NYSE$R

Ryder System Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ryder's first quarter results for 2021 were reported, showing increased revenue and EPS compared to the prior year, driven by strong performance in fleet management and supply chain solutions.

Ryder System, Inc. reported strong first quarter results, with total revenue of $2.2 billion and GAAP EPS of $0.97, compared to a loss of $(2.09) in the prior year. The company's performance was driven by improved results in fleet management solutions and supply chain solutions. Ryder increased its full-year 2021 EPS forecast and expects to achieve an adjusted ROE of 12-13%.

  • GAAP EPS from continuing operations was $0.97, compared to a loss of $(2.09) in the prior year.
  • Comparable EPS (non-GAAP) from continuing operations was $1.09, compared to a loss of $(1.38) in the prior year.
  • Total revenue reached $2.2 billion, up 3%, primarily due to higher revenue in supply chain and rental.
  • Ryder increased its GAAP EPS forecast for the full year 2021 to $5.65 - $6.05.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.22B

Previous: $2.16B+2.8%
EPS (adj)

$1.09

Previous: -$1.38+179.0%
Rental Utilization - Power

72.9%

Previous: 64.4%+13.2%
SelectCare Avg Fleet

52.3K

Previous: 56.9K-8.1%
Free Cash Flow

$50.8M

Previous: -$110M+146.4%
Net Income

$50.8M

Previous: -$110M+146.4%
Operating Income

$1.98B

Previous: $1.92B+3.3%
Gross Profit

$2.22B

Previous: $2.16B+2.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$91.7M

Previous: $397M-76.9%
Total Assets

$12.7B

Previous: $14.4B-11.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Ryder · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.22B

Q1 2021+2.8%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ryder · $3.07B total across 6 segments · Q1 2023

  • Supply Chain Solutions
    $1.2B+10.3%
  • ChoiceLease
    $776M
  • Dedicated Transportation
    $454M+6.8%
  • Commercial Rental
    $304M
  • SelectCare & Other
    $182M
  • Fuel Services
    $152M

Forward guidance

Ryder provided full year 2021 and second quarter 2021 guidance.

Tailwinds

  • Expect continued favorable performance in FMS driven by lease, rental, and used vehicle sales.
  • Anticipate lease to benefit from pricing actions, increased sales activity, and improved operating performance.
  • Expect pricing in rental and used vehicle sales to remain strong.
  • Expect the impact of delayed truck deliveries will be offset by higher lease sales activity and vehicles placed in service during the first quarter, as well as higher rental utilization and pricing.
  • SCS and DTS are on track to meet or exceed revenue growth targets.

Headwinds

  • Assume there will be some impact to supply chain earnings due to the semiconductor shortage impacting automotive customers.
  • SCS and DTS returns are anticipated to be impacted by strategic investments in new technologies and brand awareness campaign.
  • Expect depreciation from prior residual value estimate changes will impact FMS earnings.
  • Expect higher overheads including continued investments in marketing and technology will impact SCS earnings.
  • Expect higher insurance costs will impact DTS earnings.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

36 / 69 earnings

Positive

+15.3%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-20.1%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.7%+8.8%+7.1%
Q4 2025+2.4%+0.7%-11.4%
Q3 2025-12.2%-7.6%-8.0%
Q2 2025-0.8%-1.2%+2.1%
Q1 2025-1.9%+0.1%+8.2%
Q4 2024+3.0%+5.2%-11.1%
Q3 2024-3.6%+0.1%+14.2%
Q2 2024+1.8%+7.3%+9.5%
Q1 2024+12.1%+11.9%+10.5%
Q4 2023-7.6%-9.5%-5.2%
Q3 2023-4.9%-3.0%+9.8%
Q2 2023+8.4%+11.3%+5.6%
Q1 2023-6.4%-3.8%-4.1%
Q4 2022+1.9%+1.8%-14.2%
Q3 2022+9.9%+7.9%+28.7%
Q2 2022+4.4%+4.3%+8.4%
Q1 2022+4.4%+4.5%+17.9%
Q4 2021+2.7%+2.8%+10.1%
Q3 2021-4.8%-5.0%-6.2%
Q2 2021+4.5%+2.5%+9.9%
Q1 2021+6.7%+4.5%+6.5%
Q4 2020-6.2%-7.5%+11.9%
Q3 2020+1.4%-1.2%+21.0%
Q2 2020-10.8%-14.4%-1.3%
Q1 2020+15.3%+6.8%+11.6%
Q4 2019-20.1%-23.4%-38.5%
Q3 2019-12.1%-8.9%-3.3%
Q2 2019-10.2%-15.9%-19.3%
Q1 2019-7.5%-2.8%-20.2%
Q4 2018+6.5%+5.8%+0.7%
Q3 2018-10.3%-9.3%-12.1%
Q2 2018+7.3%+5.0%+6.3%
Q1 2018-9.1%-9.3%-6.9%
Q4 2017-11.4%-11.8%-11.3%
Q3 2017-1.7%+1.6%-6.5%
Q2 2017-0.5%-1.1%+1.0%
Q1 2017-14.1%-14.3%-15.7%
Q4 2016-4.9%-4.5%-1.3%
Q3 2016+5.6%+5.2%+22.9%
Q2 2016-5.9%-6.6%-8.0%
Q1 2016+9.5%
Q4 2015-5.0%
Q3 2015-2.3%
Q2 2015-5.8%
Q1 2015+2.9%
Q4 2014+5.3%
Q3 2014-3.2%
Q2 2014+1.3%
Q1 2014+2.1%
Q4 2013+0.1%
Q3 2013+3.7%
Q2 2013-2.2%
Q1 2013-0.6%
Q4 2012+6.7%
Q3 2012+2.7%
Q2 2012+8.2%
Q1 2012+1.2%
Q4 2008+0.4%
Q4 2011+0.4%
Q3 2011+9.5%
Q4 2010-0.9%
Q2 2011-0.9%
Q1 2010+6.2%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q3 2009-2.7%
Q3 2010-2.7%
Q4 2009+0.6%
Q2 2009+0.6%
Q2 2010+0.6%

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