NASDAQ$AAON

Aaon Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

AAON reported record sales, earnings, and backlog due to robust volume growth, improved gross profit margin, and the acquisition of BasX.

AAON's Q3 2022 results showed significant growth with record sales, earnings, and backlog. Net sales increased by 75.1% to $242.6 million, and earnings per diluted share rose by 75.9% to $0.51. The company's backlog reached a record $514.7 million.

  • Net sales increased 75.1% to a record $242.6 million compared to Q3 2021.
  • Earnings per diluted share increased 75.9% to a record $0.51 compared to Q3 2021.
  • Gross profit margin improved to 27.0%, the highest level since Q2 2021.
  • Backlog reached a record $514.7 million, up 183.1% from the prior year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$243M

Previous: $139M+75.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.34

Previous: $0.19+78.9%
Total Backlog

$515M

Previous: $182M+183.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$22M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$5.47M

Previous: $15.6M-64.9%
Net Income

$27.5M

Previous: $15.6M+76.3%
Operating Income

$36.7M

Previous: $20.1M+82.3%
Gross Profit

$65.6M

Previous: $36M+82.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$10.7M

Previous: $102M-89.5%
Total Assets

$786M

Previous: $516M+52.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.32M

Previous: $2.99M+11.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Aaon · Revenue · Quarterly

$243M

Q3 2022+75.1%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 13 of 15 quarters(87%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

AAON anticipates a strong finish to the year, with increasing production rates, improved productivity, and a positive margin profile in the backlog.

Tailwinds

  • Production rates continue to increase.
  • Productivity levels continue to increase.
  • Margin profile of the backlog is the best it has been all year.
  • Order trends remain positive.
  • Company is confident that they will finish the year on a high note in the fourth quarter.

Headwinds

  • Supply chain issues persisting.
  • Decision to terminate water-source heat pump business will impact revenue.
  • Upcoming new refrigerant regulations would require a capital infusion.
  • Uncertainties in the overall economic outlook.
  • Potential for increased costs.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 65 earnings

Positive

+31.4%

Q1 2026

Best reaction

-22.9%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+31.4%+35.9%+34.9%
Q4 2025+3.5%-12.7%-17.3%
Q3 2025+5.4%+2.0%-12.5%
Q1 2025+5.7%+6.8%+5.5%
Q4 2024-22.9%-26.2%-23.5%
Q3 2024+15.0%+14.5%+14.1%
Q2 2024-3.1%-2.6%+7.9%
Q1 2024-17.0%-16.9%-20.6%
Q4 2023-2.1%-3.9%+2.7%
Q3 2023+1.6%+1.5%+10.5%
Q2 2023-8.0%-9.5%-7.6%
Q1 2023+5.9%-0.9%-6.1%
Q4 2022+11.7%+15.3%+16.3%
Q3 2022+13.6%+18.6%+18.8%
Q2 2022-2.9%+0.1%-6.4%
Q1 2022+4.1%+6.2%+10.7%
Q4 2021-2.3%-7.2%-4.5%
Q3 2021+1.7%+5.5%+9.5%
Q2 2021+8.3%+13.0%+8.3%
Q1 2021+4.0%+2.4%+0.9%
Q4 2020-1.0%-3.8%-7.1%
Q3 2020+6.5%+9.9%+4.7%
Q2 2020-2.3%+0.1%-5.9%
Q1 2020+4.3%+1.3%+24.4%
Q4 2019+3.6%+5.8%-12.9%
Q3 2019-1.1%+0.1%-0.6%
Q2 2019-8.3%-11.5%-5.6%
Q1 2019+3.9%-5.0%-9.0%
Q4 2018-0.7%+2.0%+11.1%
Q3 2018+13.1%+21.4%+10.0%
Q2 2018+2.1%+3.3%+7.7%
Q1 2018-12.3%-9.8%-8.1%
Q4 2017+2.8%-1.0%+9.1%
Q3 2017+0.2%+0.6%+5.7%
Q2 2017+4.3%+3.4%-3.0%
Q1 2017-2.5%-0.5%+0.3%
Q4 2016+0.3%-2.2%+5.4%
Q3 2016-3.5%-0.7%+13.8%
Q2 2016+1.3%+3.5%+10.2%
Q1 2016+9.2%
Q4 2015+11.2%
Q3 2015+11.0%
Q2 2015+3.3%
Q1 2015-5.7%
Q4 2014-2.1%
Q3 2014+2.7%
Q2 2014-1.6%
Q1 2014+6.4%
Q4 2013-5.5%
Q3 2013-8.8%
Q2 2013+5.9%
Q1 2013+5.3%
Q4 2012+2.5%
Q3 2012-4.4%
Q2 2012+4.1%
Q1 2012+0.4%
Q1 2011+0.4%
Q4 2009+5.5%
Q4 2011+5.5%
Q3 2010-2.1%
Q3 2011-2.1%
Q2 2010-14.8%
Q2 2011-14.8%
Q4 2010-14.8%
Q1 2010-4.7%

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