NYSE$R

Ryder System Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ryder's Q1 2020 results were impacted by COVID-19 and changes in residual value estimates.

Ryder reported a decrease in total revenue by 1% to $2.2 billion, while operating revenue increased by 1% to $1.8 billion. The company experienced a GAAP EPS loss of $(2.09) compared to a profit of $0.87 in the prior year, and a non-GAAP EPS loss of $(1.38) versus a profit of $1.11 in the prior year, reflecting impacts from changes in residual value estimates and COVID-19. Ryder's solid liquidity position was enhanced and free cash flow is expected to increase due to reduced capital expenditures.

  • Total revenue decreased by 1% to $2.2 billion, while operating revenue increased by 1% to $1.8 billion.
  • GAAP EPS from continuing operations resulted in a loss of $(2.09) compared to a profit of $0.87 in the prior year.
  • Comparable EPS from continuing operations resulted in a loss of $(1.38) compared to a profit of $1.11 in the prior year.
  • COVID-19 had an estimated negative pre-tax earnings impact of approximately $70 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.16B

Previous: $2.18B-0.9%
EPS (adj)

-$1.38

Previous: $1.11-224.3%
Rental Utilization - Power

64.4%

Previous: 74.9%-14.0%
SelectCare Avg Fleet

56.9K

Previous: 55.9K+1.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$110M

Previous: $45.3M-341.9%
Net Income

-$110M

Previous: $45.3M-341.9%
Operating Income

$1.92B

Previous: $1.94B-1.2%
Gross Profit

$2.16B

Previous: $2.18B-0.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$397M

Previous: $62.8M+532.7%
Total Assets

$14.4B

Previous: $13.9B+3.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Ryder · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.16B

Q1 2020-0.9%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ryder · $2.28B total across 6 segments · Q1 2020

  • ChoiceLease
    $792M+7.0%
  • Supply Chain Solutions
    $628M-1.1%
  • Dedicated Transportation
    $335M-4.2%
  • Commercial Rental
    $206M-12.8%
  • Fuel Services
    $183M-15.6%
  • SelectCare & Other
    $136M+0.2%

Forward guidance

Due to the uncertainty relating to the magnitude and duration of COVID-19 crisis, Ryder has suspended providing earnings guidance.

Tailwinds

  • Ryder solidified its liquidity position with $1.7 billion of available liquidity.
  • The company anticipates generating record levels of free cash flow this year.
  • Ryder is well positioned to support operations and fund remaining 2020 debt maturities.
  • The company expects to continue to pay its dividend.
  • Ryder is focused on strategic initiatives to achieve its long-term target ROE of 15%.

Headwinds

  • The COVID-19 pandemic negatively impacted performance for the quarter.
  • The company expects lower used vehicle pricing in the second half of 2020.
  • Demand for commercial rental vehicles has decreased significantly.
  • SCS automotive volumes have declined significantly due to production shutdowns.
  • Ryder has established additional bad debt reserves due to slower COVID-19 related payment activity with certain customers.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

36 / 69 earnings

Positive

+15.3%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-20.1%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.7%+8.8%+7.1%
Q4 2025+2.4%+0.7%-11.4%
Q3 2025-12.2%-7.6%-8.0%
Q2 2025-0.8%-1.2%+2.1%
Q1 2025-1.9%+0.1%+8.2%
Q4 2024+3.0%+5.2%-11.1%
Q3 2024-3.6%+0.1%+14.2%
Q2 2024+1.8%+7.3%+9.5%
Q1 2024+12.1%+11.9%+10.5%
Q4 2023-7.6%-9.5%-5.2%
Q3 2023-4.9%-3.0%+9.8%
Q2 2023+8.4%+11.3%+5.6%
Q1 2023-6.4%-3.8%-4.1%
Q4 2022+1.9%+1.8%-14.2%
Q3 2022+9.9%+7.9%+28.7%
Q2 2022+4.4%+4.3%+8.4%
Q1 2022+4.4%+4.5%+17.9%
Q4 2021+2.7%+2.8%+10.1%
Q3 2021-4.8%-5.0%-6.2%
Q2 2021+4.5%+2.5%+9.9%
Q1 2021+6.7%+4.5%+6.5%
Q4 2020-6.2%-7.5%+11.9%
Q3 2020+1.4%-1.2%+21.0%
Q2 2020-10.8%-14.4%-1.3%
Q1 2020+15.3%+6.8%+11.6%
Q4 2019-20.1%-23.4%-38.5%
Q3 2019-12.1%-8.9%-3.3%
Q2 2019-10.2%-15.9%-19.3%
Q1 2019-7.5%-2.8%-20.2%
Q4 2018+6.5%+5.8%+0.7%
Q3 2018-10.3%-9.3%-12.1%
Q2 2018+7.3%+5.0%+6.3%
Q1 2018-9.1%-9.3%-6.9%
Q4 2017-11.4%-11.8%-11.3%
Q3 2017-1.7%+1.6%-6.5%
Q2 2017-0.5%-1.1%+1.0%
Q1 2017-14.1%-14.3%-15.7%
Q4 2016-4.9%-4.5%-1.3%
Q3 2016+5.6%+5.2%+22.9%
Q2 2016-5.9%-6.6%-8.0%
Q1 2016+9.5%
Q4 2015-5.0%
Q3 2015-2.3%
Q2 2015-5.8%
Q1 2015+2.9%
Q4 2014+5.3%
Q3 2014-3.2%
Q2 2014+1.3%
Q1 2014+2.1%
Q4 2013+0.1%
Q3 2013+3.7%
Q2 2013-2.2%
Q1 2013-0.6%
Q4 2012+6.7%
Q3 2012+2.7%
Q2 2012+8.2%
Q1 2012+1.2%
Q4 2008+0.4%
Q4 2011+0.4%
Q3 2011+9.5%
Q4 2010-0.9%
Q2 2011-0.9%
Q1 2010+6.2%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q3 2009-2.7%
Q3 2010-2.7%
Q4 2009+0.6%
Q2 2009+0.6%
Q2 2010+0.6%

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