NYSE$TRU

TransUnion · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

TransUnion's Q3 2020 results were in line with its Upside Case, benefiting from re-openings, government stimulus, and proactive efforts.

TransUnion reported a 1% increase in revenue to $696 million and net income of $103 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2020. The company achieved its Upside Case Outlook Scenario, with modest revenue growth and an attractive Adjusted EBITDA margin.

  • TransUnion achieved third quarter 2020 results in line with its Upside Case as provided in its scenario-based outlook.
  • Business performance continues to benefit from re-openings, government stimulus and our successful proactive efforts to support our associates, customers and consumers during the pandemic.
  • The company is reinstating its guidance, and based on the fourth quarter 2020 guidance, expects to deliver modest revenue growth for the full year 2020.
  • Strategic moves were made to build out the Media vertical through the acquisitions of Signal in the third quarter and Tru Optik early in the fourth quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$696M

Previous: $689M+1.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.81

Previous: $0.76+6.6%
Adjusted EBITDA

$270M

Previous: $281M-3.9%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

38.8%

Previous: 40.7%-4.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$132M

Previous: -$132M+0.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$28.9M

Previous: -$40.4M+28.5%
Net Income

$103M

Previous: $91.7M+12.1%
Operating Income

$162M

Previous: $171M-5.3%
Gross Profit

$474M

Previous: $689M-31.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$554M

Previous: $236M+134.8%
Total Assets

$7.2B

Previous: $7.02B+2.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$8.1M

Previous: $13.1M-38.2%

Revenue & EPS history

TransUnion · Revenue · Quarterly

$696M

Q3 2020+1%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

TransUnion · $570M total across 3 segments · Q3 2020

  • U.S. Financial Services
    $249M+10.6%
  • U.S. Emerging Verticals
    $189M-2.8%
  • Consumer Interactive
    $132M+3.0%

Forward guidance

For the fourth quarter of 2020, revenue is expected to be between $678 million and $698 million, a decrease of 1 percent to an increase of 2 percent compared with 2019. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $255 million and $271 million, a decrease of 2 to 7 percent. Adjusted Diluted Earnings per Share is expected to be between $0.74 and $0.80, a decrease of 1 percent to an increase of 7 percent.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

25 / 44 earnings

Positive

+18.4%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-28.7%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.3%-1.1%+0.5%
Q4 2025-1.4%+4.9%-2.5%
Q3 2025+3.3%+2.8%+4.0%
Q2 2025-2.9%-4.9%-1.1%
Q1 2025+6.7%+6.7%+7.6%
Q4 2024+7.3%+3.9%-11.9%
Q3 2024+0.8%-2.0%-6.3%
Q2 2024+11.4%+15.8%+25.3%
Q1 2024+8.5%+6.3%+11.1%
Q4 2023+9.8%+6.3%+10.2%
Q3 2023-28.7%-32.8%-8.7%
Q2 2023+3.2%+0.4%-1.1%
Q1 2023+0.3%+7.8%+11.1%
Q4 2022+3.4%+3.9%-12.9%
Q3 2022+1.9%+5.1%+8.4%
Q2 2022-14.0%-9.6%-7.5%
Q1 2022-3.6%-5.7%-8.1%
Q4 2021-11.9%-6.6%+4.5%
Q3 2021-7.3%-2.4%-3.4%
Q2 2021+1.6%+3.0%+1.4%
Q1 2021+3.4%+4.0%+6.4%
Q4 2020-6.9%-6.1%-8.1%
Q3 2020-6.1%-5.6%+11.0%
Q2 2020+3.2%+0.2%-3.5%
Q1 2020+8.1%+2.6%+13.9%
Q4 2019+2.2%-0.7%-40.2%
Q3 2019+1.3%-0.1%+2.8%
Q2 2019+9.0%+12.7%+12.2%
Q1 2019-3.4%-1.8%-6.9%
Q4 2018-2.1%-2.6%+1.0%
Q3 2018-6.9%-10.2%-11.5%
Q2 2018-1.2%-4.5%-2.1%
Q1 2018+8.3%+8.0%+13.6%
Q4 2017-4.0%+0.6%+0.9%
Q3 2017+2.5%+4.5%+7.7%
Q2 2017-0.1%-0.7%+3.7%
Q1 2017-0.2%+0.4%+7.3%
Q4 2016+9.4%+8.5%+10.6%
Q3 2016-3.5%-6.6%-5.1%
Q2 2016-4.9%-7.3%-6.4%
Q1 2016+9.6%
Q4 2015+18.4%
Q3 2015+1.7%
Q2 2015+0.6%
Q4 2014
Q1 2015
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q4 2012
Q1 2013

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