NASDAQ$ICFI

ICF International Inc · Q4 2025 earnings

Q4 2025 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

ICF reported lower fourth quarter 2025 revenue and earnings due to federal headwinds, while maintaining double-digit adjusted EBITDA margins and solid backlog.

ICF generated Q4 2025 revenue of 443673000, down year over year, with net income of 17313000 and adjusted EBITDA of 45958000, while total backlog remained strong at 3400000000.

  • Revenue declined to 443673000 from 496324000 due to federal government slowdown.
  • Net income was 17313000 with net income margin of 3.9%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was 45958000, representing 10.4% of total revenue.
  • Total backlog stood at 3400000000 with book-to-bill ratio of 0.95.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$444M

Previous: $496M-10.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.47

Previous: $1.87-21.4%
Adj. EBITDA Margin

10.4%

No prior period
Contract Awards

$422M

No prior period
Total Backlog

$3.4B

No prior period
Funded Backlog

$1.7B

No prior period
Book-to-Bill Ratio

0.95

No prior period
EBITDA

$43M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$46M

No prior period
Net Income Margin

3.9%

No prior period
EBITDA Margin

9.7%

No prior period
Net Income

$17.3M

Previous: $24.6M-29.5%
Operating Income

$28.6M

Previous: $36.5M-21.5%
Gross Profit

$158M

Previous: $166M-4.6%

Revenue & EPS history

ICF · Revenue · Quarterly

$444M

Q4 2025-10.6%vs Q4 2024
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For full year 2026, ICF expects revenue between 1890000000 and 1960000000, GAAP EPS between 5.95 and 6.25, and non-GAAP EPS between 6.95 and 7.25. First quarter 2026 revenue is expected to be approximately 450000000.

Tailwinds

  • 2026 revenue guidance midpoint implies 3% growth.
  • Non-GAAP EPS expected to grow 5% at midpoint.
  • Non-federal government clients expected to exceed 60% of 2026 revenue.
  • Sequential improvement in federal revenues expected through 2026.
  • Strong backlog and pipeline of 8600000000.

Headwinds

  • Q4 revenue declined year over year due to federal shutdown impacts.
  • Federal government revenue declined 35.1% year over year.
  • Operating margin declined to 6.5% from 7.3%.
  • Book-to-bill ratio below 1.0 for the quarter.
  • Continued uncertainty in federal contracting environment.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2025

Historical avgQ4 2025

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 65 earnings

Positive

+19.7%

Q4 2013

Best reaction

-20.7%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.2%-12.6%-5.1%
Q4 2025+4.5%-0.5%+2.6%
Q3 2025-7.3%-2.7%-8.7%
Q1 2025-6.6%-1.1%+0.8%
Q4 2024-20.7%-18.1%-13.8%
Q3 2024-1.9%-0.1%-19.0%
Q2 2024+9.0%+4.4%+12.7%
Q1 2024+3.1%+4.6%-0.8%
Q4 2023-0.6%-1.3%-4.7%
Q3 2023-0.2%+4.9%+13.0%
Q2 2023+4.5%+6.8%+11.0%
Q1 2023+2.0%+2.1%+9.4%
Q4 2022+6.0%+10.2%+5.6%
Q3 2022-10.5%-9.5%-5.7%
Q2 2022+5.8%+5.8%+6.8%
Q1 2022+3.3%+0.8%+4.9%
Q4 2021+1.3%-3.2%+7.0%
Q3 2021+3.1%+3.9%-1.6%
Q2 2021-2.2%+0.2%+3.7%
Q1 2021+3.5%+1.1%-2.0%
Q4 2020-3.0%+1.9%+8.3%
Q3 2020+2.0%+11.2%+9.1%
Q2 2020+9.9%+5.7%+1.2%
Q1 2020-6.1%-9.0%-1.5%
Q4 2019-5.6%-0.4%-19.5%
Q3 2019+3.4%-0.6%+7.3%
Q2 2019-3.3%-6.3%-0.6%
Q1 2019+0.1%-0.5%-5.1%
Q4 2018+1.9%+3.0%+2.8%
Q3 2018+0.4%-7.0%-4.9%
Q2 2018+5.9%+0.7%+10.8%
Q1 2018-2.7%-3.9%+5.8%
Q4 2017+1.7%+6.8%+4.3%
Q3 2017-4.6%-1.4%+0.7%
Q2 2017+1.3%-0.1%+13.3%
Q1 2017+7.8%+7.1%+7.2%
Q4 2016-16.5%-20.1%-20.5%
Q3 2016+4.1%+5.3%+19.6%
Q2 2016+1.5%-0.2%+2.3%
Q1 2016+1.8%
Q4 2015-9.2%
Q3 2015-4.5%
Q2 2015+8.7%
Q1 2015-4.8%
Q4 2014+2.1%
Q3 2014+1.7%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014-4.1%
Q4 2013+19.7%
Q3 2013-5.1%
Q2 2013+4.8%
Q1 2013+2.3%
Q4 2012+1.9%
Q3 2012+11.3%
Q2 2012-9.5%
Q1 2011-2.2%
Q1 2012-7.0%
Q4 2009+0.5%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q3 2010+0.8%
Q3 2011+0.8%
Q4 2010-6.7%
Q2 2011-6.7%
Q2 2010-6.7%
Q1 2010-4.9%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro