NYSE$VAC

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2022 and provided guidance for full year 2023.

Marriott Vacations Worldwide reported strong fourth-quarter results, with consolidated Vacation Ownership contract sales increasing by 12% and VPG at $4,088. Net income attributable to common shareholders was $88 million, or $2.08 fully diluted earnings per share. Adjusted EBITDA was $239 million. The company repurchased 1.2 million shares of its common stock for $173 million during the quarter.

  • Consolidated Vacation Ownership contract sales were $454 million, a 12% increase compared to the fourth quarter of 2021.
  • Net income attributable to common shareholders was $88 million, or $2.08 fully diluted earnings per share.
  • Adjusted net income attributable to common shareholders was $115 million, or $2.74 Adjusted fully diluted earnings per share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $239 million; excluding the impact of the Alignment, Adjusted EBITDA increased 6% compared to the prior year fourth quarter to $232 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.19B

Previous: $1.1B+8.0%
EPS (adj)

$2.74

Previous: $2.38+15.1%
VPG

$4.09K

Previous: $4.31K-5.0%
Capital Expenditures

$29M

Previous: $28M+3.6%
Free Cash Flow

$113M

Previous: $417M-72.9%
Net Income

$88M

Previous: $59M+49.2%
Operating Income

$145M

Previous: $70M+107.1%
Gross Profit

$494M

Previous: $438M+12.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$524M

Previous: $342M+53.2%
Total Assets

$9.64B

Previous: $9.61B+0.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$9M

Previous: $18M-50.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Marriott Vacations · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.19B

Q4 2022+8%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Marriott Vacations · $1.19B total across 5 segments · Q4 2022

  • Sale of VO Products
    $439M+20.6%
  • Cost Reimbursements
    $356M+18.3%
  • Management and Exchange
    $204M-6.0%
  • Rental
    $113M-22.6%
  • Financing
    $76M+5.6%

Forward guidance

The Company expects contract sales in 2023 to grow 5% to 9% compared to the prior year and for Net income attributable to common shareholders to be $405 million to $440 million, or $9.51 to $10.30 fully diluted earnings per share. Excluding the impact of the Alignment in 2022, the Company expects Adjusted EBITDA to grow 4% to 9% in 2023 and Adjusted earnings per share - diluted to increase 14% to 23%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

32 / 63 earnings

Positive

+21.0%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-26.8%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.1%+10.0%+23.7%
Q3 2025-26.8%-30.5%-18.1%
Q2 2025-2.0%-4.7%+6.0%
Q1 2025+10.5%+24.3%+13.5%
Q4 2024-9.3%-16.8%-22.5%
Q4 2025+0.1%-14.0%-22.4%
Q3 2024+21.0%+18.7%+22.0%
Q2 2024-10.7%-17.5%-15.2%
Q1 2024+2.0%+2.4%-9.5%
Q4 2023+11.7%+10.2%+15.1%
Q3 2023-8.2%-12.1%-13.7%
Q2 2023-11.9%-11.1%-12.5%
Q1 2023-4.2%-5.2%-4.8%
Q4 2022-1.7%-1.5%-18.1%
Q3 2022-0.9%-5.7%+1.3%
Q2 2022+3.4%+7.8%+1.8%
Q1 2022-4.1%-5.7%-0.7%
Q4 2021-3.0%-3.4%-6.4%
Q3 2021-0.5%-1.3%-5.0%
Q2 2021-5.8%-9.4%-1.8%
Q1 2021-2.6%-2.6%-3.5%
Q4 2020+0.0%+6.3%+4.1%
Q3 2020+9.2%+23.0%+38.8%
Q2 2020-0.7%-5.9%+11.8%
Q1 2020+3.0%+1.6%+30.5%
Q4 2019-5.6%-2.7%-41.3%
Q3 2019+3.2%+4.8%+9.7%
Q2 2019-5.7%-17.6%-3.9%
Q1 2019-3.6%-7.1%-14.3%
Q4 2018+3.3%+1.2%-4.2%
Q3 2018-9.2%-21.2%-24.5%
Q2 2018+2.4%+3.4%+1.8%
Q1 2018-4.6%-3.0%-1.0%
Q4 2017-1.4%+2.5%-6.5%
Q3 2017+8.1%+7.2%+1.3%
Q2 2017+0.9%-1.4%+3.2%
Q1 2017+1.4%-0.5%+5.0%
Q4 2016+10.1%+4.6%+8.1%
Q3 2016-7.0%-4.2%+6.0%
Q2 2016+11.6%+16.1%+13.0%
Q1 2016-7.6%
Q4 2015+12.5%
Q3 2015-16.8%
Q2 2015-7.8%
Q1 2015+7.5%
Q4 2014-1.3%
Q3 2014+7.1%
Q2 2014+0.5%
Q1 2014+3.4%
Q4 2013+4.1%
Q3 2013+9.2%
Q2 2013-5.6%
Q1 2013+5.6%
Q4 2012-12.7%
Q3 2012+0.1%
Q2 2012+8.3%
Q1 2011+0.5%
Q1 2012+8.6%
Q2 2011+1.1%
Q4 2011+3.4%
Q3 2011-0.7%
Q1 2010-0.7%
Q4 2010-0.7%
Q3 2010
Q2 2010

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