NYSE$RCL

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Royal Caribbean's Q4 2023 earnings were driven by strong demand and enhanced margins.

Royal Caribbean Group reported strong Q4 2023 results, with net income of $0.3 billion, or $1.06 per share, and adjusted net income of $0.3 billion, or $1.25 per share. Total revenues reached $3.3 billion, and adjusted EBITDA was $1.0 billion. The company is optimistic about 2024, expecting record earnings.

  • Net income for Q4 2023 was $0.3 billion, or $1.06 per share, compared to a net loss of $(0.5) billion, or $(1.96) per share, for the same period in the prior year.
  • Adjusted net income was $0.3 billion, or $1.25 per share, for Q4 2023, compared to an adjusted net loss of $(0.3) billion, or $(1.12) per share, for the same period in the prior year.
  • Total revenues for the quarter were $3.3 billion, and adjusted EBITDA was $1.0 billion.
  • Load factor for the quarter was 105%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.33B

Previous: $2.6B+27.9%
EPS (adj)

$1.25

Previous: -$1.12+211.6%
Occupancy (Load factor)

105.4%

Previous: 95.0%+10.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.57B

Previous: $167M-1639.8%
Net Income

$300M

Previous: -$500M+160.0%
Operating Income

$570M

Previous: $15.5M+3589.1%
Gross Profit

$1.09B

Previous: $822M+32.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$46.7M

Previous: $11.8M+294.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Royal Caribbean · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.33B

Q4 2023+27.9%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Royal Caribbean · $4.16B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Passenger ticket revenues
    $2.94B+45.5%
  • Onboard and other revenues
    $1.22B+25.4%

Forward guidance

The company expects first quarter Adjusted EPS to be in the range of $1.10 to $1.20 and Adjusted EPS in 2024 are expected to be $9.50 - $9.70.

Tailwinds

  • WAVE season is off to a record start.
  • Booked load factors and rates are higher than all prior years.
  • Net Yields are expected to increase 5.25% to 7.25% in Constant Currency (5.30% to 7.30% as-reported), compared to 2023.
  • Adjusted EPS is expected to grow 40% year over year and be in the range of $9.50 to $9.70.
  • The company expects to achieve two of its Trifecta goals in 2024: triple digit EBITDA per APCD and ROIC in the teens, one year earlier than prior expectations.

Headwinds

  • NCC, excluding Fuel, per APCD is expected to increase 3.75% to 4.25% in Constant Currency (3.80% to 4.30% as-reported) compared to 2023, and include 315 bps of costs related to increased drydock days and the new operations of Hideaway Beach at Perfect Day at CocoCay.
  • First Quarter 2024 Net Cruise Costs per APCD vs. 2023 4.60% to 5.10%
  • First Quarter 2024 Net Cruise Costs per APCD ex. Fuel vs. 2023 7.20% to 7.70%
  • Full Year 2024 Net Cruise Costs per APCD vs. 2023 2.0% to 2.50%
  • Full Year 2024 Net Cruise Costs per APCD ex. Fuel vs. 2023 3.80% to 4.30%

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+2.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.0%

Avg return

30 days after

69%

48 / 70 earnings

Positive

+18.8%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-12.6%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.6%+3.9%+12.0%
Q4 2025+18.8%+11.9%+6.6%
Q3 2025-8.2%-10.4%-17.0%
Q2 2025-5.0%-10.7%+3.9%
Q1 2025+0.1%+6.3%+17.6%
Q4 2024+12.0%+12.6%+0.6%
Q3 2024+2.4%-0.7%+18.7%
Q2 2024-6.7%-4.6%-0.9%
Q1 2024+2.8%+2.1%+8.6%
Q4 2023-3.2%-5.4%-2.5%
Q3 2023+0.7%+3.1%+27.0%
Q2 2023+7.6%+6.5%-1.1%
Q1 2023+12.7%+14.7%+28.5%
Q4 2022+7.8%+3.7%-1.2%
Q3 2022+10.1%+9.4%+21.8%
Q2 2022+10.9%+5.0%+21.2%
Q1 2022-10.2%-21.7%-27.6%
Q4 2021+3.3%+11.0%-12.3%
Q3 2021+4.8%+6.6%-19.3%
Q2 2021+4.8%+3.9%+6.6%
Q1 2021-0.6%-4.0%+6.6%
Q4 2020+14.2%+18.3%+3.4%
Q3 2020+6.2%+8.4%+53.4%
Q2 2020+12.6%+16.1%+34.6%
Q1 2020+2.8%+2.3%+31.1%
Q4 2019+1.6%-4.2%-43.5%
Q3 2019-3.9%+0.0%+6.0%
Q2 2019-1.2%+0.6%-11.1%
Q1 2019+4.0%+6.8%+0.7%
Q4 2018+7.1%+6.2%+6.2%
Q3 2018-3.6%-4.8%+3.1%
Q2 2018+2.2%+2.0%+11.4%
Q1 2018-5.6%-7.5%-7.3%
Q4 2017+3.7%+5.9%+2.3%
Q3 2017+2.9%-0.9%-1.0%
Q2 2017+3.8%+5.9%+10.1%
Q1 2017+7.9%+7.6%+10.5%
Q4 2016+7.9%+6.8%+9.7%
Q3 2016+13.0%+10.3%+22.0%
Q2 2016-4.3%+3.6%+1.2%
Q1 2016+3.6%
Q4 2015-12.6%
Q3 2015+4.3%
Q2 2015+9.5%
Q1 2015-6.5%
Q4 2014-7.6%
Q3 2014+1.8%
Q2 2014+12.1%
Q1 2014-2.4%
Q4 2013+5.4%
Q3 2013+9.4%
Q2 2013+1.9%
Q1 2013+4.8%
Q4 2012-2.5%
Q3 2012+7.8%
Q2 2012+1.3%
Q1 2012-9.8%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q3 2011-10.3%
Q2 2011-5.8%
Q1 2011-3.3%
Q4 2010+2.0%
Q4 2008+2.0%
Q3 2009-0.6%
Q3 2010-0.6%
Q2 2010+6.2%
Q2 2009+6.2%
Q4 2009+3.8%
Q1 2009+3.8%
Q1 2010+3.8%

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