NYSE$RCL
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd · Q4 2020 earnings
Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Royal Caribbean Group experienced a significant financial downturn due to the COVID-19 pandemic, with substantial net losses reported for Q4 2020.
Royal Caribbean Group reported a US GAAP Net Loss of $(1.4) billion or $(6.09) per share for the fourth quarter of 2020. The adjusted net loss was $(1.1) billion or $(5.02) per share. The results reflect the severe impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the company's operations and the cruise industry as a whole.
- Royal Caribbean's Q4 2020 performance was heavily impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, leading to significant net losses.
- The company focused on enhancing liquidity through cost reductions, capital reductions, and additional financing.
- Royal Caribbean is collaborating with health authorities to ensure a safe return to cruising with enhanced health and safety protocols.
- Booking activity for the second half of 2021 aligns with the anticipated resumption of cruising, with higher pricing compared to 2019.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Royal Caribbean · Revenue · Quarterly
$34.1M
Revenue by segment
Royal Caribbean · $34.1M total across 2 segments · Q4 2020
- Passenger ticket revenues$17.5M-99.0%51.2%
- Onboard and other revenues$16.6M-97.7%48.8%
Forward guidance
Royal Caribbean Group expects to incur a net loss on both a US GAAP and adjusted basis for its first quarter and the 2021 fiscal year, the extent of which will depend on many factors including the timing and extent of the return to service.
Tailwinds
- Booking activity for the second half of 2021 is aligned with the Company’s anticipated resumption of cruising.
- Pricing on these bookings is higher than 2019 both including and excluding the dilutive impact of future cruise credits (FCCs).
- Cumulative advance bookings for the first half of 2022 are within historical ranges and at higher prices.
- This was achieved with minimal sales and marketing spend which the Company believes highlights a strong long-term demand for cruising.
- Approximately 75% of bookings made for 2021 are new and 25% are due to the redemption of FCCs and the “Lift & Shift” program.
Headwinds
- The Company’s operation is still subject to the impact of COVID-19.
- The Company cannot reasonably estimate its financial or operational results.
- The Company expects to incur a net loss on both a US GAAP and adjusted basis for its first quarter and the 2021 fiscal year
- The extent of losses will depend on many factors including the timing and extent of the return to service.
- Many uncertainties remain as to the specifics, timing, and cost of implementing requirements for conditional sailing.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020
+2.4%
Avg return
Earnings day
+3.2%
Avg return
5 days after
+6.0%
Avg return
30 days after
69%
48 / 70 earnings
Positive
+18.8%
Q4 2025
Best reaction
-12.6%
Q4 2015
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +0.6% | +3.9% | +12.0% | |
| Q4 2025 | +18.8% | +11.9% | +6.6% | |
| Q3 2025 | -8.2% | -10.4% | -17.0% | |
| Q2 2025 | -5.0% | -10.7% | +3.9% | |
| Q1 2025 | +0.1% | +6.3% | +17.6% | |
| Q4 2024 | +12.0% | +12.6% | +0.6% | |
| Q3 2024 | +2.4% | -0.7% | +18.7% | |
| Q2 2024 | -6.7% | -4.6% | -0.9% | |
| Q1 2024 | +2.8% | +2.1% | +8.6% | |
| Q4 2023 | -3.2% | -5.4% | -2.5% | |
| Q3 2023 | +0.7% | +3.1% | +27.0% | |
| Q2 2023 | +7.6% | +6.5% | -1.1% | |
| Q1 2023 | +12.7% | +14.7% | +28.5% | |
| Q4 2022 | +7.8% | +3.7% | -1.2% | |
| Q3 2022 | +10.1% | +9.4% | +21.8% | |
| Q2 2022 | +10.9% | +5.0% | +21.2% | |
| Q1 2022 | -10.2% | -21.7% | -27.6% | |
| Q4 2021 | +3.3% | +11.0% | -12.3% | |
| Q3 2021 | +4.8% | +6.6% | -19.3% | |
| Q2 2021 | +4.8% | +3.9% | +6.6% | |
| Q1 2021 | -0.6% | -4.0% | +6.6% | |
| Q4 2020 | +14.2% | +18.3% | +3.4% | |
| Q3 2020 | +6.2% | +8.4% | +53.4% | |
| Q2 2020 | +12.6% | +16.1% | +34.6% | |
| Q1 2020 | +2.8% | +2.3% | +31.1% | |
| Q4 2019 | +1.6% | -4.2% | -43.5% | |
| Q3 2019 | -3.9% | +0.0% | +6.0% | |
| Q2 2019 | -1.2% | +0.6% | -11.1% | |
| Q1 2019 | +4.0% | +6.8% | +0.7% | |
| Q4 2018 | +7.1% | +6.2% | +6.2% | |
| Q3 2018 | -3.6% | -4.8% | +3.1% | |
| Q2 2018 | +2.2% | +2.0% | +11.4% | |
| Q1 2018 | -5.6% | -7.5% | -7.3% | |
| Q4 2017 | +3.7% | +5.9% | +2.3% | |
| Q3 2017 | +2.9% | -0.9% | -1.0% | |
| Q2 2017 | +3.8% | +5.9% | +10.1% | |
| Q1 2017 | +7.9% | +7.6% | +10.5% | |
| Q4 2016 | +7.9% | +6.8% | +9.7% | |
| Q3 2016 | +13.0% | +10.3% | +22.0% | |
| Q2 2016 | -4.3% | +3.6% | +1.2% | |
| Q1 2016 | +3.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | -12.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +4.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +9.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -6.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -7.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +1.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +12.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -2.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +5.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +9.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +1.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +4.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -2.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +7.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +1.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | -9.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -10.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -5.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -3.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +6.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | +6.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +3.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2009 | +3.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +3.8% | — | — |
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