NASDAQ$ICFI

ICF International Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ICF's Q4 2021 results were reported, showing a mix of revenue changes and strategic acquisitions.

ICF reported Q4 2021 total revenue of $388 million, with service revenue increasing by 4.3% to $273 million. Diluted EPS was $0.63, while non-GAAP EPS reached $1.19. The company's contract awards totaled $652 million, resulting in a book-to-bill ratio of 1.68.

  • Total revenue reached $388 million, with service revenue up 4.3% to $273 million.
  • Diluted EPS was $0.63, inclusive of tax-effected facility and M&A charges.
  • Non-GAAP EPS was $1.19.
  • Contract awards totaled $652 million, resulting in a book-to-bill ratio of 1.68.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$388M

Previous: $434M-10.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.19

Previous: $1.36-12.5%
Net Income

$12.1M

Previous: $12.8M-5.6%
Operating Income

$18.6M

Previous: $21.8M-14.6%
Gross Profit

$141M

Previous: $139M+1.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$8.25M

Previous: $13.8M-40.4%
Total Assets

$1.85B

Previous: $1.67B+10.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.47M

Previous: $8.08M-57.0%

Revenue & EPS history

ICF · Revenue · Quarterly

$388M

Q4 2021-10.7%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

ICF anticipates double-digit service revenue growth in 2022, driven by organic growth and the acquisition of Creative Systems and Consulting. Service revenue for full year 2022 is expected to range from $1.225 billion to $1.275 billion. GAAP EPS is projected at $4.15 to $4.45, and non-GAAP EPS is expected to range from $5.15 to $5.45.

Tailwinds

  • Double-digit service revenue growth expected
  • High single-digit organic growth anticipated
  • Benefit from Creative acquisition expected
  • Revenue growth from government and commercial energy clients expected
  • EBITDA is expected to range from $160 million to $172 million

Headwinds

  • Lower comparisons in commercial marketing services expected due to activity not recovering to pre-pandemic levels
  • Pass-through revenues are anticipated at approximately 28% of total revenue in 2022
  • Continued organic investments in people, recruiting, technology and expanded business development capabilities and tools
  • Difference between EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA guidance is primarily due to the add-back of a non-cash rent expense of approximately $8 million
  • Operating cash flow is expected to be approximately $130 million in 2022.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 65 earnings

Positive

+19.7%

Q4 2013

Best reaction

-20.7%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.2%-12.6%-5.1%
Q4 2025+4.5%-0.5%+2.6%
Q3 2025-7.3%-2.7%-8.7%
Q1 2025-6.6%-1.1%+0.8%
Q4 2024-20.7%-18.1%-13.8%
Q3 2024-1.9%-0.1%-19.0%
Q2 2024+9.0%+4.4%+12.7%
Q1 2024+3.1%+4.6%-0.8%
Q4 2023-0.6%-1.3%-4.7%
Q3 2023-0.2%+4.9%+13.0%
Q2 2023+4.5%+6.8%+11.0%
Q1 2023+2.0%+2.1%+9.4%
Q4 2022+6.0%+10.2%+5.6%
Q3 2022-10.5%-9.5%-5.7%
Q2 2022+5.8%+5.8%+6.8%
Q1 2022+3.3%+0.8%+4.9%
Q4 2021+1.3%-3.2%+7.0%
Q3 2021+3.1%+3.9%-1.6%
Q2 2021-2.2%+0.2%+3.7%
Q1 2021+3.5%+1.1%-2.0%
Q4 2020-3.0%+1.9%+8.3%
Q3 2020+2.0%+11.2%+9.1%
Q2 2020+9.9%+5.7%+1.2%
Q1 2020-6.1%-9.0%-1.5%
Q4 2019-5.6%-0.4%-19.5%
Q3 2019+3.4%-0.6%+7.3%
Q2 2019-3.3%-6.3%-0.6%
Q1 2019+0.1%-0.5%-5.1%
Q4 2018+1.9%+3.0%+2.8%
Q3 2018+0.4%-7.0%-4.9%
Q2 2018+5.9%+0.7%+10.8%
Q1 2018-2.7%-3.9%+5.8%
Q4 2017+1.7%+6.8%+4.3%
Q3 2017-4.6%-1.4%+0.7%
Q2 2017+1.3%-0.1%+13.3%
Q1 2017+7.8%+7.1%+7.2%
Q4 2016-16.5%-20.1%-20.5%
Q3 2016+4.1%+5.3%+19.6%
Q2 2016+1.5%-0.2%+2.3%
Q1 2016+1.8%
Q4 2015-9.2%
Q3 2015-4.5%
Q2 2015+8.7%
Q1 2015-4.8%
Q4 2014+2.1%
Q3 2014+1.7%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014-4.1%
Q4 2013+19.7%
Q3 2013-5.1%
Q2 2013+4.8%
Q1 2013+2.3%
Q4 2012+1.9%
Q3 2012+11.3%
Q2 2012-9.5%
Q1 2011-2.2%
Q1 2012-7.0%
Q4 2009+0.5%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q3 2010+0.8%
Q3 2011+0.8%
Q4 2010-6.7%
Q2 2011-6.7%
Q2 2010-6.7%
Q1 2010-4.9%

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