NYSE$R

Ryder System Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong Q4 2022 results driven by execution of balanced growth strategy.

Ryder System, Inc. reported strong fourth-quarter results, with GAAP EPS of $4.06, up from $3.36 in the prior year, and comparable EPS (non-GAAP) of $3.89, up from $3.52 in the prior year. Total revenue reached $3.1 billion, a 19% increase, and operating revenue (non-GAAP) was $2.4 billion, a 14% increase. The company's performance reflects organic revenue growth in all business segments and strategic acquisitions.

  • GAAP EPS from continuing operations increased to $4.06 from $3.36 in the prior year.
  • Comparable EPS (non-GAAP) from continuing operations rose to $3.89 from $3.52 in the prior year.
  • Total revenue grew by 19% to $3.1 billion, and operating revenue (non-GAAP) increased by 14% to $2.4 billion.
  • Earnings in SCS and DTS increased 67% and 150%, respectively.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.09B

Previous: $2.6B+18.8%
EPS (adj)

$3.89

Previous: $3.52+10.5%
Rental Utilization - Power

82.2%

Previous: 85.2%-3.5%
Net Income

$206M

Previous: $181M+13.7%
Operating Income

$289M

Previous: $236M+22.7%
Gross Profit

$692M

Previous: $499M+38.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$267M

Previous: $234M+14.1%
Total Assets

$14.4B

Previous: $13.8B+4.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Ryder · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.09B

Q4 2022+18.8%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 3 of 15 quarters(20%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ryder · $3.07B total across 6 segments · Q1 2023

  • Supply Chain Solutions
    $1.2B+10.3%
  • ChoiceLease
    $776M
  • Dedicated Transportation
    $454M+6.8%
  • Commercial Rental
    $304M
  • SelectCare & Other
    $182M
  • Fuel Services
    $152M

Forward guidance

Ryder anticipates strong but reduced earnings in 2023 due to a slowing macroeconomic and freight environment affecting used vehicle sales and rental. The company expects continued earnings momentum in supply chain and dedicated, with ROE anticipated to be at the long-term target of high teens. Ryder's balance sheet remains strong, enabling continued capital return to shareholders through a new 2-million-share discretionary repurchase program.

Tailwinds

  • Expects continued earnings momentum in supply chain and dedicated.
  • Balance sheet remains strong.
  • New 2-million-share discretionary repurchase program authorized.
  • Operating revenue (non-GAAP) expected to increase by approximately 4%.
  • Net cash provided by operating activities from continuing operations forecast of $2.4 billion.

Headwinds

  • Expects strong but reduced earnings in 2023.
  • Slowing macroeconomic and freight environment drive lower results in used vehicle sales and rental.
  • Free cash flow (non-GAAP) forecast of approximately $200 million.
  • Full Year 2023Total Revenue Growth~2%
  • Depreciation expenses.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

36 / 69 earnings

Positive

+15.3%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-20.1%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.7%+8.8%+7.1%
Q4 2025+2.4%+0.7%-11.4%
Q3 2025-12.2%-7.6%-8.0%
Q2 2025-0.8%-1.2%+2.1%
Q1 2025-1.9%+0.1%+8.2%
Q4 2024+3.0%+5.2%-11.1%
Q3 2024-3.6%+0.1%+14.2%
Q2 2024+1.8%+7.3%+9.5%
Q1 2024+12.1%+11.9%+10.5%
Q4 2023-7.6%-9.5%-5.2%
Q3 2023-4.9%-3.0%+9.8%
Q2 2023+8.4%+11.3%+5.6%
Q1 2023-6.4%-3.8%-4.1%
Q4 2022+1.9%+1.8%-14.2%
Q3 2022+9.9%+7.9%+28.7%
Q2 2022+4.4%+4.3%+8.4%
Q1 2022+4.4%+4.5%+17.9%
Q4 2021+2.7%+2.8%+10.1%
Q3 2021-4.8%-5.0%-6.2%
Q2 2021+4.5%+2.5%+9.9%
Q1 2021+6.7%+4.5%+6.5%
Q4 2020-6.2%-7.5%+11.9%
Q3 2020+1.4%-1.2%+21.0%
Q2 2020-10.8%-14.4%-1.3%
Q1 2020+15.3%+6.8%+11.6%
Q4 2019-20.1%-23.4%-38.5%
Q3 2019-12.1%-8.9%-3.3%
Q2 2019-10.2%-15.9%-19.3%
Q1 2019-7.5%-2.8%-20.2%
Q4 2018+6.5%+5.8%+0.7%
Q3 2018-10.3%-9.3%-12.1%
Q2 2018+7.3%+5.0%+6.3%
Q1 2018-9.1%-9.3%-6.9%
Q4 2017-11.4%-11.8%-11.3%
Q3 2017-1.7%+1.6%-6.5%
Q2 2017-0.5%-1.1%+1.0%
Q1 2017-14.1%-14.3%-15.7%
Q4 2016-4.9%-4.5%-1.3%
Q3 2016+5.6%+5.2%+22.9%
Q2 2016-5.9%-6.6%-8.0%
Q1 2016+9.5%
Q4 2015-5.0%
Q3 2015-2.3%
Q2 2015-5.8%
Q1 2015+2.9%
Q4 2014+5.3%
Q3 2014-3.2%
Q2 2014+1.3%
Q1 2014+2.1%
Q4 2013+0.1%
Q3 2013+3.7%
Q2 2013-2.2%
Q1 2013-0.6%
Q4 2012+6.7%
Q3 2012+2.7%
Q2 2012+8.2%
Q1 2012+1.2%
Q4 2008+0.4%
Q4 2011+0.4%
Q3 2011+9.5%
Q4 2010-0.9%
Q2 2011-0.9%
Q1 2010+6.2%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q3 2009-2.7%
Q3 2010-2.7%
Q4 2009+0.6%
Q2 2009+0.6%
Q2 2010+0.6%

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