NASDAQ$ICFI

ICF International Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ICF's fourth quarter and full year 2023 results were reported, showing double-digit revenue growth aligned with strength in growth markets.

ICF reported a 1% increase in revenue for the fourth quarter, totaling $478 million. Excluding divestitures, revenue increased by 5%. Net income was $22 million, with diluted EPS at $1.16. Non-GAAP EPS was $1.68, up 8%.

  • Revenue increased 1% to $478 million, or 5% excluding divestitures.
  • Net income was $22 million, with diluted EPS at $1.16, inclusive of $0.18 in tax-effected net special charges.
  • Non-GAAP EPS was $1.68, an increase of 8%.
  • Contract awards totaled $611 million, resulting in a book-to-bill ratio of 1.3.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$478M

Previous: $476M+0.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.68

Previous: $1.56+7.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$4.46M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$102M

No prior period
Net Income

$22M

Previous: $8.88M+147.8%
Operating Income

$36.9M

Previous: $23M+60.1%
Gross Profit

$160M

Previous: $176M-8.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.73M

Previous: $3.15M+50.2%

Revenue & EPS history

ICF · Revenue · Quarterly

$478M

Q4 2023+0.6%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

ICF expects 2024 organic revenues from continuing operations to range from $2.03 billion to $2.10 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 5.2% at the midpoint when compared to reported 2023 and 8.5% at the midpoint on continuing operations. EBITDA is expected to range from $220 million to $230 million, reflecting year-on-year growth of 14.2% at the midpoint. Our guidance range for GAAP EPS is $5.25 to $5.55, excluding special charges, and for Non-GAAP EPS is $6.60 to $6.90.

Tailwinds

  • Strong backlog
  • Positive trends in key growth markets
  • Revenue growth from continuing operations expected to range from $2.03 billion to $2.10 billion
  • EBITDA expected to range from $220 million to $230 million
  • GAAP EPS is expected to range from $5.25 to $5.55, excluding special charges, and for Non-GAAP EPS is $6.60 to $6.90.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 65 earnings

Positive

+19.7%

Q4 2013

Best reaction

-20.7%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.2%-12.6%-5.1%
Q4 2025+4.5%-0.5%+2.6%
Q3 2025-7.3%-2.7%-8.7%
Q1 2025-6.6%-1.1%+0.8%
Q4 2024-20.7%-18.1%-13.8%
Q3 2024-1.9%-0.1%-19.0%
Q2 2024+9.0%+4.4%+12.7%
Q1 2024+3.1%+4.6%-0.8%
Q4 2023-0.6%-1.3%-4.7%
Q3 2023-0.2%+4.9%+13.0%
Q2 2023+4.5%+6.8%+11.0%
Q1 2023+2.0%+2.1%+9.4%
Q4 2022+6.0%+10.2%+5.6%
Q3 2022-10.5%-9.5%-5.7%
Q2 2022+5.8%+5.8%+6.8%
Q1 2022+3.3%+0.8%+4.9%
Q4 2021+1.3%-3.2%+7.0%
Q3 2021+3.1%+3.9%-1.6%
Q2 2021-2.2%+0.2%+3.7%
Q1 2021+3.5%+1.1%-2.0%
Q4 2020-3.0%+1.9%+8.3%
Q3 2020+2.0%+11.2%+9.1%
Q2 2020+9.9%+5.7%+1.2%
Q1 2020-6.1%-9.0%-1.5%
Q4 2019-5.6%-0.4%-19.5%
Q3 2019+3.4%-0.6%+7.3%
Q2 2019-3.3%-6.3%-0.6%
Q1 2019+0.1%-0.5%-5.1%
Q4 2018+1.9%+3.0%+2.8%
Q3 2018+0.4%-7.0%-4.9%
Q2 2018+5.9%+0.7%+10.8%
Q1 2018-2.7%-3.9%+5.8%
Q4 2017+1.7%+6.8%+4.3%
Q3 2017-4.6%-1.4%+0.7%
Q2 2017+1.3%-0.1%+13.3%
Q1 2017+7.8%+7.1%+7.2%
Q4 2016-16.5%-20.1%-20.5%
Q3 2016+4.1%+5.3%+19.6%
Q2 2016+1.5%-0.2%+2.3%
Q1 2016+1.8%
Q4 2015-9.2%
Q3 2015-4.5%
Q2 2015+8.7%
Q1 2015-4.8%
Q4 2014+2.1%
Q3 2014+1.7%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014-4.1%
Q4 2013+19.7%
Q3 2013-5.1%
Q2 2013+4.8%
Q1 2013+2.3%
Q4 2012+1.9%
Q3 2012+11.3%
Q2 2012-9.5%
Q1 2011-2.2%
Q1 2012-7.0%
Q4 2009+0.5%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q3 2010+0.8%
Q3 2011+0.8%
Q4 2010-6.7%
Q2 2011-6.7%
Q2 2010-6.7%
Q1 2010-4.9%

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