NYSE$TRU

TransUnion · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

TransUnion's Q4 2023 financial performance reflected revenue growth and strategic transformation initiatives.

TransUnion announced Q4 2023 results with a 6% increase in revenue, driven by international growth. The company is implementing a transformation program expected to yield significant cost savings. While net income decreased, adjusted EBITDA remained strong, and the company provided 2024 revenue growth guidance of 3-5%.

  • Revenue grew by 6% in Q4, with International segment leading the growth.
  • Transformation program announced to optimize operating model and streamline technology.
  • Prepaid $25 million in debt during the quarter as part of a larger $250 million prepayment for the full year.
  • 2024 financial guidance projects 3% to 5% revenue growth.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$954M

Previous: $902M+5.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.80

Previous: $0.78+2.6%
Adjusted EBITDA

$326M

Previous: $321M+1.6%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

34.0%

Previous: 35.6%-4.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$97.5M

Previous: $106M-192.2%
Net Income

$6M

Previous: $50.4M-88.1%
Operating Income

$61.3M

Previous: $144M-57.3%
Gross Profit

$440M

Previous: $591M-25.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$27.4M

Previous: $20.8M+31.7%

Revenue & EPS history

TransUnion · Revenue · Quarterly

$954M

Q4 2023+5.8%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 13 of 15 quarters(87%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

TransUnion · $777M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • U.S. Financial Services
    $323M+11.0%
  • U.S. Emerging Verticals
    $311M-5.7%
  • Consumer Interactive
    $143M-2.9%

Forward guidance

TransUnion expects to deliver 3 to 5 percent revenue growth with expanding Adjusted EBITDA margins in 2024, assuming slow economic growth and no in-year benefits from interest rate cuts.

Tailwinds

  • Expects to deliver 3 to 5 percent revenue growth
  • Anticipates expanding Adjusted EBITDA margins
  • Innovative solutions and diversified portfolio driving performance
  • Positioned to accelerate growth as lending and marketing activity recovers
  • Transformation program expected to drive material cost savings

Headwinds

  • Guidance assumes slow economic growth
  • Guidance assumes no in-year benefits from interest rate cuts
  • Macroeconomic effects and changes in market conditions
  • Risk of recession
  • Industry trends and adverse developments in the debt, consumer credit and financial services markets

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

25 / 44 earnings

Positive

+18.4%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-28.7%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.3%-1.1%+0.5%
Q4 2025-1.4%+4.9%-2.5%
Q3 2025+3.3%+2.8%+4.0%
Q2 2025-2.9%-4.9%-1.1%
Q1 2025+6.7%+6.7%+7.6%
Q4 2024+7.3%+3.9%-11.9%
Q3 2024+0.8%-2.0%-6.3%
Q2 2024+11.4%+15.8%+25.3%
Q1 2024+8.5%+6.3%+11.1%
Q4 2023+9.8%+6.3%+10.2%
Q3 2023-28.7%-32.8%-8.7%
Q2 2023+3.2%+0.4%-1.1%
Q1 2023+0.3%+7.8%+11.1%
Q4 2022+3.4%+3.9%-12.9%
Q3 2022+1.9%+5.1%+8.4%
Q2 2022-14.0%-9.6%-7.5%
Q1 2022-3.6%-5.7%-8.1%
Q4 2021-11.9%-6.6%+4.5%
Q3 2021-7.3%-2.4%-3.4%
Q2 2021+1.6%+3.0%+1.4%
Q1 2021+3.4%+4.0%+6.4%
Q4 2020-6.9%-6.1%-8.1%
Q3 2020-6.1%-5.6%+11.0%
Q2 2020+3.2%+0.2%-3.5%
Q1 2020+8.1%+2.6%+13.9%
Q4 2019+2.2%-0.7%-40.2%
Q3 2019+1.3%-0.1%+2.8%
Q2 2019+9.0%+12.7%+12.2%
Q1 2019-3.4%-1.8%-6.9%
Q4 2018-2.1%-2.6%+1.0%
Q3 2018-6.9%-10.2%-11.5%
Q2 2018-1.2%-4.5%-2.1%
Q1 2018+8.3%+8.0%+13.6%
Q4 2017-4.0%+0.6%+0.9%
Q3 2017+2.5%+4.5%+7.7%
Q2 2017-0.1%-0.7%+3.7%
Q1 2017-0.2%+0.4%+7.3%
Q4 2016+9.4%+8.5%+10.6%
Q3 2016-3.5%-6.6%-5.1%
Q2 2016-4.9%-7.3%-6.4%
Q1 2016+9.6%
Q4 2015+18.4%
Q3 2015+1.7%
Q2 2015+0.6%
Q4 2014
Q1 2015
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q4 2012
Q1 2013

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