NASDAQ$MERC

Mercer International Inc · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mercer International Inc. experienced improved operating cash flows and liquidity driven by strengthened pulp markets, but reported a net loss due to a non-cash impairment.

Mercer International Inc. reported second quarter Operating EBITDA of $30.4 million, an increase from negative Operating EBITDA of $68.7 million in the same quarter of 2023. Net loss was $67.6 million ($1.01 per share), which included a non-cash impairment of $34.3 million.

  • Second quarter Operating EBITDA of $30.4 million and net loss of $67.6 million.
  • Strengthened pulp markets drive improvement in operating cash flows and liquidity.
  • Pulp prices are expected to soften slightly in the third quarter of 2024.
  • Lumber prices are expected to remain relatively steady in the third quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$499M

Previous: $530M-5.8%
EPS (adj)

-$1.01

Previous: -$1.48+31.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$17.9M

Previous: -$39.5M+54.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$85.5M

Previous: -$138M+38.0%
Net Income

-$67.6M

Previous: -$98.3M+31.2%
Operating Income

-$43.8M

Previous: -$109M+59.8%
Gross Profit

-$479M

Previous: -$606M+21.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$263M

Previous: $213M+23.4%
Total Assets

$2.48B

Previous: $2.63B-5.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.4M

Previous: $1.39M+1.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Mercer · Revenue · Quarterly

$499M

Q2 2024-5.8%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 14 quarters(79%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mercer · $468M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Pulp Segment
    $349M-23.6%
  • Solid Wood Segment
    $120M+61.0%

Forward guidance

The company expects pulp prices to soften slightly and lumber prices to remain relatively steady in the third quarter of 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Continue to expect to realize the synergies at Torgau as market and economic conditions improve.
  • Proceed with certain previously announced, high-return capital projects at the Torgau facility designed to increase the facility's lumber production capacity to approximately 440 million board feet and planing capacity to approximately 145 million board feet.
  • Completing optimization projects at our Mercer Spokane facility which are expected to have a meaningful impact on our production costs.
  • Believe we are well-positioned to realize on strengthened pulp markets going into the second half of 2024.
  • Expect stable per unit fiber costs in the third quarter of 2024.

Headwinds

  • Pulp prices to soften slightly in the third quarter of 2024 due to easing supply-side disruptions and lower seasonal demand.
  • Lumber pricing was relatively flat in the second quarter of 2024 compared to the first quarter of 2024 due to continued weakness in both the U.S. and Europe.
  • Lumber prices to remain relatively steady in the third quarter as demand continues to be impacted by the high interest rate environment and economic uncertainty.
  • Recognized a non-cash goodwill impairment of $34.3 million related to the Torgau facility as a result of ongoing weakness in European lumber, pallet and biofuel markets stemming from high interest rates and other economic conditions.
  • Solid wood segment continues to be negatively impacted by the high interest rate environment.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

28 / 64 earnings

Positive

+24.5%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-15.5%

Q1 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.6%-26.9%-24.3%
Q3 2025-6.9%-6.3%-11.7%
Q1 2025-7.3%-20.0%-15.0%
Q4 2024+16.9%+22.8%-1.1%
Q3 2024-0.2%-2.3%-4.3%
Q2 2024+6.6%+0.8%-12.6%
Q1 2024-2.4%-3.3%-17.2%
Q4 2023+9.1%+7.7%+20.4%
Q3 2023+22.4%+19.3%+23.4%
Q2 2023+7.1%-4.9%+7.1%
Q1 2023-5.1%-3.6%-6.7%
Q4 2022-2.4%-5.6%-17.8%
Q3 2022-4.7%-11.6%-3.4%
Q2 2022+0.0%-5.4%+1.8%
Q1 2022+1.4%+3.5%-5.4%
Q4 2021+1.4%+4.6%+11.0%
Q3 2021+2.2%+0.3%+5.7%
Q2 2021-0.3%+0.9%+0.4%
Q1 2021-3.8%-5.8%-13.4%
Q4 2020-4.8%-2.2%+5.9%
Q3 2020+6.8%+16.5%+39.9%
Q2 2020-6.9%-10.5%+6.0%
Q1 2020-2.9%-13.9%-16.1%
Q4 2019-5.5%-4.5%-30.8%
Q3 2019+3.4%+6.9%+1.9%
Q2 2019-5.4%-10.6%-7.6%
Q1 2019+23.8%+23.8%+2.0%
Q4 2018-2.3%-3.7%-9.4%
Q3 2018-8.0%-13.0%-30.8%
Q2 2018+2.1%+7.2%+5.7%
Q1 2018+1.5%+7.1%+20.6%
Q4 2017+1.5%-2.3%-0.8%
Q3 2017-2.4%+2.8%+0.0%
Q2 2017-7.0%-9.0%-9.0%
Q1 2017-2.0%-5.2%-7.6%
Q4 2016+0.4%+4.2%+2.1%
Q3 2016+1.9%+1.3%+23.2%
Q2 2016-3.2%-2.7%+2.9%
Q1 2016-12.8%
Q4 2015+24.5%
Q3 2015+1.7%
Q2 2015-0.9%
Q1 2015-2.4%
Q4 2014+0.9%
Q3 2014+11.4%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014+8.3%
Q4 2013+0.6%
Q3 2013+5.6%
Q2 2013+0.0%
Q1 2013+0.5%
Q4 2012-0.7%
Q3 2012-0.1%
Q2 2012+7.2%
Q1 2011-0.1%
Q1 2012+0.6%
Q4 2009-0.3%
Q4 2011-0.3%
Q3 2011-5.7%
Q3 2010-5.7%
Q2 2010-9.1%
Q2 2011-9.1%
Q4 2010-9.1%
Q1 2010-15.5%

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