NASDAQ$ICFI

ICF International Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ICF's Q4 2020 results were reported, demonstrating revenue growth and strategic positioning in key markets.

ICF reported a strong finish to 2020 with total revenue exceeding guidance and a 4.1% increase in service revenue. The company's positioning in high-growth markets, particularly in federal government and commercial energy sectors, drove revenue increases. Record contract awards of $525 million were achieved in Q4.

  • Total revenue was $434 million, representing a 9.5% growth year-over-year.
  • Service revenue increased by 4.1% to $262 million.
  • Diluted EPS was $0.67, inclusive of one-time charges.
  • Non-GAAP EPS was $1.36, up from $1.18 in the previous year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$434M

Previous: $397M+9.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.36

Previous: $1.18+15.3%
Contract Awards

$525M

Previous: $353M+48.6%
Total Backlog

$2.9B

Previous: $2.4B+20.8%
Net Income

$12.8M

Previous: $19.4M-33.8%
Operating Income

$21.8M

Previous: $28.3M-23.1%
Gross Profit

$139M

Previous: $133M+5.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$13.8M

Previous: $6.48M+113.5%
Total Assets

$1.67B

Previous: $1.4B+19.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$8.08M

Previous: $4.14M+95.4%

Revenue & EPS history

ICF · Revenue · Quarterly

$434M

Q4 2020+9.5%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

ICF expects considerable organic growth in service revenue for full year 2021, projecting service revenue to range from $1.095 billion to $1.13 billion. Pass-through revenues are anticipated at approximately 28% of total revenue in 2021, implying total revenue of between $1.525 billion and $1.575 billion. GAAP EPS is projected to be $3.90 to $4.20 and Non-GAAP EPS is expected to range from $4.35 to $4.65.

Tailwinds

  • Record contract awards
  • Higher backlog
  • Business development pipeline in excess of $6.3 billion
  • Expertise aligns well with current administration’s priorities in climate, environment and infrastructure
  • Savings from the optimization of real estate footprint and reduced travel and entertainment expense

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 65 earnings

Positive

+19.7%

Q4 2013

Best reaction

-20.7%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.2%-12.6%-5.1%
Q4 2025+4.5%-0.5%+2.6%
Q3 2025-7.3%-2.7%-8.7%
Q1 2025-6.6%-1.1%+0.8%
Q4 2024-20.7%-18.1%-13.8%
Q3 2024-1.9%-0.1%-19.0%
Q2 2024+9.0%+4.4%+12.7%
Q1 2024+3.1%+4.6%-0.8%
Q4 2023-0.6%-1.3%-4.7%
Q3 2023-0.2%+4.9%+13.0%
Q2 2023+4.5%+6.8%+11.0%
Q1 2023+2.0%+2.1%+9.4%
Q4 2022+6.0%+10.2%+5.6%
Q3 2022-10.5%-9.5%-5.7%
Q2 2022+5.8%+5.8%+6.8%
Q1 2022+3.3%+0.8%+4.9%
Q4 2021+1.3%-3.2%+7.0%
Q3 2021+3.1%+3.9%-1.6%
Q2 2021-2.2%+0.2%+3.7%
Q1 2021+3.5%+1.1%-2.0%
Q4 2020-3.0%+1.9%+8.3%
Q3 2020+2.0%+11.2%+9.1%
Q2 2020+9.9%+5.7%+1.2%
Q1 2020-6.1%-9.0%-1.5%
Q4 2019-5.6%-0.4%-19.5%
Q3 2019+3.4%-0.6%+7.3%
Q2 2019-3.3%-6.3%-0.6%
Q1 2019+0.1%-0.5%-5.1%
Q4 2018+1.9%+3.0%+2.8%
Q3 2018+0.4%-7.0%-4.9%
Q2 2018+5.9%+0.7%+10.8%
Q1 2018-2.7%-3.9%+5.8%
Q4 2017+1.7%+6.8%+4.3%
Q3 2017-4.6%-1.4%+0.7%
Q2 2017+1.3%-0.1%+13.3%
Q1 2017+7.8%+7.1%+7.2%
Q4 2016-16.5%-20.1%-20.5%
Q3 2016+4.1%+5.3%+19.6%
Q2 2016+1.5%-0.2%+2.3%
Q1 2016+1.8%
Q4 2015-9.2%
Q3 2015-4.5%
Q2 2015+8.7%
Q1 2015-4.8%
Q4 2014+2.1%
Q3 2014+1.7%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014-4.1%
Q4 2013+19.7%
Q3 2013-5.1%
Q2 2013+4.8%
Q1 2013+2.3%
Q4 2012+1.9%
Q3 2012+11.3%
Q2 2012-9.5%
Q1 2011-2.2%
Q1 2012-7.0%
Q4 2009+0.5%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q3 2010+0.8%
Q3 2011+0.8%
Q4 2010-6.7%
Q2 2011-6.7%
Q2 2010-6.7%
Q1 2010-4.9%

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