NYSE$UPS

United Parcel Service Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

UPS's Q1 2021 results reflected growth across all segments and a significant increase in operating profit.

UPS announced a strong first quarter in 2021, with consolidated revenue increasing by 27% to $22.9 billion and operating profit up by 158%. Diluted earnings per share reached $5.47, a 393% increase compared to the same period last year.

  • Consolidated revenue increased 27% with growth across all segments.
  • Consolidated operating profit increased 158% to $2.8B, or 164% on an adjusted basis.
  • Diluted EPS was $5.47; adjusted diluted EPS increased 141% to $2.77.
  • The company reaffirmed its full-year capital allocation plans.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$22.9B

Previous: $18B+27.0%
EPS (adj)

$2.77

Previous: $1.15+140.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$834M

Previous: -$933M+10.6%
Free Cash Flow

$3.96B

Previous: $32M+12268.8%
Net Income

$4.79B

Previous: $965M+396.6%
Operating Income

$2.77B

Previous: $1.07B+157.9%
Gross Profit

$21.6B

Previous: $16.9B+28.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$7.73B

Previous: $8.96B-13.7%
Total Assets

$63.3B

Previous: $60.9B+4.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$315M

Previous: $231M+36.4%

Revenue & EPS history

UPS · Revenue · Quarterly

$22.9B

Q1 2021+27%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

UPS · $22.9B total across 3 segments · Q1 2021

  • U.S. Domestic Package
    $14B+22.3%
  • International Package
    $4.61B+36.2%
  • Supply Chain Solutions
    $4.29B+34.3%

Forward guidance

Given continued economic uncertainty, the Company is not providing 2021 revenue or diluted earnings per share guidance; however, it is re-affirming its full-year capital allocation plans.

Tailwinds

  • Reaffirms Full-Year 2021 Capital Allocation Plans
  • The sale of UPS Freight is expected to close in the second quarter.
  • Capital expenditures are planned to be about $4.0 billion.
  • Long-term debt repayments, including $1.5 billion repaid in the first quarter of 2021, will total $2.5 billion.
  • Effective tax rate for the remainder of the year is expected to be around 23.5%.

Headwinds

  • Given continued economic uncertainty, the Company is not providing 2021 revenue or diluted earnings per share guidance
  • The Company has no plans to repurchase shares.
  • Uncertainties related to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on our business and operations
  • Changes in general economic conditions, in the U.S. or internationally
  • Changes in our relationships with our significant customers

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

35 / 73 earnings

Positive

+15.4%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-14.1%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.6%-0.6%-1.9%
Q4 2025+0.9%-0.7%+9.0%
Q3 2025+7.7%+8.1%+7.2%
Q2 2025-0.6%-0.5%-2.0%
Q1 2025-0.4%-0.7%+1.0%
Q4 2024-14.1%-16.5%-11.0%
Q3 2024+4.6%+2.2%+2.6%
Q2 2024-11.5%-11.3%-12.6%
Q1 2024+0.9%+1.5%-4.3%
Q4 2023-10.2%-10.2%-6.2%
Q3 2023-8.2%-3.9%+3.5%
Q2 2023-1.5%-3.0%-10.9%
Q1 2023-11.9%-8.2%-12.6%
Q4 2022+4.5%+8.3%+4.4%
Q3 2022+0.9%-0.2%+9.1%
Q2 2022-2.1%+3.7%+9.1%
Q1 2022-1.7%-5.1%-5.9%
Q4 2021+14.8%+11.2%+5.1%
Q3 2021+4.1%+4.7%+2.2%
Q2 2021-8.5%-8.8%-8.3%
Q1 2021+12.8%+16.0%+21.0%
Q4 2020+2.2%+5.2%+2.0%
Q3 2020-5.5%-6.6%-1.1%
Q2 2020+15.4%+17.0%+31.3%
Q1 2020-6.3%-10.4%-2.8%
Q4 2019-10.6%-10.7%-21.8%
Q3 2019-2.8%-2.4%+0.8%
Q2 2019+12.3%+12.8%+5.7%
Q1 2019-9.2%-7.2%-16.2%
Q4 2018+4.8%+6.4%+10.8%
Q3 2018-5.6%-8.0%-4.9%
Q2 2018+5.7%+5.6%+9.2%
Q1 2018+4.9%+3.5%+6.3%
Q4 2017-8.5%-11.5%-17.2%
Q3 2017+1.9%-0.9%-4.6%
Q2 2017-2.3%-1.9%+1.0%
Q1 2017-0.1%-0.7%-1.6%
Q4 2016-10.0%-8.6%-9.5%
Q3 2016-0.8%-1.6%+7.0%
Q2 2016-0.7%-0.4%+0.2%
Q1 2016-1.3%
Q4 2015+1.3%
Q3 2015-3.3%
Q2 2015+6.1%
Q1 2015+3.9%
Q4 2014+0.4%
Q3 2014+1.8%
Q2 2014-3.2%
Q1 2014-1.9%
Q4 2013-0.1%
Q3 2013+3.5%
Q2 2013-0.7%
Q1 2013+2.6%
Q4 2012-1.6%
Q3 2012+2.2%
Q2 2012-4.7%
Q1 2012-1.5%
Q2 2011+0.5%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q3 2011-0.1%
Q1 2011-0.2%
Q2 2010-1.5%
Q4 2010-1.5%
Q3 2010+0.2%
Q1 2009+3.8%
Q1 2010-0.6%
Q2 2009+0.7%
Q4 2007+0.7%
Q4 2009+0.7%
Q3 2008+3.2%
Q3 2009+3.2%
Q2 2008+0.9%
Q4 2008+0.9%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro