
  • Force majeure notices from two customers for cancellation of orders for over 200,000 tons.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

15 / 37 earnings

Positive

+19.9%

Q2 2021

Best reaction

-18.4%

Q3 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.6%-2.2%-3.6%
Q4 2025-15.4%-12.4%-11.9%
Q3 2025-16.9%-10.6%-53.9%
Q1 2025-0.4%+3.8%+12.1%
Q4 2024-3.9%+13.8%-8.2%
Q3 2024+10.2%+17.5%+39.4%
Q2 2024+10.9%+12.7%-19.9%
Q1 2024-15.4%-17.7%-16.7%
Q4 2023+7.7%-9.0%-17.3%
Q3 2023-1.8%+46.6%+43.5%
Q2 2023-11.9%-11.6%-15.4%
Q1 2023+9.7%+33.5%+3.2%
Q4 2022-3.9%-4.5%-13.2%
Q3 2022-7.7%-12.1%-9.8%
Q2 2022-17.1%-4.7%-9.7%
Q1 2022+2.6%+11.0%+22.8%
Q4 2021-10.7%+0.4%-1.4%
Q3 2021-10.9%-13.9%-30.8%
Q2 2021+19.9%+25.0%+34.6%
Q1 2021+8.9%+17.4%+32.4%
Q4 2020+8.4%+14.9%+1.8%
Q3 2020-1.3%-2.7%+5.6%
Q2 2020+7.5%+13.3%+20.8%
Q1 2020-8.8%-4.2%+8.8%
Q4 2019-3.9%-9.9%-16.1%
Q3 2019-6.5%-3.1%-11.5%
Q2 2019-9.7%+7.2%+30.5%
Q1 2019-4.3%-5.0%-19.2%
Q4 2018+8.8%+12.0%+2.7%
Q3 2018-17.8%-19.5%-29.9%
Q2 2018+5.9%+24.3%+20.9%
Q1 2018-0.3%+3.2%+13.1%
Q4 2017+1.1%+6.7%-9.2%
Q3 2017-18.4%-26.2%-15.4%
Q2 2017-8.5%-2.5%-1.3%
Q1 2017+2.9%+8.1%-9.1%
Q4 2016+16.2%+9.4%-11.2%
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015

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