NYSE$RCL
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd · Q3 2020 earnings
Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Royal Caribbean Group reported a net loss for Q3 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, but is taking actions to improve liquidity and planning a phased resumption of cruises.
Royal Caribbean Group reported a US GAAP Net Loss of $(1.3) billion for the third quarter of 2020, compared to a Net Income of $883.2 million in the prior year. The company is focusing on enhancing liquidity and plans to resume cruise operations in a phased manner, starting with cruises from Singapore in December 2020.
- Reported US GAAP Net Loss of $(1.3) billion, or $(6.29) per share, for Q3 2020.
- Adjusted Net Loss of $(1.2) billion, or $(5.62) per share, for Q3 2020.
- Estimates cash burn to be approximately $250 million to $290 million per month during suspension of operations.
- Liquidity of approximately $3.7 billion as of September 30, 2020, including $3.0 billion in cash and cash equivalents.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Royal Caribbean · Revenue · Quarterly
-$33.7M
Revenue by segment
Royal Caribbean · -$33.7M total across 2 segments · Q3 2020
- Passenger ticket revenues$3.2M-99.9%-9.5%
- Onboard and other revenues-$36.9M-104.4%109.5%
Forward guidance
The Company’s operation is still subject to the impact of COVID-19. Consequently, the Company cannot estimate its near or longer-term financial or operational results with reasonable certainty. The Company expects to incur a net loss on both a US GAAP and adjusted basis for its fourth quarter and the 2020 fiscal year, the extent of which will depend on the timing and extent of the return to service.
Tailwinds
- Booking activity for the first half of 2021 is aligned with the Company’s anticipated staggered resumption of cruises.
- The cumulative booked position for sailings in the second half of 2021 is within historical ranges.
- Prices are down slightly year-over-year when including the negative yield impact of bookings made with future cruise credits (“FCCs”) and about flat when excluding them.
- More than 65% of the 2021 bookings are new.
- Guests booked on cancelled sailings have the option to request a refund, to receive an FCC, or to “lift and shift” their booking to the following year.
Headwinds
- Operation is still subject to the impact of COVID-19.
- The Company cannot estimate its near or longer-term financial or operational results with reasonable certainty.
- The Company expects to incur a net loss on both a US GAAP and adjusted basis for its fourth quarter and the 2020 fiscal year.
- The extent of the loss will depend on the timing and extent of the return to service.
- Approximately 50% of the guests booked on cancelled sailings have requested cash refunds.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020
+2.4%
Avg return
Earnings day
+3.2%
Avg return
5 days after
+6.0%
Avg return
30 days after
69%
48 / 70 earnings
Positive
+18.8%
Q4 2025
Best reaction
-12.6%
Q4 2015
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +0.6% | +3.9% | +12.0% | |
| Q4 2025 | +18.8% | +11.9% | +6.6% | |
| Q3 2025 | -8.2% | -10.4% | -17.0% | |
| Q2 2025 | -5.0% | -10.7% | +3.9% | |
| Q1 2025 | +0.1% | +6.3% | +17.6% | |
| Q4 2024 | +12.0% | +12.6% | +0.6% | |
| Q3 2024 | +2.4% | -0.7% | +18.7% | |
| Q2 2024 | -6.7% | -4.6% | -0.9% | |
| Q1 2024 | +2.8% | +2.1% | +8.6% | |
| Q4 2023 | -3.2% | -5.4% | -2.5% | |
| Q3 2023 | +0.7% | +3.1% | +27.0% | |
| Q2 2023 | +7.6% | +6.5% | -1.1% | |
| Q1 2023 | +12.7% | +14.7% | +28.5% | |
| Q4 2022 | +7.8% | +3.7% | -1.2% | |
| Q3 2022 | +10.1% | +9.4% | +21.8% | |
| Q2 2022 | +10.9% | +5.0% | +21.2% | |
| Q1 2022 | -10.2% | -21.7% | -27.6% | |
| Q4 2021 | +3.3% | +11.0% | -12.3% | |
| Q3 2021 | +4.8% | +6.6% | -19.3% | |
| Q2 2021 | +4.8% | +3.9% | +6.6% | |
| Q1 2021 | -0.6% | -4.0% | +6.6% | |
| Q4 2020 | +14.2% | +18.3% | +3.4% | |
| Q3 2020 | +6.2% | +8.4% | +53.4% | |
| Q2 2020 | +12.6% | +16.1% | +34.6% | |
| Q1 2020 | +2.8% | +2.3% | +31.1% | |
| Q4 2019 | +1.6% | -4.2% | -43.5% | |
| Q3 2019 | -3.9% | +0.0% | +6.0% | |
| Q2 2019 | -1.2% | +0.6% | -11.1% | |
| Q1 2019 | +4.0% | +6.8% | +0.7% | |
| Q4 2018 | +7.1% | +6.2% | +6.2% | |
| Q3 2018 | -3.6% | -4.8% | +3.1% | |
| Q2 2018 | +2.2% | +2.0% | +11.4% | |
| Q1 2018 | -5.6% | -7.5% | -7.3% | |
| Q4 2017 | +3.7% | +5.9% | +2.3% | |
| Q3 2017 | +2.9% | -0.9% | -1.0% | |
| Q2 2017 | +3.8% | +5.9% | +10.1% | |
| Q1 2017 | +7.9% | +7.6% | +10.5% | |
| Q4 2016 | +7.9% | +6.8% | +9.7% | |
| Q3 2016 | +13.0% | +10.3% | +22.0% | |
| Q2 2016 | -4.3% | +3.6% | +1.2% | |
| Q1 2016 | +3.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | -12.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +4.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +9.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -6.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -7.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +1.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +12.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -2.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +5.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +9.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +1.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +4.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -2.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +7.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +1.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | -9.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -10.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -5.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -3.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +6.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | +6.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +3.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2009 | +3.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +3.8% | — | — |
Discussion
Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.
Join the conversation
Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.
Sign in with eToro