NYSE$UPS

United Parcel Service Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

UPS reported a decrease in revenue but an increase in adjusted EPS for Q4 2022.

UPS announced Q4 2022 consolidated revenues of $27.0 billion, a 2.7% decrease from the fourth quarter of 2021. Diluted earnings per share were $3.96 for the quarter; adjusted diluted earnings per share of $3.62 were 0.8% above the same period in 2021.

  • Consolidated Revenues of $27.0B, Down 2.7% from Last Year
  • Consolidated Operating Margin of 11.8%; Adjusted Consolidated Operating Margin of 14.1%
  • Diluted EPS of $3.96; Adjusted Diluted EPS Up 0.8% Over Last Year to $3.62
  • Declared a Quarterly Dividend of $1.62, a Per Share Increase of 6.6%, and Authorizes a New $5B Share Repurchase Program, Replacing the Existing Authorization

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$27B

Previous: $27.8B-2.7%
EPS (adj)

$3.62

Previous: $3.59+0.8%
Capital Expenditures

$2.49B

Previous: $1.62B+53.4%
Free Cash Flow

$841M

Previous: $1.62B-48.2%
Net Income

$3.45B

Previous: $3.09B+11.6%
Operating Income

$3.2B

Previous: $3.89B-17.9%
Gross Profit

$3.2B

Previous: $3.89B-17.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$5.6B

Previous: $10.3B-45.4%
Total Assets

$71.1B

Previous: $69.4B+2.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$718M

Previous: $178M+303.4%

Revenue & EPS history

UPS · Revenue · Quarterly

$27B

Q4 2022-2.7%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

UPS · $27B total across 3 segments · Q4 2022

  • U.S. Domestic Package
    $18.3B+3.1%
  • International Package
    $4.95B-8.3%
  • Supply Chain Solutions
    $3.83B-18.1%

Forward guidance

For the full year 2023, UPS expects revenue to be between $97.0 billion and $99.4 billion and consolidated adjusted operating margin of between 12.8% and 13.6%. The company is planning capital expenditures to be about $5.3 billion, dividend payments to be around $5.4 billion, subject to board approval, and share repurchases to be around $3 billion. The effective tax rate is expected to be around 23.5%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

35 / 73 earnings

Positive

+15.4%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-14.1%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.6%-0.6%-1.9%
Q4 2025+0.9%-0.7%+9.0%
Q3 2025+7.7%+8.1%+7.2%
Q2 2025-0.6%-0.5%-2.0%
Q1 2025-0.4%-0.7%+1.0%
Q4 2024-14.1%-16.5%-11.0%
Q3 2024+4.6%+2.2%+2.6%
Q2 2024-11.5%-11.3%-12.6%
Q1 2024+0.9%+1.5%-4.3%
Q4 2023-10.2%-10.2%-6.2%
Q3 2023-8.2%-3.9%+3.5%
Q2 2023-1.5%-3.0%-10.9%
Q1 2023-11.9%-8.2%-12.6%
Q4 2022+4.5%+8.3%+4.4%
Q3 2022+0.9%-0.2%+9.1%
Q2 2022-2.1%+3.7%+9.1%
Q1 2022-1.7%-5.1%-5.9%
Q4 2021+14.8%+11.2%+5.1%
Q3 2021+4.1%+4.7%+2.2%
Q2 2021-8.5%-8.8%-8.3%
Q1 2021+12.8%+16.0%+21.0%
Q4 2020+2.2%+5.2%+2.0%
Q3 2020-5.5%-6.6%-1.1%
Q2 2020+15.4%+17.0%+31.3%
Q1 2020-6.3%-10.4%-2.8%
Q4 2019-10.6%-10.7%-21.8%
Q3 2019-2.8%-2.4%+0.8%
Q2 2019+12.3%+12.8%+5.7%
Q1 2019-9.2%-7.2%-16.2%
Q4 2018+4.8%+6.4%+10.8%
Q3 2018-5.6%-8.0%-4.9%
Q2 2018+5.7%+5.6%+9.2%
Q1 2018+4.9%+3.5%+6.3%
Q4 2017-8.5%-11.5%-17.2%
Q3 2017+1.9%-0.9%-4.6%
Q2 2017-2.3%-1.9%+1.0%
Q1 2017-0.1%-0.7%-1.6%
Q4 2016-10.0%-8.6%-9.5%
Q3 2016-0.8%-1.6%+7.0%
Q2 2016-0.7%-0.4%+0.2%
Q1 2016-1.3%
Q4 2015+1.3%
Q3 2015-3.3%
Q2 2015+6.1%
Q1 2015+3.9%
Q4 2014+0.4%
Q3 2014+1.8%
Q2 2014-3.2%
Q1 2014-1.9%
Q4 2013-0.1%
Q3 2013+3.5%
Q2 2013-0.7%
Q1 2013+2.6%
Q4 2012-1.6%
Q3 2012+2.2%
Q2 2012-4.7%
Q1 2012-1.5%
Q2 2011+0.5%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q3 2011-0.1%
Q1 2011-0.2%
Q2 2010-1.5%
Q4 2010-1.5%
Q3 2010+0.2%
Q1 2009+3.8%
Q1 2010-0.6%
Q2 2009+0.7%
Q4 2007+0.7%
Q4 2009+0.7%
Q3 2008+3.2%
Q3 2009+3.2%
Q2 2008+0.9%
Q4 2008+0.9%

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