NYSE$UPS

United Parcel Service Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

UPS's Q4 2023 earnings were released, showing a decrease in revenue and diluted EPS compared to the previous year, but the company focused on controlling costs and strengthening its foundation for future growth.

UPS announced Q4 2023 consolidated revenues of $24.9 billion, a 7.8% decrease from Q4 2022. Diluted earnings per share were $1.87, with adjusted diluted earnings per share at $2.47, which is 31.8% below the same period in 2022. The company's performance was impacted by market rate declines and excess market capacity.

  • Consolidated revenues reached $24.9 billion, a decrease of 7.8% compared to the previous year.
  • Diluted EPS was reported at $1.87, while adjusted diluted EPS was $2.47, down 31.8% from the previous year.
  • The company declared a quarterly dividend of $1.63, a $0.01 increase per share.
  • Revenue decreases were driven by declines in average daily volume across U.S. Domestic and International segments.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$24.9B

Previous: $27B-7.8%
EPS (adj)

$2.47

Previous: $3.62-31.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.05B

Previous: $2.49B-182.3%
Net Income

$1.61B

Previous: $3.45B-53.5%
Operating Income

$2.48B

Previous: $3.2B-22.5%
Gross Profit

$4.82B

Previous: $3.2B+50.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$34M

Previous: $718M-95.3%

Revenue & EPS history

UPS · Revenue · Quarterly

$24.9B

Q4 2023-7.8%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

UPS · $21.1B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • U.S. Domestic Package
    $13.7B-11.1%
  • International Package
    $4.27B-11.1%
  • Supply Chain Solutions
    $3.13B-21.4%

Forward guidance

For the full year 2024, UPS expects revenue to range from approximately $92.0 billion to $94.5 billion and consolidated adjusted operating margin to range from approximately 10.0% to 10.6%. The company is planning capital expenditures of about $4.5 billion and dividend payments of around $5.4 billion, subject to board approval. The effective tax rate is expected to be around 23.5%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

35 / 73 earnings

Positive

+15.4%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-14.1%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.6%-0.6%-1.9%
Q4 2025+0.9%-0.7%+9.0%
Q3 2025+7.7%+8.1%+7.2%
Q2 2025-0.6%-0.5%-2.0%
Q1 2025-0.4%-0.7%+1.0%
Q4 2024-14.1%-16.5%-11.0%
Q3 2024+4.6%+2.2%+2.6%
Q2 2024-11.5%-11.3%-12.6%
Q1 2024+0.9%+1.5%-4.3%
Q4 2023-10.2%-10.2%-6.2%
Q3 2023-8.2%-3.9%+3.5%
Q2 2023-1.5%-3.0%-10.9%
Q1 2023-11.9%-8.2%-12.6%
Q4 2022+4.5%+8.3%+4.4%
Q3 2022+0.9%-0.2%+9.1%
Q2 2022-2.1%+3.7%+9.1%
Q1 2022-1.7%-5.1%-5.9%
Q4 2021+14.8%+11.2%+5.1%
Q3 2021+4.1%+4.7%+2.2%
Q2 2021-8.5%-8.8%-8.3%
Q1 2021+12.8%+16.0%+21.0%
Q4 2020+2.2%+5.2%+2.0%
Q3 2020-5.5%-6.6%-1.1%
Q2 2020+15.4%+17.0%+31.3%
Q1 2020-6.3%-10.4%-2.8%
Q4 2019-10.6%-10.7%-21.8%
Q3 2019-2.8%-2.4%+0.8%
Q2 2019+12.3%+12.8%+5.7%
Q1 2019-9.2%-7.2%-16.2%
Q4 2018+4.8%+6.4%+10.8%
Q3 2018-5.6%-8.0%-4.9%
Q2 2018+5.7%+5.6%+9.2%
Q1 2018+4.9%+3.5%+6.3%
Q4 2017-8.5%-11.5%-17.2%
Q3 2017+1.9%-0.9%-4.6%
Q2 2017-2.3%-1.9%+1.0%
Q1 2017-0.1%-0.7%-1.6%
Q4 2016-10.0%-8.6%-9.5%
Q3 2016-0.8%-1.6%+7.0%
Q2 2016-0.7%-0.4%+0.2%
Q1 2016-1.3%
Q4 2015+1.3%
Q3 2015-3.3%
Q2 2015+6.1%
Q1 2015+3.9%
Q4 2014+0.4%
Q3 2014+1.8%
Q2 2014-3.2%
Q1 2014-1.9%
Q4 2013-0.1%
Q3 2013+3.5%
Q2 2013-0.7%
Q1 2013+2.6%
Q4 2012-1.6%
Q3 2012+2.2%
Q2 2012-4.7%
Q1 2012-1.5%
Q2 2011+0.5%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q3 2011-0.1%
Q1 2011-0.2%
Q2 2010-1.5%
Q4 2010-1.5%
Q3 2010+0.2%
Q1 2009+3.8%
Q1 2010-0.6%
Q2 2009+0.7%
Q4 2007+0.7%
Q4 2009+0.7%
Q3 2008+3.2%
Q3 2009+3.2%
Q2 2008+0.9%
Q4 2008+0.9%

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