NASDAQ$ALGT

Allegiant Travel Company · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a loss per share of $(1.82) and total operating revenue of $201.0 million, a decrease of 54.0% year over year.

Allegiant Travel Company reported a GAAP fully diluted loss per share of $(1.82) for the third quarter of 2020. The company's total operating revenue was $201.0 million, a 54.0% decrease compared to the previous year. The airline saw modest improvements during the quarter and into the fourth, with consumer confidence towards air travel improving.

  • Completed the quarter beating consensus with a loss per share of $4.28, excluding one-time, special items, and the benefit from the CARES Act.
  • Scheduled capacity year-over-year was down less than seven percent.
  • Revenue is trending in the right direction with September totals down 43 percent versus prior year.
  • Pro forma cash balance of $850 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$201M

Previous: $437M-54.0%
EPS (adj)

-$4.28

Previous: $2.70-258.5%
Average Fuel Cost per Gallon

$1.32

Previous: $2.16-38.9%
Load Factor

49.7%

Previous: 86.0%-42.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$199M

Previous: -$350M+43.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$228M

Previous: -$306M+25.6%
Net Income

-$29.1M

Previous: $43.9M-166.3%
Operating Income

-$33.1M

Previous: $72.1M-145.9%
Gross Profit

$145M

Previous: $332M-56.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$268M

Previous: $88.1M+204.2%
Total Assets

$3.22B

Previous: $2.83B+13.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Allegiant · Revenue · Quarterly

$201M

Q3 2020-54%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Allegiant · $199M total across 3 segments · Q3 2020

  • Passenger Revenue
    $182M-53.5%
  • Third Party Products
    $11.3M-37.7%
  • Fixed Fee Contracts
    $5.28M-73.3%

Forward guidance

Anticipate fourth quarter capacity to be reduced by 15 percent from prior year but will continue to adjust based on demand trends. Minimal close-in cancellations during the third quarter and anticipate the fourth quarter will be similar.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+18.9%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-15.4%

Q2 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.6%+5.9%+21.0%
Q4 2025-0.4%+14.5%-20.4%
Q3 2025-2.1%-7.0%+21.7%
Q1 2025+3.7%+20.1%+17.9%
Q4 2024-15.3%-10.9%-38.7%
Q3 2024+7.1%+8.7%+34.8%
Q2 2024-9.2%-23.4%-23.4%
Q1 2024-5.7%-5.0%-5.5%
Q4 2023-0.8%-0.6%-5.5%
Q3 2023-1.7%-6.8%+8.2%
Q2 2023-5.3%-9.1%-26.8%
Q1 2023+5.3%+7.2%+7.3%
Q4 2022+18.9%+12.4%+21.3%
Q3 2022-0.7%+3.4%+8.6%
Q2 2022+1.6%-1.5%-15.4%
Q1 2022-0.4%-9.0%-6.0%
Q4 2021-3.1%-4.3%-13.2%
Q3 2021-3.2%-1.2%-3.4%
Q2 2021+2.0%-1.9%-0.6%
Q1 2021-0.7%-4.6%-8.3%
Q4 2020+16.9%+13.1%+30.0%
Q3 2020+4.0%-0.7%+34.3%
Q2 2020-3.1%-3.2%+15.6%
Q1 2020+5.2%+2.3%+44.9%
Q4 2019-0.6%-2.9%-20.6%
Q3 2019+8.8%+9.8%+10.8%
Q2 2019+2.9%+3.0%-4.7%
Q1 2019+5.9%+9.1%+7.4%
Q4 2018+4.0%+11.2%+5.0%
Q3 2018-8.4%-4.9%+1.7%
Q2 2018-15.4%-10.8%-3.0%
Q1 2018+9.5%+11.6%+8.5%
Q4 2017+4.6%-0.6%+3.1%
Q3 2017+0.2%-1.9%-2.2%
Q2 2017-8.7%-10.5%-17.5%
Q1 2017-9.3%-11.9%-11.2%
Q4 2016-0.3%-6.2%-1.4%
Q3 2016-13.0%-10.4%+9.6%
Q2 2016-4.9%-9.0%+1.1%
Q1 2016-2.6%
Q4 2015-5.8%
Q3 2015-7.6%
Q2 2015+2.2%
Q1 2015-1.1%
Q4 2014-0.9%
Q3 2014+0.7%
Q2 2014-5.3%
Q1 2014+0.7%
Q4 2013-11.2%
Q3 2013-1.5%
Q2 2013-13.1%
Q1 2013-2.4%
Q3 2012+1.3%
Q2 2012-3.0%
Q1 2011+2.0%
Q1 2012-1.2%
Q4 2009+3.1%
Q4 2011+3.1%
Q4 2012+2.4%
Q3 2010-3.4%
Q3 2011-3.4%
Q4 2010+4.8%
Q2 2010+4.8%
Q2 2011+4.8%
Q1 2010+3.1%

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