NASDAQ$ICFI

ICF International Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

ICF reported strong fourth quarter and full year 2024 results, driven by robust demand from commercial energy clients and improved profitability.

ICF reported a strong fourth quarter in 2024, with revenue increasing by 4% to $496.3 million and net income rising by 11% to $24.6 million. Diluted EPS was $1.30, up 12% year-over-year. The company also achieved a quarterly book-to-bill ratio of 1.02, with contract awards totaling $504 million.

  • Fourth quarter revenue increased 4% to $496.3 million, driven by strong demand from commercial energy clients.
  • Net income for the fourth quarter was $24.6 million, an 11% increase year-over-year, with diluted EPS at $1.30, up 12%.
  • Non-GAAP EPS for the fourth quarter increased 11% to $1.87.
  • Contract awards in the fourth quarter totaled $504 million, resulting in a book-to-bill ratio of 1.02.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$496M

Previous: $478M+3.8%
EPS (adj)

$1.87

Previous: $1.68+11.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$5.87M

Previous: -$4.46M-31.6%
Free Cash Flow

$89.5M

Previous: $102M-12.6%
Net Income

$24.6M

Previous: $22M+11.7%
Operating Income

$36.5M

Previous: $36.9M-1.2%
Gross Profit

$166M

Previous: $160M+3.5%

Revenue & EPS history

ICF · Revenue · Quarterly

$496M

Q4 2024+3.8%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

ICF expects 2025 total revenues, GAAP EPS, and Non-GAAP EPS to range from flat to down 10% from 2024 levels, with a 10% decline representing the maximum downside risk from federal government client business loss. The company plans to manage expenditures to maintain similar adjusted EBITDA margins to those of 2024, and projects operating cash flow to be approximately $150 million.

Tailwinds

  • Commercial energy, state, local, and international government client revenues are projected to grow at least 15% in aggregate.
  • The company's strong financial position provides flexibility to capitalize on opportunities.
  • ICF has a proven track record of effectively managing through dynamic business environments.
  • The company repurchased 395,000 shares from mid-November 2024 to date, demonstrating confidence in its long-term outlook.
  • The acquisition of Applied Energy Group (AEG) is anticipated to be immediately accretive to ICF's Non-GAAP EPS.

Headwinds

  • Total revenues, GAAP EPS, and Non-GAAP EPS are expected to range from flat to down 10% from 2024 levels.
  • Revenues from federal government clients are expected to be challenged in 2025 due to potential funding curtailments and a slower pace of new RFPs.
  • The guidance does not account for an extensive government shutdown.
  • The guidance does not account for a prolonged period of pauses in funding modifications to existing contracts or new procurements.
  • The maximum downside risk of a 10% decline is primarily due to the potential loss of business from federal government clients.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 65 earnings

Positive

+19.7%

Q4 2013

Best reaction

-20.7%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.2%-12.6%-5.1%
Q4 2025+4.5%-0.5%+2.6%
Q3 2025-7.3%-2.7%-8.7%
Q1 2025-6.6%-1.1%+0.8%
Q4 2024-20.7%-18.1%-13.8%
Q3 2024-1.9%-0.1%-19.0%
Q2 2024+9.0%+4.4%+12.7%
Q1 2024+3.1%+4.6%-0.8%
Q4 2023-0.6%-1.3%-4.7%
Q3 2023-0.2%+4.9%+13.0%
Q2 2023+4.5%+6.8%+11.0%
Q1 2023+2.0%+2.1%+9.4%
Q4 2022+6.0%+10.2%+5.6%
Q3 2022-10.5%-9.5%-5.7%
Q2 2022+5.8%+5.8%+6.8%
Q1 2022+3.3%+0.8%+4.9%
Q4 2021+1.3%-3.2%+7.0%
Q3 2021+3.1%+3.9%-1.6%
Q2 2021-2.2%+0.2%+3.7%
Q1 2021+3.5%+1.1%-2.0%
Q4 2020-3.0%+1.9%+8.3%
Q3 2020+2.0%+11.2%+9.1%
Q2 2020+9.9%+5.7%+1.2%
Q1 2020-6.1%-9.0%-1.5%
Q4 2019-5.6%-0.4%-19.5%
Q3 2019+3.4%-0.6%+7.3%
Q2 2019-3.3%-6.3%-0.6%
Q1 2019+0.1%-0.5%-5.1%
Q4 2018+1.9%+3.0%+2.8%
Q3 2018+0.4%-7.0%-4.9%
Q2 2018+5.9%+0.7%+10.8%
Q1 2018-2.7%-3.9%+5.8%
Q4 2017+1.7%+6.8%+4.3%
Q3 2017-4.6%-1.4%+0.7%
Q2 2017+1.3%-0.1%+13.3%
Q1 2017+7.8%+7.1%+7.2%
Q4 2016-16.5%-20.1%-20.5%
Q3 2016+4.1%+5.3%+19.6%
Q2 2016+1.5%-0.2%+2.3%
Q1 2016+1.8%
Q4 2015-9.2%
Q3 2015-4.5%
Q2 2015+8.7%
Q1 2015-4.8%
Q4 2014+2.1%
Q3 2014+1.7%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014-4.1%
Q4 2013+19.7%
Q3 2013-5.1%
Q2 2013+4.8%
Q1 2013+2.3%
Q4 2012+1.9%
Q3 2012+11.3%
Q2 2012-9.5%
Q1 2011-2.2%
Q1 2012-7.0%
Q4 2009+0.5%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q3 2010+0.8%
Q3 2011+0.8%
Q4 2010-6.7%
Q2 2011-6.7%
Q2 2010-6.7%
Q1 2010-4.9%

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