NYSE$UPS

United Parcel Service Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Revenue increased due to changes in demand from the pandemic, including a surge in residential volume, COVID-19 related healthcare shipments, and strong outbound demand from Asia.

UPS announced second-quarter 2020 consolidated revenue increased to $20.5 billion, a 13.4% increase from the second quarter of 2019. Net income was $1.8 billion for the quarter; adjusted net income was $1.9 billion, 8.8% above the same period in 2019. Diluted earnings per share was $2.03 and adjusted diluted earnings per share was $2.13, up 8.7% from the same period last year.

  • Consolidated Average Daily Volume Surged to Record 20.9% Growth
  • 2Q20 Diluted EPS of $2.03, Up 4.6%; Adjusted* Diluted EPS up 8.7% to $2.13
  • YTD Cash from Operations of $5.9B; Adjusted Free Cash Flow of $3.9B
  • Results were better than expected, driven in part by the changes in demand that emerged from the pandemic

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$20.5B

Previous: $18B+13.4%
EPS (adj)

$2.13

Previous: $1.96+8.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.07B

Previous: -$2.86B+27.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$297M

Previous: -$1.18B+74.7%
Net Income

$1.77B

Previous: $1.69B+4.9%
Operating Income

$2.21B

Previous: $2.14B+3.2%
Gross Profit

$19.6B

Previous: $16.9B+16.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$8.81B

Previous: $4.07B+116.4%
Total Assets

$62.1B

Previous: $52.8B+17.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$137M

Previous: $205M-33.2%

Revenue & EPS history

UPS · Revenue · Quarterly

$20.5B

Q2 2020+13.4%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

UPS · $20.5B total across 3 segments · Q2 2020

  • U.S. Domestic Package
    $13.1B
  • International Package
    $3.71B
  • Supply Chain Solutions
    $3.68B

Forward guidance

UPS is not providing revenue and diluted earnings per share guidance due to the uncertainty around the timing and pace of the economic recovery. The company is unable to predict the extent of the business impact or the duration of the coronavirus pandemic, or reasonably estimate its operating performance in future quarters.

Tailwinds

  • Using the scale and flexibility of our global integrated network, we successfully managed operational challenges throughout the quarter.
  • Focusing on efficiency and revenue quality to improve U.S. operating margins longer term
  • Liquidity and cash position remain strong
  • Able to invest in enabling capabilities through this time of unprecedented business disruption.

Headwinds

  • Uncertainty around the timing and pace of the economic recovery.
  • Unable to predict the extent of the business impact
  • Unable to predict the duration of the coronavirus pandemic
  • Unable to reasonably estimate its operating performance in future quarters

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

35 / 73 earnings

Positive

+15.4%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-14.1%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.6%-0.6%-1.9%
Q4 2025+0.9%-0.7%+9.0%
Q3 2025+7.7%+8.1%+7.2%
Q2 2025-0.6%-0.5%-2.0%
Q1 2025-0.4%-0.7%+1.0%
Q4 2024-14.1%-16.5%-11.0%
Q3 2024+4.6%+2.2%+2.6%
Q2 2024-11.5%-11.3%-12.6%
Q1 2024+0.9%+1.5%-4.3%
Q4 2023-10.2%-10.2%-6.2%
Q3 2023-8.2%-3.9%+3.5%
Q2 2023-1.5%-3.0%-10.9%
Q1 2023-11.9%-8.2%-12.6%
Q4 2022+4.5%+8.3%+4.4%
Q3 2022+0.9%-0.2%+9.1%
Q2 2022-2.1%+3.7%+9.1%
Q1 2022-1.7%-5.1%-5.9%
Q4 2021+14.8%+11.2%+5.1%
Q3 2021+4.1%+4.7%+2.2%
Q2 2021-8.5%-8.8%-8.3%
Q1 2021+12.8%+16.0%+21.0%
Q4 2020+2.2%+5.2%+2.0%
Q3 2020-5.5%-6.6%-1.1%
Q2 2020+15.4%+17.0%+31.3%
Q1 2020-6.3%-10.4%-2.8%
Q4 2019-10.6%-10.7%-21.8%
Q3 2019-2.8%-2.4%+0.8%
Q2 2019+12.3%+12.8%+5.7%
Q1 2019-9.2%-7.2%-16.2%
Q4 2018+4.8%+6.4%+10.8%
Q3 2018-5.6%-8.0%-4.9%
Q2 2018+5.7%+5.6%+9.2%
Q1 2018+4.9%+3.5%+6.3%
Q4 2017-8.5%-11.5%-17.2%
Q3 2017+1.9%-0.9%-4.6%
Q2 2017-2.3%-1.9%+1.0%
Q1 2017-0.1%-0.7%-1.6%
Q4 2016-10.0%-8.6%-9.5%
Q3 2016-0.8%-1.6%+7.0%
Q2 2016-0.7%-0.4%+0.2%
Q1 2016-1.3%
Q4 2015+1.3%
Q3 2015-3.3%
Q2 2015+6.1%
Q1 2015+3.9%
Q4 2014+0.4%
Q3 2014+1.8%
Q2 2014-3.2%
Q1 2014-1.9%
Q4 2013-0.1%
Q3 2013+3.5%
Q2 2013-0.7%
Q1 2013+2.6%
Q4 2012-1.6%
Q3 2012+2.2%
Q2 2012-4.7%
Q1 2012-1.5%
Q2 2011+0.5%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q3 2011-0.1%
Q1 2011-0.2%
Q2 2010-1.5%
Q4 2010-1.5%
Q3 2010+0.2%
Q1 2009+3.8%
Q1 2010-0.6%
Q2 2009+0.7%
Q4 2007+0.7%
Q4 2009+0.7%
Q3 2008+3.2%
Q3 2009+3.2%
Q2 2008+0.9%
Q4 2008+0.9%

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