NYSE$R

Ryder System Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Delivered solid Q3 results and continued to outperform prior cycles.

Ryder System reported a solid third quarter, driven by earnings growth in contractual lease, dedicated, and supply chain businesses. The company's ROE of 16% demonstrates the resilience of its transformed business model. While market conditions in used vehicle sales and rental remained weak, Ryder delivered comparable EPS in line with its forecast.

  • GAAP EPS from continuing operations was $3.25, compared to $3.44 in the prior year.
  • Comparable EPS (non-GAAP) from continuing operations was $3.44, compared to $3.58 in the prior year.
  • Total revenue reached $3.2 billion, compared to $2.9 billion in the prior year.
  • Operating revenue (non-GAAP) increased by 9% to $2.6 billion, reflecting recent acquisitions.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.17B

Previous: $2.92B+8.3%
EPS

$3.24

Previous: $3.58-9.5%
Rental Utilization - Power

71.0%

Previous: 75.0%-5.3%
ChoiceLease Avg Fleet

145.3K

No prior period
ChoiceLease EOP Fleet

145.8K

No prior period
Commercial Rental Avg Fleet

35.0K

No prior period
Commercial Rental EOP Fleet

34.7K

No prior period
SelectCare Avg Fleet

49.0K

No prior period
Used Vehicle Sales EOP Fleet

9.1K

No prior period
Used Vehicles Sold

4.7K

No prior period
Used Tractor Pricing Change

-22.0%

No prior period
Used Truck Pricing Change

-19.0%

No prior period
Rental Rate Change

-1.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$598M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$142M

Previous: $161M-11.8%
Net Income

$142M

Previous: $161M-11.8%
Operating Income

$2.78B

Previous: $2.59B+7.3%
Gross Profit

$3.17B

Previous: $2.92B+8.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$162M

Previous: $159M+1.9%
Total Assets

$16.5B

Previous: $15.3B+7.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Ryder · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.17B

Q3 2024+8.3%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 3 of 15 quarters(20%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ryder · $3.07B total across 6 segments · Q1 2023

  • Supply Chain Solutions
    $1.2B+10.3%
  • ChoiceLease
    $776M
  • Dedicated Transportation
    $454M+6.8%
  • Commercial Rental
    $304M
  • SelectCare & Other
    $182M
  • Fuel Services
    $152M

Forward guidance

Ryder expects earnings growth in the fourth quarter driven by its high-performing contractual portfolio. The current forecast does not contemplate a recovery in freight conditions this year. The company remains confident that ongoing execution of its balanced growth strategy will further enhance returns.

Tailwinds

  • Total Revenue Growth ~7%
  • Operating Revenue Growth (non-GAAP) ~8%
  • FY24 GAAP EPS $11.10 - $11.30
  • FY24 Comparable EPS (non-GAAP) $11.90 - $12.10
  • Adjusted ROE 16% - 16.5%

Headwinds

  • Net Cash from Operating Activities from Continuing Operations ~$2.4B
  • Free Cash Flow (non-GAAP) $150 - $250M
  • Capital Expenditures ~$2.9B
  • Debt-to-Equity ~250%
  • 4Q24 GAAP EPS $3.13 - $3.33

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

36 / 69 earnings

Positive

+15.3%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-20.1%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.7%+8.8%+7.1%
Q4 2025+2.4%+0.7%-11.4%
Q3 2025-12.2%-7.6%-8.0%
Q2 2025-0.8%-1.2%+2.1%
Q1 2025-1.9%+0.1%+8.2%
Q4 2024+3.0%+5.2%-11.1%
Q3 2024-3.6%+0.1%+14.2%
Q2 2024+1.8%+7.3%+9.5%
Q1 2024+12.1%+11.9%+10.5%
Q4 2023-7.6%-9.5%-5.2%
Q3 2023-4.9%-3.0%+9.8%
Q2 2023+8.4%+11.3%+5.6%
Q1 2023-6.4%-3.8%-4.1%
Q4 2022+1.9%+1.8%-14.2%
Q3 2022+9.9%+7.9%+28.7%
Q2 2022+4.4%+4.3%+8.4%
Q1 2022+4.4%+4.5%+17.9%
Q4 2021+2.7%+2.8%+10.1%
Q3 2021-4.8%-5.0%-6.2%
Q2 2021+4.5%+2.5%+9.9%
Q1 2021+6.7%+4.5%+6.5%
Q4 2020-6.2%-7.5%+11.9%
Q3 2020+1.4%-1.2%+21.0%
Q2 2020-10.8%-14.4%-1.3%
Q1 2020+15.3%+6.8%+11.6%
Q4 2019-20.1%-23.4%-38.5%
Q3 2019-12.1%-8.9%-3.3%
Q2 2019-10.2%-15.9%-19.3%
Q1 2019-7.5%-2.8%-20.2%
Q4 2018+6.5%+5.8%+0.7%
Q3 2018-10.3%-9.3%-12.1%
Q2 2018+7.3%+5.0%+6.3%
Q1 2018-9.1%-9.3%-6.9%
Q4 2017-11.4%-11.8%-11.3%
Q3 2017-1.7%+1.6%-6.5%
Q2 2017-0.5%-1.1%+1.0%
Q1 2017-14.1%-14.3%-15.7%
Q4 2016-4.9%-4.5%-1.3%
Q3 2016+5.6%+5.2%+22.9%
Q2 2016-5.9%-6.6%-8.0%
Q1 2016+9.5%
Q4 2015-5.0%
Q3 2015-2.3%
Q2 2015-5.8%
Q1 2015+2.9%
Q4 2014+5.3%
Q3 2014-3.2%
Q2 2014+1.3%
Q1 2014+2.1%
Q4 2013+0.1%
Q3 2013+3.7%
Q2 2013-2.2%
Q1 2013-0.6%
Q4 2012+6.7%
Q3 2012+2.7%
Q2 2012+8.2%
Q1 2012+1.2%
Q4 2008+0.4%
Q4 2011+0.4%
Q3 2011+9.5%
Q4 2010-0.9%
Q2 2011-0.9%
Q1 2010+6.2%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q3 2009-2.7%
Q3 2010-2.7%
Q4 2009+0.6%
Q2 2009+0.6%
Q2 2010+0.6%

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