NASDAQ$ICFI

ICF International Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ICF's first quarter results for 2020 were reported, demonstrating revenue growth and strategic contract awards.

ICF reported a 5% increase in total revenue to $358 million, driven by growth in government and commercial energy sectors. Diluted EPS was $0.55, and non-GAAP EPS was $0.83. Contract awards increased by 23% to $357 million, resulting in a book-to-bill ratio of 1.06.

  • Total revenue increased by 5% to $358 million.
  • Diluted EPS was $0.55, including $0.16 in special charges.
  • Non-GAAP EPS reached $0.83.
  • Contract awards grew by 23% to $357 million, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.06.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$358M

Previous: $341M+5.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.83

Previous: $0.87-4.6%
Book-to-Bill Ratio

1.06

Previous: 1.06+0.0%
Free Cash Flow

$10.6M

Previous: $15.3M-30.7%
Net Income

$10.6M

Previous: $15.3M-30.7%
Operating Income

$16.3M

Previous: $21.9M-25.4%
Gross Profit

$128M

Previous: $125M+1.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$58.7M

Previous: $5.69M+931.1%
Total Assets

$1.68B

Previous: $1.35B+24.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.83M

Previous: $4.15M-7.8%

Revenue & EPS history

ICF · Revenue · Quarterly

$358M

Q1 2020+5%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

ICF revised its full year 2020 guidance due to economic uncertainty, now expecting revenue of $1.450 to $1.510 billion and EBITDA of $126.0 million to $136.0 million. GAAP earnings per diluted share is expected to range from $2.85 to $3.15, and non-GAAP diluted EPS is expected to range from $3.50 to $3.80. Operating cash flow is expected to be approximately $110 million.

Tailwinds

  • Substantial backlog.
  • Recession-resistant revenue mix.
  • Strong balance sheet.
  • Record business development pipeline.
  • Expect a progressive return to more normalized business conditions in the second half of this year.

Headwinds

  • Challenging business and economic conditions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic continue to impact our events work for European government clients and our commercial marketing services business.
  • Lower year-on-year revenue performance in our commercial marketing and international government businesses due to COVID-19.
  • Reduction from our initial 2020 revenue expectations of approximately 9%.
  • COVID-19 pandemic impact on events work for European government clients.
  • COVID-19 pandemic impact on commercial marketing services business.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 65 earnings

Positive

+19.7%

Q4 2013

Best reaction

-20.7%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.2%-12.6%-5.1%
Q4 2025+4.5%-0.5%+2.6%
Q3 2025-7.3%-2.7%-8.7%
Q1 2025-6.6%-1.1%+0.8%
Q4 2024-20.7%-18.1%-13.8%
Q3 2024-1.9%-0.1%-19.0%
Q2 2024+9.0%+4.4%+12.7%
Q1 2024+3.1%+4.6%-0.8%
Q4 2023-0.6%-1.3%-4.7%
Q3 2023-0.2%+4.9%+13.0%
Q2 2023+4.5%+6.8%+11.0%
Q1 2023+2.0%+2.1%+9.4%
Q4 2022+6.0%+10.2%+5.6%
Q3 2022-10.5%-9.5%-5.7%
Q2 2022+5.8%+5.8%+6.8%
Q1 2022+3.3%+0.8%+4.9%
Q4 2021+1.3%-3.2%+7.0%
Q3 2021+3.1%+3.9%-1.6%
Q2 2021-2.2%+0.2%+3.7%
Q1 2021+3.5%+1.1%-2.0%
Q4 2020-3.0%+1.9%+8.3%
Q3 2020+2.0%+11.2%+9.1%
Q2 2020+9.9%+5.7%+1.2%
Q1 2020-6.1%-9.0%-1.5%
Q4 2019-5.6%-0.4%-19.5%
Q3 2019+3.4%-0.6%+7.3%
Q2 2019-3.3%-6.3%-0.6%
Q1 2019+0.1%-0.5%-5.1%
Q4 2018+1.9%+3.0%+2.8%
Q3 2018+0.4%-7.0%-4.9%
Q2 2018+5.9%+0.7%+10.8%
Q1 2018-2.7%-3.9%+5.8%
Q4 2017+1.7%+6.8%+4.3%
Q3 2017-4.6%-1.4%+0.7%
Q2 2017+1.3%-0.1%+13.3%
Q1 2017+7.8%+7.1%+7.2%
Q4 2016-16.5%-20.1%-20.5%
Q3 2016+4.1%+5.3%+19.6%
Q2 2016+1.5%-0.2%+2.3%
Q1 2016+1.8%
Q4 2015-9.2%
Q3 2015-4.5%
Q2 2015+8.7%
Q1 2015-4.8%
Q4 2014+2.1%
Q3 2014+1.7%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014-4.1%
Q4 2013+19.7%
Q3 2013-5.1%
Q2 2013+4.8%
Q1 2013+2.3%
Q4 2012+1.9%
Q3 2012+11.3%
Q2 2012-9.5%
Q1 2011-2.2%
Q1 2012-7.0%
Q4 2009+0.5%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q3 2010+0.8%
Q3 2011+0.8%
Q4 2010-6.7%
Q2 2011-6.7%
Q2 2010-6.7%
Q1 2010-4.9%

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