NASDAQ$MERC

Mercer International Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mercer International Inc. reported third quarter earnings, with net income of $66.7 million and Operating EBITDA of $140.9 million, and announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.075 per share.

Mercer International Inc. reported third quarter 2022 results with a net income of $66.7 million and Operating EBITDA of $140.9 million. The company's performance was driven by strong energy and pulp prices, favorable foreign exchange movements, and lower planned major maintenance. The acquisition of HIT Torgau mill expanded the company's lumber capacity and diversified its product offering.

  • Third quarter net income was $66.7 million and Operating EBITDA was $140.9 million.
  • Total revenues in the third quarter of 2022 increased by approximately 13% to $532.8 million from $469.7 million in the same quarter of 2021.
  • The company expanded its German solid wood business with the acquisition of HIT Torgau.
  • A quarterly dividend of $0.075 per share will be paid on December 29, 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$533M

Previous: $470M+13.4%
EPS (adj)

$1.00

Previous: $1.04-3.8%
Avg Lumber Sales Realizations

$605.00

Previous: $692.00-12.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$48.6M

Previous: -$38.3M-26.8%
Free Cash Flow

$18.2M

Previous: $30.8M-41.0%
Net Income

$66.7M

Previous: $69.1M-3.4%
Operating Income

$109M

Previous: $114M-4.4%
Gross Profit

-$400M

Previous: -$337M-18.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$287M

Previous: $339M-15.2%
Total Assets

$2.54B

Previous: $2.23B+14.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.21M

Previous: $1.01M+20.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Mercer · Revenue · Quarterly

$533M

Q3 2022+13.4%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 11 of 14 quarters(79%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mercer · $531M total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Pulp Segment
    $457M+15.1%
  • Solid Wood Segment
    $74.3M

Forward guidance

Looking forward to the fourth quarter, the company expects pulp prices and demand to remain generally strong with some modest price declines. Lumber demand and prices are expected to be generally similar to the third quarter. Strong energy demand and prices in Germany are expected to continue.

Tailwinds

  • Pulp prices and demand are expected to remain generally strong.
  • The company believes it is well positioned to enhance value for its stakeholders.
  • Strong energy demand and prices in Germany are expected to continue.
  • Integration of HIT Torgau mill is underway, with an estimated $16 million of annual synergies identified.
  • The company maintains property and business interruption insurance for the Stendal mill.

Headwinds

  • Modest price declines in pulp are expected as a result of inflationary pressures negatively impacting paper demand.
  • Lumber demand and prices are expected to be generally similar to the third quarter due to continued economic uncertainty.
  • The negative impact of increased key production costs such as fiber, energy and chemicals in the third quarter is expected to continue.
  • Fiber costs in Germany increased because of materially higher demand for wood for energy purposes.
  • The EU implemented a temporary mandatory cap on market revenues at €180 per MWh for intra-marginal generators.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

28 / 64 earnings

Positive

+24.5%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-15.5%

Q1 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.6%-26.9%-24.3%
Q3 2025-6.9%-6.3%-11.7%
Q1 2025-7.3%-20.0%-15.0%
Q4 2024+16.9%+22.8%-1.1%
Q3 2024-0.2%-2.3%-4.3%
Q2 2024+6.6%+0.8%-12.6%
Q1 2024-2.4%-3.3%-17.2%
Q4 2023+9.1%+7.7%+20.4%
Q3 2023+22.4%+19.3%+23.4%
Q2 2023+7.1%-4.9%+7.1%
Q1 2023-5.1%-3.6%-6.7%
Q4 2022-2.4%-5.6%-17.8%
Q3 2022-4.7%-11.6%-3.4%
Q2 2022+0.0%-5.4%+1.8%
Q1 2022+1.4%+3.5%-5.4%
Q4 2021+1.4%+4.6%+11.0%
Q3 2021+2.2%+0.3%+5.7%
Q2 2021-0.3%+0.9%+0.4%
Q1 2021-3.8%-5.8%-13.4%
Q4 2020-4.8%-2.2%+5.9%
Q3 2020+6.8%+16.5%+39.9%
Q2 2020-6.9%-10.5%+6.0%
Q1 2020-2.9%-13.9%-16.1%
Q4 2019-5.5%-4.5%-30.8%
Q3 2019+3.4%+6.9%+1.9%
Q2 2019-5.4%-10.6%-7.6%
Q1 2019+23.8%+23.8%+2.0%
Q4 2018-2.3%-3.7%-9.4%
Q3 2018-8.0%-13.0%-30.8%
Q2 2018+2.1%+7.2%+5.7%
Q1 2018+1.5%+7.1%+20.6%
Q4 2017+1.5%-2.3%-0.8%
Q3 2017-2.4%+2.8%+0.0%
Q2 2017-7.0%-9.0%-9.0%
Q1 2017-2.0%-5.2%-7.6%
Q4 2016+0.4%+4.2%+2.1%
Q3 2016+1.9%+1.3%+23.2%
Q2 2016-3.2%-2.7%+2.9%
Q1 2016-12.8%
Q4 2015+24.5%
Q3 2015+1.7%
Q2 2015-0.9%
Q1 2015-2.4%
Q4 2014+0.9%
Q3 2014+11.4%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014+8.3%
Q4 2013+0.6%
Q3 2013+5.6%
Q2 2013+0.0%
Q1 2013+0.5%
Q4 2012-0.7%
Q3 2012-0.1%
Q2 2012+7.2%
Q1 2011-0.1%
Q1 2012+0.6%
Q4 2009-0.3%
Q4 2011-0.3%
Q3 2011-5.7%
Q3 2010-5.7%
Q2 2010-9.1%
Q2 2011-9.1%
Q4 2010-9.1%
Q1 2010-15.5%

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