NYSE$RCL

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Royal Caribbean's Q4 2024 performance was driven by stronger than expected close-in demand, leading to results exceeding guidance. The company launched Celebrity River Cruises to expand vacation offerings and is seeing a record start to WAVE season, setting the stage for strong 2025 momentum.

Royal Caribbean Group reported Net Income of $0.6 billion, or $2.02 per share, and Adjusted Net Income of $0.4 billion, or $1.63 per share, on total revenues of $3.8 billion. The load factor for the quarter was 108%. The company is optimistic about 2025, with Adjusted EPS expected to be in the range of $14.35 to $14.65.

  • Stronger than expected close-in demand drove fourth quarter results.
  • WAVE season is off to a record start, propelling 2025 momentum.
  • Adjusted EPS in 2025 are expected to be $14.35 to $14.65.
  • Celebrity River Cruises was launched to expand vacation offerings.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.76B

Previous: $3.33B+12.9%
EPS (adj)

$1.63

Previous: $1.25+30.4%
Occupancy (Load factor)

107.6%

Previous: 105.4%+2.1%
Passengers Carried

2.2M

No prior period
Passenger Cruise Days

13.7M

No prior period
Available Passenger Cruise Days

12.7M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$552M

Previous: -$2.57B+78.5%
Net Income

$600M

Previous: $300M+100.0%
Operating Income

$624M

Previous: $570M+9.5%
Gross Profit

$1.71B

Previous: $1.09B+57.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Royal Caribbean · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.76B

Q4 2024+12.9%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Royal Caribbean · $4.16B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Passenger ticket revenues
    $2.94B+45.5%
  • Onboard and other revenues
    $1.22B+25.4%

Forward guidance

The company expects Net Yields to increase 2.5% to 4.5% in Constant Currency and 1.8% to 3.8% as-reported for the full year 2025. Adjusted EPS is expected to be in the range of $14.35 to $14.65 for the full year 2025.

Tailwinds

  • WAVE season bookings are off to a record start, with booked load factors in line with prior years and at higher rates.
  • Net Yields are expected to increase 2.5% to 4.5% in Constant Currency and 1.8% to 3.8% as-reported for the full year 2025.
  • NCC, excluding Fuel, per APCD are expected to be flat to up 1.0% in Constant Currency and (0.3%) to 0.7% as-reported for the full year 2025.
  • Adjusted EPS is expected to be in the range of $14.35 to $14.65 for the full year 2025.
  • First Quarter 2025 Net Yields are expected to increase 4.75% to 5.25% in Constant-Currency (3.9% to 4.4% as-reported) compared to 2024.

Headwinds

  • NCC, excluding Fuel, per APCD, is expected to increase 1.6% to 2.1% in Constant-Currency (1.3% to 1.8% as-reported) compared to 2024 for the first quarter of 2025.
  • The guidance range includes a headwind of $0.65 related to foreign exchange and fuel rates, compared to the last earnings call.
  • Fuel Expenses for full year 2025 are expected to be $1,172 million.
  • Net Interest, excluding loss on extinguishment of debt, is expected to be $935 to $945 million for the full year 2025.
  • Capital expenditures for the full year 2025 are expected to be approximately $5 billion.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+2.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.0%

Avg return

30 days after

69%

48 / 70 earnings

Positive

+18.8%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-12.6%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.6%+3.9%+12.0%
Q4 2025+18.8%+11.9%+6.6%
Q3 2025-8.2%-10.4%-17.0%
Q2 2025-5.0%-10.7%+3.9%
Q1 2025+0.1%+6.3%+17.6%
Q4 2024+12.0%+12.6%+0.6%
Q3 2024+2.4%-0.7%+18.7%
Q2 2024-6.7%-4.6%-0.9%
Q1 2024+2.8%+2.1%+8.6%
Q4 2023-3.2%-5.4%-2.5%
Q3 2023+0.7%+3.1%+27.0%
Q2 2023+7.6%+6.5%-1.1%
Q1 2023+12.7%+14.7%+28.5%
Q4 2022+7.8%+3.7%-1.2%
Q3 2022+10.1%+9.4%+21.8%
Q2 2022+10.9%+5.0%+21.2%
Q1 2022-10.2%-21.7%-27.6%
Q4 2021+3.3%+11.0%-12.3%
Q3 2021+4.8%+6.6%-19.3%
Q2 2021+4.8%+3.9%+6.6%
Q1 2021-0.6%-4.0%+6.6%
Q4 2020+14.2%+18.3%+3.4%
Q3 2020+6.2%+8.4%+53.4%
Q2 2020+12.6%+16.1%+34.6%
Q1 2020+2.8%+2.3%+31.1%
Q4 2019+1.6%-4.2%-43.5%
Q3 2019-3.9%+0.0%+6.0%
Q2 2019-1.2%+0.6%-11.1%
Q1 2019+4.0%+6.8%+0.7%
Q4 2018+7.1%+6.2%+6.2%
Q3 2018-3.6%-4.8%+3.1%
Q2 2018+2.2%+2.0%+11.4%
Q1 2018-5.6%-7.5%-7.3%
Q4 2017+3.7%+5.9%+2.3%
Q3 2017+2.9%-0.9%-1.0%
Q2 2017+3.8%+5.9%+10.1%
Q1 2017+7.9%+7.6%+10.5%
Q4 2016+7.9%+6.8%+9.7%
Q3 2016+13.0%+10.3%+22.0%
Q2 2016-4.3%+3.6%+1.2%
Q1 2016+3.6%
Q4 2015-12.6%
Q3 2015+4.3%
Q2 2015+9.5%
Q1 2015-6.5%
Q4 2014-7.6%
Q3 2014+1.8%
Q2 2014+12.1%
Q1 2014-2.4%
Q4 2013+5.4%
Q3 2013+9.4%
Q2 2013+1.9%
Q1 2013+4.8%
Q4 2012-2.5%
Q3 2012+7.8%
Q2 2012+1.3%
Q1 2012-9.8%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q3 2011-10.3%
Q2 2011-5.8%
Q1 2011-3.3%
Q4 2010+2.0%
Q4 2008+2.0%
Q3 2009-0.6%
Q3 2010-0.6%
Q2 2010+6.2%
Q2 2009+6.2%
Q4 2009+3.8%
Q1 2009+3.8%
Q1 2010+3.8%

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