NASDAQ$ASUR

Asure Software Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record results for the fourth quarter and full year 2019.

Asure reported a 1.4% increase in revenue for the fourth quarter of 2019 compared to the fourth quarter of 2018. GAAP earnings per share was $2.66, compared with $0.11 in the fourth quarter of 2018.

  • Asure is now a pure-play HCM SaaS vendor after selling its Workspace Management division.
  • Net cash position improved $110.0 Million sequentially to $2.1 Million due primarily to sale proceeds and amended debt facility.
  • Fourth-quarter HCM bookings increased 62% year-over-year.
  • Announced a $5 Million stock repurchase program.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$21.6M

Previous: $24.4M-11.5%
EPS (adj)

-$0.10

Previous: $0.15-166.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$142K

Previous: $395K-135.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$4.23M

Previous: -$1.46M-189.4%
Net Income

$41.2M

Previous: $1.73M+2283.9%
Operating Income

-$48.8M

Previous: -$3.62M-1250.5%
Gross Profit

$8.18M

Previous: $14.8M-44.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$28.8M

Previous: $15.4M+86.6%
Total Assets

$335M

Previous: $361M-7.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$688K

Previous: $800K-14.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Asure · Revenue · Quarterly

$21.6M

Q4 2019-11.5%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 7 of 16 quarters(44%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Asure · $29.3M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Recurring Revenue
    $23.8M+19.4%
  • Professional Services, Hardware & Other
    $5.5M+183.0%

Forward guidance

Asure reiterates the following guidance for HCM only for 2020: GAAP Revenue (HCM only) $72.0 million to $74.0 million and Non-GAAP HCM EBITDA $11.0 million to $12.0 million

Tailwinds

  • GAAP Revenue (HCM only) $72.0 million to $74.0 million
  • Non-GAAP HCM EBITDA $11.0 million to $12.0 million
  • Interest expense $1.0 million to $2.0 million
  • Amortization $12.0 million to $13.0 million
  • Non-GAAP effective tax rate 0%

Headwinds

  • Depreciation $0.5 million to $1.5 million
  • Stock compensation expense $1.0 million to $2.0 million
  • Acquisition costs and other one-time expenses $2.0 million to $3.0 million
  • Basic average shares outstanding 15.3 million to 16.5 million
  • Non-GAAP diluted shares outstanding 16.0 million to 17.0 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

28 / 64 earnings

Positive

+21.8%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-35.6%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.0%-6.0%-0.2%
Q4 2025+17.8%+21.0%+1.9%
Q3 2025+4.1%+1.5%-1.5%
Q1 2025+2.3%-1.5%-1.2%
Q4 2024+12.9%-4.4%-6.7%
Q3 2024-11.8%-9.0%+1.5%
Q2 2024-12.6%-19.3%-16.6%
Q1 2024-5.6%-2.3%+1.5%
Q4 2023-9.3%-3.7%-20.6%
Q3 2023-19.7%-16.1%-7.6%
Q2 2023+12.8%+2.6%-9.6%
Q1 2023+6.6%-3.3%-6.4%
Q4 2022+21.8%+30.5%+33.4%
Q3 2022-0.2%+1.4%+25.7%
Q2 2022+2.9%+8.3%+5.0%
Q1 2022-0.8%-0.8%-1.7%
Q4 2021-4.2%-5.1%-17.4%
Q3 2021-0.2%-9.1%-8.9%
Q2 2021-1.2%+0.9%-8.5%
Q1 2021-1.6%-2.4%+5.1%
Q4 2020-3.2%-8.8%-7.6%
Q3 2020-0.6%+1.9%+6.2%
Q2 2020-7.4%-4.8%-4.5%
Q1 2020+3.4%+9.9%+10.1%
Q4 2019+9.8%-1.2%+0.5%
Q3 2019-5.2%-5.7%-8.7%
Q2 2019-24.3%-19.8%-16.1%
Q1 2019+7.6%-0.9%-6.9%
Q4 2018+1.5%+5.8%+4.4%
Q3 2018-35.6%-45.0%-45.8%
Q2 2018+8.2%-4.2%-2.2%
Q1 2018+17.1%+9.8%+10.8%
Q4 2017-13.3%-18.9%-20.0%
Q3 2017+12.2%+19.3%+19.5%
Q2 2017+1.2%+1.5%-16.4%
Q1 2017+11.0%+11.1%+11.4%
Q4 2016-13.3%-12.8%-11.1%
Q3 2016+4.0%+19.6%+23.9%
Q2 2016+0.6%-5.1%+11.5%
Q1 2016-1.4%
Q4 2015-0.7%
Q3 2015-9.3%
Q2 2015+2.7%
Q1 2015-3.1%
Q4 2014-7.9%
Q3 2014+0.0%
Q2 2014+2.2%
Q1 2014+5.4%
Q4 2013+3.9%
Q3 2013+10.8%
Q2 2013-5.6%
Q1 2013+0.0%
Q4 2012-6.1%
Q3 2012-24.2%
Q2 2012+6.5%
Q1 2012-10.0%
Q4 2011-7.9%
Q3 2011-2.1%
Q2 2010+3.7%
Q2 2011+3.7%
Q1 2011-2.9%
Q4 2010-2.9%
Q3 2010-3.5%
Q1 2010+6.6%

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