NASDAQ$ICFI

ICF International Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ICF reported a strong start to the year with double-digit revenue growth and substantial margin expansion. The company's business development pipeline increased, and it reaffirmed its full-year 2023 guidance.

ICF's first quarter 2023 results showed a 16.9% increase in total revenue to $483.3 million. Net income was $16.4 million, with a GAAP diluted EPS of $0.87. Non-GAAP Adjusted EPS increased by 8.4% to $1.42. The company's contract awards were $410 million, and the business development pipeline reached a record $9.9 billion.

  • Total revenue increased by 16.9% to $483.3 million.
  • Service revenue was up 15% to $351.3 million.
  • Non-GAAP Adjusted EPS rose by 8% to $1.42.
  • Contract awards totaled $410 million, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.30.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$483M

Previous: $413M+16.9%
EPS (adj)

$1.42

Previous: $1.31+8.4%
Contract Awards

$410M

No prior period
Total Backlog

$3.7B

No prior period
Funded Backlog

$1.7B

No prior period
Book-to-Bill Ratio

1.3

Previous: 1.27+2.4%
Adjusted EBITDA

$51M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$16.4M

Previous: $17.9M-8.2%
Net Income

$16.4M

Previous: $17.9M-8.2%
Operating Income

$31.5M

Previous: $27.7M+13.5%
Gross Profit

$171M

Previous: $155M+9.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$5.36M

Previous: $7.39M-27.4%
Total Assets

$2.07B

Previous: $1.86B+11.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.75M

Previous: $3.56M+5.2%

Revenue & EPS history

ICF · Revenue · Quarterly

$483M

Q1 2023+16.9%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

ICF reaffirms its guidance for full year 2023 with Service Revenue of $1.405 billion to $1.465 billion, total revenue of $1.930 billion to $2.0 billion, EBITDA of $210 million to $220 million, U.S. GAAP diluted EPS of $4.75 to $5.05, and Non-GAAP Adjusted EPS of $6.15 to $6.45.

Tailwinds

  • Service Revenue is projected to be between $1.405 billion and $1.465 billion, representing an 11.6% year-on-year growth at the midpoint.
  • Total revenue is expected to be between $1.930 billion and $2.0 billion.
  • EBITDA is estimated to range from $210 million to $220 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA Margin on Service Revenue is expected to be approximately 15%.
  • Non-GAAP Adjusted EPS is expected to range from $6.15 to $6.45.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 65 earnings

Positive

+19.7%

Q4 2013

Best reaction

-20.7%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.2%-12.6%-5.1%
Q4 2025+4.5%-0.5%+2.6%
Q3 2025-7.3%-2.7%-8.7%
Q1 2025-6.6%-1.1%+0.8%
Q4 2024-20.7%-18.1%-13.8%
Q3 2024-1.9%-0.1%-19.0%
Q2 2024+9.0%+4.4%+12.7%
Q1 2024+3.1%+4.6%-0.8%
Q4 2023-0.6%-1.3%-4.7%
Q3 2023-0.2%+4.9%+13.0%
Q2 2023+4.5%+6.8%+11.0%
Q1 2023+2.0%+2.1%+9.4%
Q4 2022+6.0%+10.2%+5.6%
Q3 2022-10.5%-9.5%-5.7%
Q2 2022+5.8%+5.8%+6.8%
Q1 2022+3.3%+0.8%+4.9%
Q4 2021+1.3%-3.2%+7.0%
Q3 2021+3.1%+3.9%-1.6%
Q2 2021-2.2%+0.2%+3.7%
Q1 2021+3.5%+1.1%-2.0%
Q4 2020-3.0%+1.9%+8.3%
Q3 2020+2.0%+11.2%+9.1%
Q2 2020+9.9%+5.7%+1.2%
Q1 2020-6.1%-9.0%-1.5%
Q4 2019-5.6%-0.4%-19.5%
Q3 2019+3.4%-0.6%+7.3%
Q2 2019-3.3%-6.3%-0.6%
Q1 2019+0.1%-0.5%-5.1%
Q4 2018+1.9%+3.0%+2.8%
Q3 2018+0.4%-7.0%-4.9%
Q2 2018+5.9%+0.7%+10.8%
Q1 2018-2.7%-3.9%+5.8%
Q4 2017+1.7%+6.8%+4.3%
Q3 2017-4.6%-1.4%+0.7%
Q2 2017+1.3%-0.1%+13.3%
Q1 2017+7.8%+7.1%+7.2%
Q4 2016-16.5%-20.1%-20.5%
Q3 2016+4.1%+5.3%+19.6%
Q2 2016+1.5%-0.2%+2.3%
Q1 2016+1.8%
Q4 2015-9.2%
Q3 2015-4.5%
Q2 2015+8.7%
Q1 2015-4.8%
Q4 2014+2.1%
Q3 2014+1.7%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014-4.1%
Q4 2013+19.7%
Q3 2013-5.1%
Q2 2013+4.8%
Q1 2013+2.3%
Q4 2012+1.9%
Q3 2012+11.3%
Q2 2012-9.5%
Q1 2011-2.2%
Q1 2012-7.0%
Q4 2009+0.5%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q3 2010+0.8%
Q3 2011+0.8%
Q4 2010-6.7%
Q2 2011-6.7%
Q2 2010-6.7%
Q1 2010-4.9%

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