NASDAQ$ICFI

ICF International Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ICF demonstrated strong performance in Q3 2021, marked by revenue growth and strategic acquisitions.

ICF reported a 9.4% increase in total revenue to $394.1 million, with service revenue increasing 4.1% to $275.6 million. Diluted EPS increased by 14% to $1.07, and non-GAAP EPS increased by 20% to $1.32. The company also announced the acquisition of ESAC to expand its public health technology solutions.

  • Total revenue increased by 9% to $394 million.
  • Diluted EPS increased 14% to $1.07, inclusive of $0.14 in special charges.
  • Non-GAAP EPS increased 20% to $1.32.
  • Contract awards totaled $604 million, with a trailing-twelve-month book-to-bill ratio of 1.33.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$394M

Previous: $360M+9.4%
EPS (adj)

$1.32

Previous: $1.10+20.0%
Contract Awards

$604M

No prior period
Book-to-Bill Ratio

1.53

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$20.4M

Previous: $17.9M+14.1%
Net Income

$20.4M

Previous: $17.9M+14.1%
Operating Income

$32.3M

Previous: $28.3M+14.2%
Gross Profit

$140M

Previous: $137M+2.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$7.88M

Previous: $8.24M-4.3%
Total Assets

$1.61B

Previous: $1.61B-0.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.59M

Previous: $3.13M+14.9%

Revenue & EPS history

ICF · Revenue · Quarterly

$394M

Q3 2021+9.4%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

ICF increased its guidance ranges for full-year GAAP EPS to $4.05 to $4.25 and Non-GAAP EPS to $4.70 to $4.90. EBITDA is expected to be at the high end of the range or slightly above. The guidance ranges for total revenue and service revenue remain the same. Also, the company is raising its full year operating cash flow guidance to $110 million from $100 million.

Tailwinds

  • Increased guidance ranges for full year GAAP EPS.
  • Increased guidance ranges for full year Non-GAAP EPS.
  • EBITDA is expected to be at the high end of the range or slightly above.
  • Fourth quarter service revenue is expected to be similar to third quarter levels.
  • Raising full year operating cash flow guidance to $110 million from $100 million.

Headwinds

  • Total revenue in the fourth quarter will reflect a significant year-on-year reduction in pass-through revenues.
  • Commercial marketing services activity has not recovered to pre-pandemic levels.
  • Certain operating expense items will increase in future periods in tandem with the return of pre-pandemic activities.
  • Completion of a large marketing services contract at the end of last year affected commercial revenue.
  • Unspecified risks related to government contracting industry.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 65 earnings

Positive

+19.7%

Q4 2013

Best reaction

-20.7%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.2%-12.6%-5.1%
Q4 2025+4.5%-0.5%+2.6%
Q3 2025-7.3%-2.7%-8.7%
Q1 2025-6.6%-1.1%+0.8%
Q4 2024-20.7%-18.1%-13.8%
Q3 2024-1.9%-0.1%-19.0%
Q2 2024+9.0%+4.4%+12.7%
Q1 2024+3.1%+4.6%-0.8%
Q4 2023-0.6%-1.3%-4.7%
Q3 2023-0.2%+4.9%+13.0%
Q2 2023+4.5%+6.8%+11.0%
Q1 2023+2.0%+2.1%+9.4%
Q4 2022+6.0%+10.2%+5.6%
Q3 2022-10.5%-9.5%-5.7%
Q2 2022+5.8%+5.8%+6.8%
Q1 2022+3.3%+0.8%+4.9%
Q4 2021+1.3%-3.2%+7.0%
Q3 2021+3.1%+3.9%-1.6%
Q2 2021-2.2%+0.2%+3.7%
Q1 2021+3.5%+1.1%-2.0%
Q4 2020-3.0%+1.9%+8.3%
Q3 2020+2.0%+11.2%+9.1%
Q2 2020+9.9%+5.7%+1.2%
Q1 2020-6.1%-9.0%-1.5%
Q4 2019-5.6%-0.4%-19.5%
Q3 2019+3.4%-0.6%+7.3%
Q2 2019-3.3%-6.3%-0.6%
Q1 2019+0.1%-0.5%-5.1%
Q4 2018+1.9%+3.0%+2.8%
Q3 2018+0.4%-7.0%-4.9%
Q2 2018+5.9%+0.7%+10.8%
Q1 2018-2.7%-3.9%+5.8%
Q4 2017+1.7%+6.8%+4.3%
Q3 2017-4.6%-1.4%+0.7%
Q2 2017+1.3%-0.1%+13.3%
Q1 2017+7.8%+7.1%+7.2%
Q4 2016-16.5%-20.1%-20.5%
Q3 2016+4.1%+5.3%+19.6%
Q2 2016+1.5%-0.2%+2.3%
Q1 2016+1.8%
Q4 2015-9.2%
Q3 2015-4.5%
Q2 2015+8.7%
Q1 2015-4.8%
Q4 2014+2.1%
Q3 2014+1.7%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014-4.1%
Q4 2013+19.7%
Q3 2013-5.1%
Q2 2013+4.8%
Q1 2013+2.3%
Q4 2012+1.9%
Q3 2012+11.3%
Q2 2012-9.5%
Q1 2011-2.2%
Q1 2012-7.0%
Q4 2009+0.5%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q3 2010+0.8%
Q3 2011+0.8%
Q4 2010-6.7%
Q2 2011-6.7%
Q2 2010-6.7%
Q1 2010-4.9%

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