NYSE$VAC

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported fourth quarter and full year 2021 financial results and provided 2022 outlook.

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation reported strong Q4 results with contract sales growing 7% sequentially to $406 million, exceeding 2019 levels for the first time since the pandemic started. The company expects 2022 full-year contract sales to be 13% higher than 2019 levels and 2022 Adjusted EBITDA to be 17% above 2019 levels.

  • Consolidated Vacation Ownership contract sales increased 7% sequentially to $406 million in the fourth quarter of 2021.
  • Net income attributable to common shareholders was $61 million, or $1.39 per fully diluted earnings per share.
  • Adjusted net income attributable to common shareholders was $103 million and adjusted fully diluted earnings per share was $2.38.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 6% on a sequential basis to $219 million in the fourth quarter of 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.1B

Previous: $747M+47.3%
EPS (adj)

$2.38

Previous: -$0.05+4860.0%
VPG

$4.31K

Previous: $3.83K+12.5%
Capital Expenditures

$28M

Previous: $5M+460.0%
Free Cash Flow

$417M

Previous: $136M+206.6%
Net Income

$59M

Previous: -$31M+290.3%
Operating Income

$70M

Previous: -$24M+391.7%
Gross Profit

$438M

Previous: $186M+135.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$342M

Previous: $524M-34.7%
Total Assets

$9.61B

Previous: $8.9B+8.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$18M

Previous: $13M+38.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Marriott Vacations · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.1B

Q4 2021+47.3%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Marriott Vacations · $1.1B total across 5 segments · Q4 2021

  • Sale of VO Products
    $364M+165.7%
  • Cost Reimbursements
    $301M+9.5%
  • Management and Exchange
    $217M+4.8%
  • Rental
    $146M+117.9%
  • Financing
    $72M+18.0%

Forward guidance

The Company is providing guidance for the full year 2022:

Tailwinds

  • Contract sales $1,675 to $1,775 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA $860 to $920 million
  • Adjusted pretax net income $585 to $645 million
  • Adjusted net income attributable to common shareholders $424 to $469 million
  • Adjusted fully diluted EPS $8.72 to $9.65

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

32 / 63 earnings

Positive

+21.0%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-26.8%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.1%+10.0%+23.7%
Q3 2025-26.8%-30.5%-18.1%
Q2 2025-2.0%-4.7%+6.0%
Q1 2025+10.5%+24.3%+13.5%
Q4 2024-9.3%-16.8%-22.5%
Q4 2025+0.1%-14.0%-22.4%
Q3 2024+21.0%+18.7%+22.0%
Q2 2024-10.7%-17.5%-15.2%
Q1 2024+2.0%+2.4%-9.5%
Q4 2023+11.7%+10.2%+15.1%
Q3 2023-8.2%-12.1%-13.7%
Q2 2023-11.9%-11.1%-12.5%
Q1 2023-4.2%-5.2%-4.8%
Q4 2022-1.7%-1.5%-18.1%
Q3 2022-0.9%-5.7%+1.3%
Q2 2022+3.4%+7.8%+1.8%
Q1 2022-4.1%-5.7%-0.7%
Q4 2021-3.0%-3.4%-6.4%
Q3 2021-0.5%-1.3%-5.0%
Q2 2021-5.8%-9.4%-1.8%
Q1 2021-2.6%-2.6%-3.5%
Q4 2020+0.0%+6.3%+4.1%
Q3 2020+9.2%+23.0%+38.8%
Q2 2020-0.7%-5.9%+11.8%
Q1 2020+3.0%+1.6%+30.5%
Q4 2019-5.6%-2.7%-41.3%
Q3 2019+3.2%+4.8%+9.7%
Q2 2019-5.7%-17.6%-3.9%
Q1 2019-3.6%-7.1%-14.3%
Q4 2018+3.3%+1.2%-4.2%
Q3 2018-9.2%-21.2%-24.5%
Q2 2018+2.4%+3.4%+1.8%
Q1 2018-4.6%-3.0%-1.0%
Q4 2017-1.4%+2.5%-6.5%
Q3 2017+8.1%+7.2%+1.3%
Q2 2017+0.9%-1.4%+3.2%
Q1 2017+1.4%-0.5%+5.0%
Q4 2016+10.1%+4.6%+8.1%
Q3 2016-7.0%-4.2%+6.0%
Q2 2016+11.6%+16.1%+13.0%
Q1 2016-7.6%
Q4 2015+12.5%
Q3 2015-16.8%
Q2 2015-7.8%
Q1 2015+7.5%
Q4 2014-1.3%
Q3 2014+7.1%
Q2 2014+0.5%
Q1 2014+3.4%
Q4 2013+4.1%
Q3 2013+9.2%
Q2 2013-5.6%
Q1 2013+5.6%
Q4 2012-12.7%
Q3 2012+0.1%
Q2 2012+8.3%
Q1 2011+0.5%
Q1 2012+8.6%
Q2 2011+1.1%
Q4 2011+3.4%
Q3 2011-0.7%
Q1 2010-0.7%
Q4 2010-0.7%
Q3 2010
Q2 2010

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