NYSE$R

Ryder System Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported significantly higher year-over-year earnings, made progress on initiatives to improve returns, and generated $1.6 billion of free cash flow.

Ryder System, Inc. reported Q4 2020 results with total revenue of $2.2 billion, a decrease of 3%. GAAP EPS from continuing operations was $0.48, compared to a loss of $(1.02) in the prior year. Comparable EPS from continuing operations was $0.83, including a $0.38 one-time expense for frontline employee bonuses.

  • Total revenue decreased by 3% to $2.2 billion, reflecting lower fuel revenue.
  • Operating revenue remained unchanged at $1.8 billion, as higher revenues in supply chain were offset by lower revenues in fleet management and dedicated businesses.
  • GAAP EPS from continuing operations was $0.48, compared to a loss of $(1.02) in the prior year, primarily due to improved results in used vehicle sales, lease, and rental.
  • Comparable EPS from continuing operations was $0.83, including a $0.38 one-time expense for frontline employee bonus, versus a loss of $(0.01) in the prior year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.21B

Previous: $2.28B-2.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.83

Previous: -$0.01+8400.0%
Rental Utilization - Power

79.1%

Previous: 76.0%+4.1%
SelectCare Avg Fleet

50.3K

Previous: 56.9K-11.6%
Net Income

$25.6M

Previous: -$53.5M+147.9%
Operating Income

$23.3M

Previous: -$38M+161.3%
Gross Profit

$392M

Previous: $279M+40.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$151M

Previous: $73.6M+105.6%
Total Assets

$12.9B

Previous: $14.5B-10.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Ryder · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.21B

Q4 2020-2.8%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ryder · $3.07B total across 6 segments · Q1 2023

  • Supply Chain Solutions
    $1.2B+10.3%
  • ChoiceLease
    $776M
  • Dedicated Transportation
    $454M+6.8%
  • Commercial Rental
    $304M
  • SelectCare & Other
    $182M
  • Fuel Services
    $152M

Forward guidance

Ryder provided full year 2021 guidance, including GAAP EPS forecast of $4.18 - $4.68 and comparable EPS forecast of $4.15 - $4.65. They also forecast operating cash flow of $2.2 billion and free cash flow of $400M - $700M.

Tailwinds

  • Expect improving economic conditions and continued secular trends that favor outsourcing.
  • Expect higher contractual sales activity based on an improved deal pipeline.
  • Operating revenue growth in SCS and DTS is expected to be within the high-single-digit target range.
  • FMS growth is expected to be near the lower end of the mid-single digit target range.
  • Used vehicle market pricing is anticipated to modestly improve throughout the year.

Headwinds

  • The 2021 market environment remains uncertain and may be impacted by developments related to COVID-19 and other factors.
  • Benefits from higher lease pricing and our maintenance cost-savings initiative are expected to be partially offset by a smaller lease fleet.
  • Depreciation expense impact from prior residual value estimate changes
  • Smaller lease fleet
  • Used vehicle market pricing is anticipated to modestly improve throughout the year.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

36 / 69 earnings

Positive

+15.3%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-20.1%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.7%+8.8%+7.1%
Q4 2025+2.4%+0.7%-11.4%
Q3 2025-12.2%-7.6%-8.0%
Q2 2025-0.8%-1.2%+2.1%
Q1 2025-1.9%+0.1%+8.2%
Q4 2024+3.0%+5.2%-11.1%
Q3 2024-3.6%+0.1%+14.2%
Q2 2024+1.8%+7.3%+9.5%
Q1 2024+12.1%+11.9%+10.5%
Q4 2023-7.6%-9.5%-5.2%
Q3 2023-4.9%-3.0%+9.8%
Q2 2023+8.4%+11.3%+5.6%
Q1 2023-6.4%-3.8%-4.1%
Q4 2022+1.9%+1.8%-14.2%
Q3 2022+9.9%+7.9%+28.7%
Q2 2022+4.4%+4.3%+8.4%
Q1 2022+4.4%+4.5%+17.9%
Q4 2021+2.7%+2.8%+10.1%
Q3 2021-4.8%-5.0%-6.2%
Q2 2021+4.5%+2.5%+9.9%
Q1 2021+6.7%+4.5%+6.5%
Q4 2020-6.2%-7.5%+11.9%
Q3 2020+1.4%-1.2%+21.0%
Q2 2020-10.8%-14.4%-1.3%
Q1 2020+15.3%+6.8%+11.6%
Q4 2019-20.1%-23.4%-38.5%
Q3 2019-12.1%-8.9%-3.3%
Q2 2019-10.2%-15.9%-19.3%
Q1 2019-7.5%-2.8%-20.2%
Q4 2018+6.5%+5.8%+0.7%
Q3 2018-10.3%-9.3%-12.1%
Q2 2018+7.3%+5.0%+6.3%
Q1 2018-9.1%-9.3%-6.9%
Q4 2017-11.4%-11.8%-11.3%
Q3 2017-1.7%+1.6%-6.5%
Q2 2017-0.5%-1.1%+1.0%
Q1 2017-14.1%-14.3%-15.7%
Q4 2016-4.9%-4.5%-1.3%
Q3 2016+5.6%+5.2%+22.9%
Q2 2016-5.9%-6.6%-8.0%
Q1 2016+9.5%
Q4 2015-5.0%
Q3 2015-2.3%
Q2 2015-5.8%
Q1 2015+2.9%
Q4 2014+5.3%
Q3 2014-3.2%
Q2 2014+1.3%
Q1 2014+2.1%
Q4 2013+0.1%
Q3 2013+3.7%
Q2 2013-2.2%
Q1 2013-0.6%
Q4 2012+6.7%
Q3 2012+2.7%
Q2 2012+8.2%
Q1 2012+1.2%
Q4 2008+0.4%
Q4 2011+0.4%
Q3 2011+9.5%
Q4 2010-0.9%
Q2 2011-0.9%
Q1 2010+6.2%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q3 2009-2.7%
Q3 2010-2.7%
Q4 2009+0.6%
Q2 2009+0.6%
Q2 2010+0.6%

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