NYSE$RCL

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Royal Caribbean Group reported second quarter earnings and increased full year guidance due to continued revenue acceleration.

Royal Caribbean Group reported a strong second quarter with Earnings per Share of $1.70 and Adjusted Earnings per Share of $1.82, exceeding guidance due to strong pricing and onboard revenue. The company is increasing its 2023 Adjusted Earnings per Share guidance by 33% to $6.00 – $6.20.

  • Strong ticket pricing from North America and Europe itineraries, combined with strength in onboard revenue, led to better-than-expected revenues.
  • Gross Margin Yields increased 13.1% As-Reported, and Net Yields increased 12.9% in Constant-Currency compared to the second quarter of 2019.
  • Total revenues were a record $3.5 billion, Net Income was $458.8 million, Adjusted Net Income was $491.7 million, Adjusted EBITDA was a record $1.2 billion and Operating Cash Flow was $1.4 billion.
  • Booking volumes in the second quarter remained significantly higher than the corresponding period in 2019 and at record pricing levels.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.52B

Previous: $2.18B+61.3%
EPS (adj)

$1.82

Previous: -$2.08+187.5%
Occupancy (Load factor)

105.0%

Previous: 82.0%+28.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.05B

Previous: -$2.32B+54.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$590M

Previous: -$2.84B+79.2%
Net Income

$459M

Previous: -$522M+188.0%
Operating Income

$772M

Previous: -$219M+452.9%
Gross Profit

$1.57B

Previous: $493M+217.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$726M

Previous: $2.1B-65.4%
Total Assets

$32.9B

Previous: $33.9B-3.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$39.7M

Previous: -$12.7M+412.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Royal Caribbean · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.52B

Q2 2023+61.3%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Royal Caribbean · $3.52B total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • Passenger ticket revenues
    $2.44B+72.3%
  • Onboard and other revenues
    $1.08B+40.9%

Forward guidance

The company provided the following guidance for the third quarter and full year 2023:

Tailwinds

  • Net Yields are expected to increase 13.5% to 14.0% in Constant-Currency (14.0% to 14.5% As-Reported), compared to the third quarter of 2019.
  • Adjusted Earnings per Share for the third quarter are expected to be in the range of $3.38 to $3.48 per share.
  • Net Yields are expected to increase 11.5% to 12.0% in Constant-Currency and As-Reported, compared to 2019.
  • Adjusted Earnings per Share for the full year are expected to be in the range of $6.00 to $6.20 per share.
  • Capacity change vs. 2019 for full year 2023 is expected to be 13.5%

Headwinds

  • NCC, excluding Fuel, per APCD is expected to increase approximately 11.2% in Constant-Currency and As-Reported, compared to third quarter 2019.
  • Approximately half of the cost increase compared to 2019 is related to structural costs, timing shift of operating expenses from the second quarter, and increase in stock compensation expense.
  • NCC, excluding Fuel, per APCD is expected to be up approximately 7.0% in Constant-Currency (6.7% As-Reported), compared to 2019.
  • The increase in costs, relative to previous guidance, is driven by an increase in stock compensation expense due to the rise in share price and expected financial performance.
  • Net Cruise Costs per APCD vs. 2019 approximately 11.6%

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+2.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.0%

Avg return

30 days after

69%

48 / 70 earnings

Positive

+18.8%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-12.6%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.6%+3.9%+12.0%
Q4 2025+18.8%+11.9%+6.6%
Q3 2025-8.2%-10.4%-17.0%
Q2 2025-5.0%-10.7%+3.9%
Q1 2025+0.1%+6.3%+17.6%
Q4 2024+12.0%+12.6%+0.6%
Q3 2024+2.4%-0.7%+18.7%
Q2 2024-6.7%-4.6%-0.9%
Q1 2024+2.8%+2.1%+8.6%
Q4 2023-3.2%-5.4%-2.5%
Q3 2023+0.7%+3.1%+27.0%
Q2 2023+7.6%+6.5%-1.1%
Q1 2023+12.7%+14.7%+28.5%
Q4 2022+7.8%+3.7%-1.2%
Q3 2022+10.1%+9.4%+21.8%
Q2 2022+10.9%+5.0%+21.2%
Q1 2022-10.2%-21.7%-27.6%
Q4 2021+3.3%+11.0%-12.3%
Q3 2021+4.8%+6.6%-19.3%
Q2 2021+4.8%+3.9%+6.6%
Q1 2021-0.6%-4.0%+6.6%
Q4 2020+14.2%+18.3%+3.4%
Q3 2020+6.2%+8.4%+53.4%
Q2 2020+12.6%+16.1%+34.6%
Q1 2020+2.8%+2.3%+31.1%
Q4 2019+1.6%-4.2%-43.5%
Q3 2019-3.9%+0.0%+6.0%
Q2 2019-1.2%+0.6%-11.1%
Q1 2019+4.0%+6.8%+0.7%
Q4 2018+7.1%+6.2%+6.2%
Q3 2018-3.6%-4.8%+3.1%
Q2 2018+2.2%+2.0%+11.4%
Q1 2018-5.6%-7.5%-7.3%
Q4 2017+3.7%+5.9%+2.3%
Q3 2017+2.9%-0.9%-1.0%
Q2 2017+3.8%+5.9%+10.1%
Q1 2017+7.9%+7.6%+10.5%
Q4 2016+7.9%+6.8%+9.7%
Q3 2016+13.0%+10.3%+22.0%
Q2 2016-4.3%+3.6%+1.2%
Q1 2016+3.6%
Q4 2015-12.6%
Q3 2015+4.3%
Q2 2015+9.5%
Q1 2015-6.5%
Q4 2014-7.6%
Q3 2014+1.8%
Q2 2014+12.1%
Q1 2014-2.4%
Q4 2013+5.4%
Q3 2013+9.4%
Q2 2013+1.9%
Q1 2013+4.8%
Q4 2012-2.5%
Q3 2012+7.8%
Q2 2012+1.3%
Q1 2012-9.8%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q3 2011-10.3%
Q2 2011-5.8%
Q1 2011-3.3%
Q4 2010+2.0%
Q4 2008+2.0%
Q3 2009-0.6%
Q3 2010-0.6%
Q2 2010+6.2%
Q2 2009+6.2%
Q4 2009+3.8%
Q1 2009+3.8%
Q1 2010+3.8%

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