NASDAQ$MERC

Mercer International Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mercer International Inc. reported improved results due to lower fiber and production costs, but was negatively impacted by weak pulp and lumber markets.

Mercer International Inc. reported a net loss of $26.0 million for the third quarter of 2023, an improvement from the previous quarter but lower than the same quarter of the previous year. The company's Operating EBITDA was $37.5 million, also an improvement from the previous quarter but lower than the previous year. The company saw strong growth in its mass timber business and enhanced its liquidity through a senior note issue and expansion of its credit facility.

  • Third quarter Operating EBITDA of $37.5 million and net loss of $26.0 million.
  • Continued strong growth and integration of our mass timber business.
  • Enhanced liquidity by completing $200 million 2028 senior note issue and expanding availability under German revolving credit facility by €70 million.
  • Quarterly cash dividend of $0.075 per share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$471M

Previous: $533M-11.6%
EPS (adj)

-$0.39

Previous: $1.00-139.0%
Lumber Production (MMfbm)

94.4M

No prior period
Avg Lumber Sales Realizations

$443.00

Previous: $605.00-26.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$37.4M

Previous: -$48.6M+23.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$63.3M

Previous: $18.2M-448.2%
Net Income

-$26M

Previous: $66.7M-138.9%
Operating Income

-$3.43M

Previous: $109M-103.2%
Gross Profit

-$444M

Previous: -$400M-11.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$344M

Previous: $287M+19.7%
Total Assets

$2.66B

Previous: $2.54B+4.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.75M

Previous: $1.21M+44.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Mercer · Revenue · Quarterly

$471M

Q3 2023-11.6%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 14 quarters(79%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mercer · $468M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Pulp Segment
    $349M-23.6%
  • Solid Wood Segment
    $120M+61.0%

Forward guidance

Although year to date, the pulp and lumber markets have been soft, we are now seeing some improvements, including modestly higher pulp pricing across all our markets and lower costs, particular for fiber. Our team has demonstrated resilience by focusing on the variables we can control such as reducing our inventories and capital spending, and cutting discretionary spending to ensure our cash and liquidity levels continue to be healthy. As a result of our strong liquidity, we are well positioned to continue to execute our strategic plan through this business cycle, while maintaining a strong focus on lowering costs and liquidity.

Tailwinds

  • Modestly higher pulp pricing across all our markets.
  • Lower costs, particular for fiber.
  • Reducing our inventories.
  • Reducing our capital spending.
  • Cutting discretionary spending to ensure our cash and liquidity levels continue to be healthy.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

28 / 64 earnings

Positive

+24.5%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-15.5%

Q1 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.6%-26.9%-24.3%
Q3 2025-6.9%-6.3%-11.7%
Q1 2025-7.3%-20.0%-15.0%
Q4 2024+16.9%+22.8%-1.1%
Q3 2024-0.2%-2.3%-4.3%
Q2 2024+6.6%+0.8%-12.6%
Q1 2024-2.4%-3.3%-17.2%
Q4 2023+9.1%+7.7%+20.4%
Q3 2023+22.4%+19.3%+23.4%
Q2 2023+7.1%-4.9%+7.1%
Q1 2023-5.1%-3.6%-6.7%
Q4 2022-2.4%-5.6%-17.8%
Q3 2022-4.7%-11.6%-3.4%
Q2 2022+0.0%-5.4%+1.8%
Q1 2022+1.4%+3.5%-5.4%
Q4 2021+1.4%+4.6%+11.0%
Q3 2021+2.2%+0.3%+5.7%
Q2 2021-0.3%+0.9%+0.4%
Q1 2021-3.8%-5.8%-13.4%
Q4 2020-4.8%-2.2%+5.9%
Q3 2020+6.8%+16.5%+39.9%
Q2 2020-6.9%-10.5%+6.0%
Q1 2020-2.9%-13.9%-16.1%
Q4 2019-5.5%-4.5%-30.8%
Q3 2019+3.4%+6.9%+1.9%
Q2 2019-5.4%-10.6%-7.6%
Q1 2019+23.8%+23.8%+2.0%
Q4 2018-2.3%-3.7%-9.4%
Q3 2018-8.0%-13.0%-30.8%
Q2 2018+2.1%+7.2%+5.7%
Q1 2018+1.5%+7.1%+20.6%
Q4 2017+1.5%-2.3%-0.8%
Q3 2017-2.4%+2.8%+0.0%
Q2 2017-7.0%-9.0%-9.0%
Q1 2017-2.0%-5.2%-7.6%
Q4 2016+0.4%+4.2%+2.1%
Q3 2016+1.9%+1.3%+23.2%
Q2 2016-3.2%-2.7%+2.9%
Q1 2016-12.8%
Q4 2015+24.5%
Q3 2015+1.7%
Q2 2015-0.9%
Q1 2015-2.4%
Q4 2014+0.9%
Q3 2014+11.4%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014+8.3%
Q4 2013+0.6%
Q3 2013+5.6%
Q2 2013+0.0%
Q1 2013+0.5%
Q4 2012-0.7%
Q3 2012-0.1%
Q2 2012+7.2%
Q1 2011-0.1%
Q1 2012+0.6%
Q4 2009-0.3%
Q4 2011-0.3%
Q3 2011-5.7%
Q3 2010-5.7%
Q2 2010-9.1%
Q2 2011-9.1%
Q4 2010-9.1%
Q1 2010-15.5%

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