NYSE$NRG

NRG Energy Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

NRG Energy reported a net loss for Q1 2021, impacted by Winter Storm Uri, while reinstating 2021 Adjusted EBITDA and FCFbG guidance.

NRG Energy reported a net loss of $(82) million for the first quarter of 2021, primarily due to the impact of Winter Storm Uri. The company is focused on customer-centric strategies and platform strengthening, and has reinstated its 2021 Adjusted EBITDA and FCFbG guidance.

  • Winter Storm Uri is expected to have a net impact of $500 to $700 million.
  • 2021 Adjusted EBITDA and FCFbG guidance were reinstated.
  • Alberto Fornaro was appointed as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.
  • Houston, TX was designated as the sole Corporate Headquarters.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$8.09B

Previous: $2.02B+300.7%
EPS (adj)

-$0.23

Previous: $0.49-146.9%
Adjusted EBITDA

$567M

Previous: $349M+62.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$63M

Previous: -$66M+4.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$145M

Previous: $55M-363.6%
Net Income

-$82M

Previous: $121M-167.8%
Operating Income

-$56M

Previous: $244M-123.0%
Gross Profit

$1.23B

Previous: $562M+118.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$501M

Previous: $759M-34.0%
Total Assets

$19.2B

Previous: $12.8B+50.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$4M

Previous: $5M-20.0%

Revenue & EPS history

NRG Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$8.09B

Q1 2021+300.7%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

NRG Energy · $7.53B total across 2 segments · Q1 2021

  • East
    $3.83B
  • Texas
    $3.7B+172.7%

Forward guidance

NRG is reinstating guidance for Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted Cash from Operations and Free Cash Flow before Growth Investments (FCFbG) for 2021 which excludes the full year impact of Winter Storm Uri.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA: $2,400 - $2,600 million
  • Adjusted Cash Flow From Operations: $1,630 - $1,830 million
  • FCFbG: $1,440 - $1,640 million
  • Company remains committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet
  • Company continues to work closely with rating agencies to achieve investment grade credit ratings

Headwinds

  • Winter Storm Uri impact
  • Deleveraging program will extend into 2022
  • Debt and share repurchases may be made from time to time subject to market conditions
  • Any common stock dividend is subject to available capital and market conditions
  • Achieving investment grade credit metrics is not an indication of or guarantee that the Company will receive investment grade credit ratings.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

32 / 72 earnings

Positive

+26.3%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-10.1%

Q1 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.3%-13.0%-17.9%
Q4 2025-1.6%+1.4%-17.2%
Q3 2025-2.3%-6.0%-5.9%
Q1 2025+26.3%+33.4%+24.9%
Q4 2024+10.6%-2.1%-7.1%
Q3 2024-2.2%-4.1%+3.0%
Q2 2024+11.4%+13.6%+6.2%
Q1 2024-2.7%+7.4%-0.1%
Q4 2023+2.4%+6.8%+25.3%
Q3 2023+2.6%+3.6%+10.3%
Q2 2023-0.8%-2.3%+2.2%
Q1 2023-6.5%-6.4%-0.4%
Q4 2022-4.5%-4.9%-12.1%
Q3 2022-0.2%+2.4%-25.3%
Q2 2022+2.9%+2.6%+11.0%
Q1 2022+9.9%+10.8%+20.6%
Q4 2021+3.1%-0.8%+0.5%
Q3 2021-9.3%-12.8%-8.6%
Q2 2021+5.2%+3.4%+8.8%
Q1 2021-0.5%-0.7%-3.0%
Q4 2020+7.6%+9.1%+3.3%
Q3 2020-4.5%-0.3%+5.5%
Q2 2020+2.1%+4.0%-0.5%
Q1 2020-0.0%-2.2%+12.0%
Q4 2019-5.2%-5.0%-15.7%
Q3 2019-2.9%-2.1%-2.8%
Q2 2019+3.5%+0.0%+11.2%
Q1 2019-2.7%-4.7%-16.1%
Q4 2018+2.9%+1.8%+3.6%
Q3 2018-0.3%+2.6%+5.5%
Q2 2018+2.2%+7.2%+10.9%
Q1 2018+9.3%+11.2%+11.3%
Q4 2017+7.8%+13.0%+18.1%
Q3 2017+11.2%+14.4%+12.5%
Q2 2017-0.1%-0.9%+1.4%
Q1 2017-10.1%-9.8%+0.5%
Q4 2016+0.5%+3.2%+9.5%
Q3 2016+12.3%+18.8%+11.0%
Q2 2016-5.7%-5.9%-8.1%
Q1 2016+6.2%
Q4 2015+1.6%
Q3 2015+0.7%
Q2 2015-10.1%
Q1 2015+4.1%
Q4 2014-5.6%
Q3 2014+9.0%
Q2 2014-1.6%
Q1 2014+3.9%
Q4 2013-0.2%
Q3 2013-2.8%
Q2 2013-3.5%
Q1 2013-1.5%
Q4 2012+0.7%
Q3 2012-2.6%
Q2 2012+6.9%
Q1 2012-6.9%
Q4 2010-2.8%
Q4 2011-2.8%
Q3 2011+2.5%
Q2 2011-6.3%
Q1 2011-0.9%
Q4 2007-5.2%
Q3 2010+0.3%
Q2 2010-2.2%
Q1 2009-3.0%
Q1 2010+1.8%
Q4 2009-5.2%
Q3 2008+1.3%
Q3 2009+1.3%
Q2 2008-1.2%
Q4 2008-1.2%
Q2 2009-1.2%

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