NASDAQ$ALGT

Allegiant Travel Company · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Allegiant's Q4 2023 financial performance was mixed, with a GAAP diluted loss per share but positive results excluding special charges, and the successful opening of Sunseeker Resort.

Allegiant Travel Company reported a roughly flat total operating revenue year-over-year. The company saw a GAAP diluted loss per share of $(0.13), but a diluted earnings per share, excluding special charges, of $0.11. The Sunseeker Resort officially opened on December 15, 2023.

  • Total operating revenue was $611.0 million, roughly flat over the prior year.
  • GAAP diluted loss per share was $(0.13).
  • Diluted earnings per share, excluding special charges, was $0.11.
  • Sunseeker Resort officially opened on December 15, 2023.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$611M

Previous: $612M-0.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.11

Previous: $3.17-96.5%
Airline Operating CASM ex-Fuel/Special Charges

$8.50

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$121M

Previous: $130M-6.7%
Net Income

-$2M

Previous: $52.5M-103.8%
Operating Income

$10.6M

Previous: $89.2M-88.1%
Gross Profit

$90.5M

Previous: $144M-37.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$29.7M

Previous: $15.2M+95.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Allegiant · Revenue · Quarterly

$611M

Q4 2023-0.1%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Allegiant · $565M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Passenger Revenue
    $516M-0.0%
  • Third Party Products
    $30.9M+14.0%
  • Fixed Fee Contracts
    $17.7M+11.7%

Forward guidance

Allegiant provided guidance for Q1 2024 and full year 2024.

Tailwinds

  • System ASMs - year over year change~1.0% (Q1 2024 airline-only guidance)
  • Scheduled service ASMs - year over year change~1.0% (Q1 2024 airline-only guidance)
  • Operating margin 8.0% to 10.0% (Q1 2024 airline-only guidance)
  • Earnings per share, airline only $1.00 - $2.00 (Q1 2024 airline-only guidance)
  • Earnings per share, consolidated $0.50 - $1.50 (Q1 2024 consolidated guidance)

Headwinds

  • System ASMs - year over year change 2.0% to 6.0% (Full-year 2024 airline-only guidance)
  • Scheduled service ASMs - year over year change 2.0% to 6.0% (Full-year 2024 airline-only guidance)
  • Interest expense $140 to $150 million (Full-year 2024 airline-only guidance)
  • Airline full-year CAPEX Aircraft, engines, induction costs, and pre-delivery deposits $535 to $555 million
  • Recurring principal payments $150 to $160 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+18.9%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-15.4%

Q2 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.6%+5.9%+21.0%
Q4 2025-0.4%+14.5%-20.4%
Q3 2025-2.1%-7.0%+21.7%
Q1 2025+3.7%+20.1%+17.9%
Q4 2024-15.3%-10.9%-38.7%
Q3 2024+7.1%+8.7%+34.8%
Q2 2024-9.2%-23.4%-23.4%
Q1 2024-5.7%-5.0%-5.5%
Q4 2023-0.8%-0.6%-5.5%
Q3 2023-1.7%-6.8%+8.2%
Q2 2023-5.3%-9.1%-26.8%
Q1 2023+5.3%+7.2%+7.3%
Q4 2022+18.9%+12.4%+21.3%
Q3 2022-0.7%+3.4%+8.6%
Q2 2022+1.6%-1.5%-15.4%
Q1 2022-0.4%-9.0%-6.0%
Q4 2021-3.1%-4.3%-13.2%
Q3 2021-3.2%-1.2%-3.4%
Q2 2021+2.0%-1.9%-0.6%
Q1 2021-0.7%-4.6%-8.3%
Q4 2020+16.9%+13.1%+30.0%
Q3 2020+4.0%-0.7%+34.3%
Q2 2020-3.1%-3.2%+15.6%
Q1 2020+5.2%+2.3%+44.9%
Q4 2019-0.6%-2.9%-20.6%
Q3 2019+8.8%+9.8%+10.8%
Q2 2019+2.9%+3.0%-4.7%
Q1 2019+5.9%+9.1%+7.4%
Q4 2018+4.0%+11.2%+5.0%
Q3 2018-8.4%-4.9%+1.7%
Q2 2018-15.4%-10.8%-3.0%
Q1 2018+9.5%+11.6%+8.5%
Q4 2017+4.6%-0.6%+3.1%
Q3 2017+0.2%-1.9%-2.2%
Q2 2017-8.7%-10.5%-17.5%
Q1 2017-9.3%-11.9%-11.2%
Q4 2016-0.3%-6.2%-1.4%
Q3 2016-13.0%-10.4%+9.6%
Q2 2016-4.9%-9.0%+1.1%
Q1 2016-2.6%
Q4 2015-5.8%
Q3 2015-7.6%
Q2 2015+2.2%
Q1 2015-1.1%
Q4 2014-0.9%
Q3 2014+0.7%
Q2 2014-5.3%
Q1 2014+0.7%
Q4 2013-11.2%
Q3 2013-1.5%
Q2 2013-13.1%
Q1 2013-2.4%
Q3 2012+1.3%
Q2 2012-3.0%
Q1 2011+2.0%
Q1 2012-1.2%
Q4 2009+3.1%
Q4 2011+3.1%
Q4 2012+2.4%
Q3 2010-3.4%
Q3 2011-3.4%
Q4 2010+4.8%
Q2 2010+4.8%
Q2 2011+4.8%
Q1 2010+3.1%

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