NYSE$R

Ryder System Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Ryder reported strong fourth-quarter earnings, with GAAP EPS increasing to $3.11 and non-GAAP EPS rising to $3.45. Revenue grew 5% year-over-year to $3.19 billion, driven by acquisitions and segment growth. Operating income improved, particularly in the Supply Chain and Dedicated Transportation segments.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.19B

Previous: $3.02B+5.5%
EPS (adj)

$3.45

Previous: $2.95+16.9%
Rental Utilization - Power

73.0%

No prior period
ChoiceLease Avg Fleet

145.3K

No prior period
ChoiceLease EOP Fleet

145.3K

No prior period
Commercial Rental Avg Fleet

35.0K

No prior period
Commercial Rental EOP Fleet

35.5K

No prior period
SelectCare Avg Fleet

44.9K

No prior period
Used Vehicle Sales EOP Fleet

9.0K

No prior period
Used Vehicles Sold

4.7K

No prior period
Used Tractor Pricing Change

-13.0%

No prior period
Used Truck Pricing Change

-12.0%

No prior period
Rental Rate Change

-3.0%

No prior period
Net Income

$135M

Previous: $124M+8.9%
Operating Income

$276M

Previous: $199M+38.7%
Gross Profit

$659M

Previous: $590M+11.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Ryder · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.19B

Q4 2024+5.5%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 3 of 15 quarters(20%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ryder · $3.07B total across 6 segments · Q1 2023

  • Supply Chain Solutions
    $1.2B+10.3%
  • ChoiceLease
    $776M
  • Dedicated Transportation
    $454M+6.8%
  • Commercial Rental
    $304M
  • SelectCare & Other
    $182M
  • Fuel Services
    $152M

Forward guidance

Ryder expects continued momentum in contractual business segments, driving earnings growth in 2025. The high-end forecast assumes contractual earnings growth and modest rental demand recovery.

Tailwinds

  • 2025 Comparable EPS forecasted between $13.00 - $14.00
  • Adjusted ROE expected to improve to 17% - 18%
  • Operating revenue projected to grow by approximately 2%
  • Net cash from operations expected to reach $2.5 billion
  • Free cash flow forecasted between $300M - $400M

Headwinds

  • Uncertainty in rental demand improvement
  • Weakness in used vehicle sales may persist
  • Debt-to-equity expected to remain elevated at ~240%
  • Continued inflationary pressures impacting operating costs
  • Potential impact of global supply chain disruptions

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

36 / 69 earnings

Positive

+15.3%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-20.1%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.7%+8.8%+7.1%
Q4 2025+2.4%+0.7%-11.4%
Q3 2025-12.2%-7.6%-8.0%
Q2 2025-0.8%-1.2%+2.1%
Q1 2025-1.9%+0.1%+8.2%
Q4 2024+3.0%+5.2%-11.1%
Q3 2024-3.6%+0.1%+14.2%
Q2 2024+1.8%+7.3%+9.5%
Q1 2024+12.1%+11.9%+10.5%
Q4 2023-7.6%-9.5%-5.2%
Q3 2023-4.9%-3.0%+9.8%
Q2 2023+8.4%+11.3%+5.6%
Q1 2023-6.4%-3.8%-4.1%
Q4 2022+1.9%+1.8%-14.2%
Q3 2022+9.9%+7.9%+28.7%
Q2 2022+4.4%+4.3%+8.4%
Q1 2022+4.4%+4.5%+17.9%
Q4 2021+2.7%+2.8%+10.1%
Q3 2021-4.8%-5.0%-6.2%
Q2 2021+4.5%+2.5%+9.9%
Q1 2021+6.7%+4.5%+6.5%
Q4 2020-6.2%-7.5%+11.9%
Q3 2020+1.4%-1.2%+21.0%
Q2 2020-10.8%-14.4%-1.3%
Q1 2020+15.3%+6.8%+11.6%
Q4 2019-20.1%-23.4%-38.5%
Q3 2019-12.1%-8.9%-3.3%
Q2 2019-10.2%-15.9%-19.3%
Q1 2019-7.5%-2.8%-20.2%
Q4 2018+6.5%+5.8%+0.7%
Q3 2018-10.3%-9.3%-12.1%
Q2 2018+7.3%+5.0%+6.3%
Q1 2018-9.1%-9.3%-6.9%
Q4 2017-11.4%-11.8%-11.3%
Q3 2017-1.7%+1.6%-6.5%
Q2 2017-0.5%-1.1%+1.0%
Q1 2017-14.1%-14.3%-15.7%
Q4 2016-4.9%-4.5%-1.3%
Q3 2016+5.6%+5.2%+22.9%
Q2 2016-5.9%-6.6%-8.0%
Q1 2016+9.5%
Q4 2015-5.0%
Q3 2015-2.3%
Q2 2015-5.8%
Q1 2015+2.9%
Q4 2014+5.3%
Q3 2014-3.2%
Q2 2014+1.3%
Q1 2014+2.1%
Q4 2013+0.1%
Q3 2013+3.7%
Q2 2013-2.2%
Q1 2013-0.6%
Q4 2012+6.7%
Q3 2012+2.7%
Q2 2012+8.2%
Q1 2012+1.2%
Q4 2008+0.4%
Q4 2011+0.4%
Q3 2011+9.5%
Q4 2010-0.9%
Q2 2011-0.9%
Q1 2010+6.2%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q3 2009-2.7%
Q3 2010-2.7%
Q4 2009+0.6%
Q2 2009+0.6%
Q2 2010+0.6%

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