NYSE$PNFP

Pinnacle Financial Partners Inc. · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported diluted EPS of $1.26, ROAA of 1.38% and ROTCE of 15.41% for Q4 2019.

Pinnacle Financial Partners reported a net income per diluted common share of $1.26 for the quarter ended Dec. 31, 2019, compared to $1.23 for the quarter ended Dec. 31, 2018, representing an increase of 2.4 percent.

  • Loans reached a record $19.8 billion, up 11.7% year-over-year.
  • Deposits totaled $20.2 billion, reflecting a 7.1% year-over-year increase.
  • Revenues for the quarter were $253.6 million, up 2.5% from the fourth quarter of 2018.
  • Return on average assets was 1.38% for the fourth quarter of 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$254M

Previous: $250M+1.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.27

Previous: $1.25+1.6%
Efficiency Ratio

51.4%

No prior period
Net Interest Margin

3.4%

No prior period
Return on Avg Assets

1.4%

No prior period
Return on Avg Tangible Common Equity

15.4%

No prior period
Net Charge-offs / Avg Loans

0.1%

No prior period
Total Loans

$19.8B

No prior period
Total Deposits

$20.2B

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$7.96M

Previous: $5.26M+51.4%
Free Cash Flow

$112M

Previous: $147M-23.9%
Net Income

$96.1M

Previous: $95.3M+0.8%
Operating Income

$119M

No prior period
Cash & Equivalents

$527M

Previous: $722M-27.0%
Total Assets

$27.8B

Previous: $25B+11.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.14M

Previous: $4.38M+40.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Pinnacle Financial · Revenue · Quarterly

$254M

Q4 2019+1.5%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Pinnacle Financial · $21.5M total across 4 segments · Q4 2019

  • Service Charges
    $9.09M—
  • Investment Services
    $6.58M—
  • Trust Fees
    $3.84M—
  • Insurance Commissions
    $2.02M—

Forward guidance

Pinnacle anticipates continued stabilization in the yield curve, which should help stabilize the net interest margin in 2020. Expense growth is expected to be in the mid- to high-single digit percentage increases for 2020, with cash incentives targeted at approximately $50 million.

Tailwinds

  • High-single to low-double digit loan growth is achievable in 2020.
  • Focus on growing low-cost core deposits.
  • Continued focus on maintaining asset quality and growing EPS.
  • Anticipated continued stabilization in the yield curve.
  • Expect to keep expense growth to the mid- to high-single digit percentage increases for 2020.

Headwinds

  • Volatility in the interest rate environment impacted margins during 2019.
  • Increased expense run rates due to the addition of Advocate Capital.
  • Continued hiring, especially with the build out in Atlanta, will increase expenses.
  • If revenues do not materialize at the planned growth rates, there may be a need to reduce cash incentives.
  • Interest rate backdrop during 2019.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.8%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

24 / 40 earnings

Positive

+6.1%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-5.9%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026———
Q1 2026+1.3%+0.1%-1.5%
Q4 2025-4.1%-6.3%-0.7%
Q3 2025-5.9%-1.8%-1.0%
Q2 2025+1.4%+1.7%-19.7%
Q1 2025+2.3%+3.2%+20.3%
Q4 2024+0.3%+2.8%-1.4%
Q3 2024+1.2%+6.4%+24.3%
Q2 2024+2.8%+4.9%+0.9%
Q1 2024+2.4%+1.0%+2.5%
Q4 2023-1.9%+1.6%+0.7%
Q3 2023+1.3%-9.8%+5.9%
Q2 2023+5.6%+14.2%+9.3%
Q1 2023+3.7%+3.6%-5.2%
Q4 2022+0.9%-3.3%+4.8%
Q3 2022+0.2%-8.7%-8.5%
Q2 2022+3.6%+6.4%+20.2%
Q1 2022+0.2%-3.4%-10.8%
Q4 2021-2.3%-7.8%-12.6%
Q3 2021+1.3%+3.9%+4.9%
Q2 2021+4.1%+5.9%+9.2%
Q1 2021-0.7%-4.0%-2.2%
Q4 2020+0.5%+4.6%+12.0%
Q3 2020+2.2%+14.3%+36.9%
Q2 2020+6.1%+8.2%+5.7%
Q1 2020-1.2%-9.1%-5.4%
Q4 2019-2.1%-4.3%+0.1%
Q3 2019+1.0%+3.7%+6.9%
Q2 2019-0.4%+4.8%-5.9%
Q1 2019-2.3%-1.7%-2.2%
Q4 2018+0.4%+5.6%+9.3%
Q3 2018-1.3%-3.0%-3.7%
Q2 2018-0.6%+3.9%+6.9%
Q1 2018-0.2%-0.4%+3.5%
Q4 2017-1.0%-6.6%-6.5%
Q3 2017-1.7%+1.7%-2.0%
Q2 2017+0.4%+2.2%-5.3%
Q1 2017+1.9%+5.7%-1.5%
Q4 2016-4.0%-6.9%+4.5%
Q3 2016+0.6%-3.7%+16.3%
Q2 2016-0.0%-0.4%+2.2%
Q1 2016———
Q4 2015———
Q3 2015———
Q2 2015———
Q1 2015———
Q4 2014———
Q3 2014———
Q2 2014———
Q1 2014———
Q4 2013———
Q3 2013———
Q2 2013———
Q1 2013———
Q1 2010———
Q4 2012———
Q3 2012———
Q2 2012———
Q1 2011———
Q1 2012———
Q4 2011———
Q4 2010———
Q4 2009———
Q3 2010———
Q3 2011———
Q2 2010———
Q2 2011———

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