NYSE$UPS

United Parcel Service Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

UPS's Q3 2023 earnings were released, revealing a decrease in consolidated revenues and operating profit compared to the previous year, while the company is well-prepared for the peak holiday season.

UPS announced Q3 2023 consolidated revenues of $21.1 billion, a 12.8% decrease from Q3 2022. Diluted earnings per share were $1.31, and adjusted diluted earnings per share were $1.57, 47.5% below the same period in 2022. The company is updating its full-year 2023 consolidated revenue and adjusted operating margin targets.

  • Consolidated revenues reached $21.1 billion, compared to $24.2 billion last year.
  • Consolidated operating profit was $1.3 billion, with an adjusted consolidated operating profit of $1.6 billion.
  • Diluted EPS was $1.31, while adjusted diluted EPS was $1.57, compared to $2.99 last year.
  • The U.S. labor contract was fully ratified in early September, and volume diverted during labor negotiations is starting to return.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$21.1B

Previous: $24.2B-12.8%
EPS (adj)

$1.57

Previous: $2.99-47.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$3.11B

Previous: -$2.28B-36.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.98B

Previous: $306M-747.7%
Net Income

$1.13B

Previous: $2.58B-56.4%
Operating Income

$1.34B

Previous: $3.11B-56.9%
Gross Profit

-$1.61B

Previous: -$1.96B+17.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$4.31B

Previous: $11B-61.0%
Total Assets

$70.3B

Previous: $69.5B+1.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$21M

Previous: $233M-91.0%

Revenue & EPS history

UPS · Revenue · Quarterly

$21.1B

Q3 2023-12.8%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

UPS · $21.1B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • U.S. Domestic Package
    $13.7B-11.1%
  • International Package
    $4.27B-11.1%
  • Supply Chain Solutions
    $3.13B-21.4%

Forward guidance

UPS is updating its full-year 2023 consolidated revenue and adjusted operating margin targets primarily to reflect global macro-economic uncertainty. UPS now expects full-year 2023 consolidated revenue to be between $91.3 billion and $92.3 billion and a consolidated adjusted operating margin of between 10.8% and 11.3%.

Tailwinds

  • Full-year 2023 consolidated revenue expected to be between $91.3 billion and $92.3 billion
  • Full-year planned capital expenditures target of about $5.3 billion is maintained.
  • Dividend payment expectations of around $5.4 billion are maintained, subject to board approval.
  • Full-year 2023 share repurchases are expected to be approximately $2.25 billion.
  • The effective tax rate for the full year is expected to be approximately 22%.

Headwinds

  • Global macro-economic uncertainty
  • Unfavorable macro-economic conditions negatively impacted global demand in the quarter
  • Revenue decreased 11.1%, driven by a 11.5% decrease in average daily volume, which was partially offset by a 2.0% increase in revenue per piece in U.S. Domestic segment
  • Revenue decreased 11.1%, primarily driven by a 6.6% decrease in average daily volume and continued softness on Asia and Europe trade lanes in International segment
  • Revenue decreased 21.4% due primarily to market rate and volume declines in forwarding, partially offset by growth in healthcare in Supply Chain Solutions segment

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

35 / 73 earnings

Positive

+15.4%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-14.1%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.6%-0.6%-1.9%
Q4 2025+0.9%-0.7%+9.0%
Q3 2025+7.7%+8.1%+7.2%
Q2 2025-0.6%-0.5%-2.0%
Q1 2025-0.4%-0.7%+1.0%
Q4 2024-14.1%-16.5%-11.0%
Q3 2024+4.6%+2.2%+2.6%
Q2 2024-11.5%-11.3%-12.6%
Q1 2024+0.9%+1.5%-4.3%
Q4 2023-10.2%-10.2%-6.2%
Q3 2023-8.2%-3.9%+3.5%
Q2 2023-1.5%-3.0%-10.9%
Q1 2023-11.9%-8.2%-12.6%
Q4 2022+4.5%+8.3%+4.4%
Q3 2022+0.9%-0.2%+9.1%
Q2 2022-2.1%+3.7%+9.1%
Q1 2022-1.7%-5.1%-5.9%
Q4 2021+14.8%+11.2%+5.1%
Q3 2021+4.1%+4.7%+2.2%
Q2 2021-8.5%-8.8%-8.3%
Q1 2021+12.8%+16.0%+21.0%
Q4 2020+2.2%+5.2%+2.0%
Q3 2020-5.5%-6.6%-1.1%
Q2 2020+15.4%+17.0%+31.3%
Q1 2020-6.3%-10.4%-2.8%
Q4 2019-10.6%-10.7%-21.8%
Q3 2019-2.8%-2.4%+0.8%
Q2 2019+12.3%+12.8%+5.7%
Q1 2019-9.2%-7.2%-16.2%
Q4 2018+4.8%+6.4%+10.8%
Q3 2018-5.6%-8.0%-4.9%
Q2 2018+5.7%+5.6%+9.2%
Q1 2018+4.9%+3.5%+6.3%
Q4 2017-8.5%-11.5%-17.2%
Q3 2017+1.9%-0.9%-4.6%
Q2 2017-2.3%-1.9%+1.0%
Q1 2017-0.1%-0.7%-1.6%
Q4 2016-10.0%-8.6%-9.5%
Q3 2016-0.8%-1.6%+7.0%
Q2 2016-0.7%-0.4%+0.2%
Q1 2016-1.3%
Q4 2015+1.3%
Q3 2015-3.3%
Q2 2015+6.1%
Q1 2015+3.9%
Q4 2014+0.4%
Q3 2014+1.8%
Q2 2014-3.2%
Q1 2014-1.9%
Q4 2013-0.1%
Q3 2013+3.5%
Q2 2013-0.7%
Q1 2013+2.6%
Q4 2012-1.6%
Q3 2012+2.2%
Q2 2012-4.7%
Q1 2012-1.5%
Q2 2011+0.5%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q3 2011-0.1%
Q1 2011-0.2%
Q2 2010-1.5%
Q4 2010-1.5%
Q3 2010+0.2%
Q1 2009+3.8%
Q1 2010-0.6%
Q2 2009+0.7%
Q4 2007+0.7%
Q4 2009+0.7%
Q3 2008+3.2%
Q3 2009+3.2%
Q2 2008+0.9%
Q4 2008+0.9%

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