NYSE$RCL
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd · Q3 2022 earnings
Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Reported better than expected third quarter earnings due to strong close-in demand and improved onboard revenue and cost performance. The company also introduced the Trifecta Program.
Royal Caribbean Group reported a net income of $33.0 million and adjusted earnings per share of $0.26 for Q3 2022. The results were better than expected, driven by strong demand, improved onboard revenue, and better cost performance. The company introduced the Trifecta Program, a three-year initiative to drive superior performance.
- Load factors in the third quarter were 96% overall, with Caribbean sailings reaching almost 105%.
- Total Revenue in the third quarter was $3.0 billion, Net Income was $33.0 million and Adjusted EBITDA was $742.3 million.
- Booking volumes in the third quarter accelerated versus the second quarter of 2022 and remained significantly higher than booking volumes received in the third quarter of 2019 for all future sailings.
- For 2023, all quarters are currently booked well within historical ranges at record pricing.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Royal Caribbean · Revenue · Quarterly
$2.99B
Revenue by segment
Royal Caribbean · $2.99B total across 2 segments · Q3 2022
- Passenger ticket revenues$2.02B+621.4%67.5%
- Onboard and other revenues$972M+449.8%32.5%
Forward guidance
For the fourth quarter of 2022, the company expects to generate Total Revenue of approximately $2.6 billion, Adjusted EBITDA of $350 - $400 million and Adjusted Loss per Share of ($1.30) – ($1.50). Fourth quarter load factors are expected to average approximately 95% overall.
Tailwinds
- All quarters are currently booked well within historical ranges at record pricing.
- Market response to the 9 new ships that joined the fleet since 2019 has been excellent.
- The company expects a return to historical load factors in early summer, record yields and adjusted EBITDA for 2023.
- The company expects to benefit from lower transitory expenses
- The company expects accelerating benefit from actions taken to improve margin
Headwinds
- The company expects Adjusted Loss per Share for the fourth quarter of ($1.30) - ($1.50).
- The company still expects to have transitory costs in the fourth quarter
- Improvement is partially offset by inflationary and supply chain challenges
- Inflationary pressures are expected to persist through the first half of 2023.
- Fuel and food costs are expected to continue to weigh on costs through the rest of this year and through the first half of 2023.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022
+2.4%
Avg return
Earnings day
+3.2%
Avg return
5 days after
+6.0%
Avg return
30 days after
69%
48 / 70 earnings
Positive
+18.8%
Q4 2025
Best reaction
-12.6%
Q4 2015
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +0.6% | +3.9% | +12.0% | |
| Q4 2025 | +18.8% | +11.9% | +6.6% | |
| Q3 2025 | -8.2% | -10.4% | -17.0% | |
| Q2 2025 | -5.0% | -10.7% | +3.9% | |
| Q1 2025 | +0.1% | +6.3% | +17.6% | |
| Q4 2024 | +12.0% | +12.6% | +0.6% | |
| Q3 2024 | +2.4% | -0.7% | +18.7% | |
| Q2 2024 | -6.7% | -4.6% | -0.9% | |
| Q1 2024 | +2.8% | +2.1% | +8.6% | |
| Q4 2023 | -3.2% | -5.4% | -2.5% | |
| Q3 2023 | +0.7% | +3.1% | +27.0% | |
| Q2 2023 | +7.6% | +6.5% | -1.1% | |
| Q1 2023 | +12.7% | +14.7% | +28.5% | |
| Q4 2022 | +7.8% | +3.7% | -1.2% | |
| Q3 2022 | +10.1% | +9.4% | +21.8% | |
| Q2 2022 | +10.9% | +5.0% | +21.2% | |
| Q1 2022 | -10.2% | -21.7% | -27.6% | |
| Q4 2021 | +3.3% | +11.0% | -12.3% | |
| Q3 2021 | +4.8% | +6.6% | -19.3% | |
| Q2 2021 | +4.8% | +3.9% | +6.6% | |
| Q1 2021 | -0.6% | -4.0% | +6.6% | |
| Q4 2020 | +14.2% | +18.3% | +3.4% | |
| Q3 2020 | +6.2% | +8.4% | +53.4% | |
| Q2 2020 | +12.6% | +16.1% | +34.6% | |
| Q1 2020 | +2.8% | +2.3% | +31.1% | |
| Q4 2019 | +1.6% | -4.2% | -43.5% | |
| Q3 2019 | -3.9% | +0.0% | +6.0% | |
| Q2 2019 | -1.2% | +0.6% | -11.1% | |
| Q1 2019 | +4.0% | +6.8% | +0.7% | |
| Q4 2018 | +7.1% | +6.2% | +6.2% | |
| Q3 2018 | -3.6% | -4.8% | +3.1% | |
| Q2 2018 | +2.2% | +2.0% | +11.4% | |
| Q1 2018 | -5.6% | -7.5% | -7.3% | |
| Q4 2017 | +3.7% | +5.9% | +2.3% | |
| Q3 2017 | +2.9% | -0.9% | -1.0% | |
| Q2 2017 | +3.8% | +5.9% | +10.1% | |
| Q1 2017 | +7.9% | +7.6% | +10.5% | |
| Q4 2016 | +7.9% | +6.8% | +9.7% | |
| Q3 2016 | +13.0% | +10.3% | +22.0% | |
| Q2 2016 | -4.3% | +3.6% | +1.2% | |
| Q1 2016 | +3.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | -12.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +4.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +9.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -6.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -7.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +1.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +12.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -2.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +5.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +9.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +1.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +4.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -2.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +7.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +1.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | -9.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -10.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -5.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -3.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +6.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | +6.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +3.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2009 | +3.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +3.8% | — | — |
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